Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Paris FC vs SM Caen, Ligue 2 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 2 · 2024-25
4 – 2
Full Time
Mon 31 Mar 2025 · 18:45 UTC Stade Sebastien Charlety HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Paris FC vs SM Caen — Ligue 2 at Stade Sebastien Charlety.

Match Details

  • Referee Eddy Rosier
3 games this season 🟨 4.7/game ⚽ 13.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar SM Caen H 4–2 W
15 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC A 0–3 L
08 Mar FC Lorient H 3–2 W
28 Feb FC Annecy A 3–2 W
21 Feb ES Troyes AC H 1–0 W
15 Feb USL Dunkerque A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Mar Paris FC A 2–4 L
14 Mar Amiens SC A 1–2 L
07 Mar Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC H 0–1 L
28 Feb Clermont Foot 63 A 1–0 W
22 Feb Pau FC H 2–2 D
17 Feb FC Annecy A 0–1 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. SM Caen kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Timothee Kolodziejczak needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 31 Yellow cards this season.
  • 10' SM Caen have won 298 goals from 399 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 13' Timothee Kolodziejczak does the damage! The net is bulging and Paris FC surge ahead!
  • 18' SM Caen fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 23' Supporters expect more eagerness from Brahim Traore, as he is very good at scoring at Stade Sebastien Charlety with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 27' That looks like a foul for a card for Valentin Henry.
  • 32' The deadlock is broken! Jean-Philippe Krasso gets on the scoresheet on 32 minutes.
  • 37' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 42' SM Caen is showing some good football. However, SM Caen are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' GOAL! Mathieu Cafaro fires home to make it 3-0!
  • 45' A moment of madness from Alex Moucketou-Moussounda on 45 minutes earns him a card. SM Caen will be frustrated.
  • 46' Lamine Sy has so much to prove this time. He replaces Valentin Henry on 46 minute.
  • 51' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 54' Controversy at the stadium! Noe Lebreton argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 58' The crowd applauds Mathieu Cafaro as he leaves the pitch. Ilan Kebbal steps in for Paris FC.
  • 60' Jean-Philippe Krasso makes no mistake. The score reads 4-0 and Paris FC are in front.
  • 65' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' The Paris FC bench stirs into life. Vincent Marchetti is withdrawn and Lohann Doucet gets his opportunity.
  • 72' SM Caen make a change. Yassine Benrahou trudges off to be replaced by Mathias Autret on 72 minutes.
  • 74' Jean-Philippe Krasso catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 74.
  • 79' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Paris FC and SM Caen are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 82' A goal from the France international Godson Kyeremeh! He fires home on 82 to make it 4-1!
  • 87' It’s high time Michel Der Zakarian made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 88' Another substitution for Paris FC to replace Jean-Philippe Krasso by Mohamadou Kante on 88 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.77 Paris FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 SM Caen xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Paris FC53% Draw24% SM Caen23%
Actual: Paris FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Paris FC or Draw
77%
Draw or SM Caen
47%
Paris FC or SM Caen
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Paris FC35% Draw44% SM Caen21%
Actual: Paris FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Paris FC

Handicap Paris FC covers Push SM Caen covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 74% — 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Paris FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
SM Caen keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.