Thursday , 2 July 2026

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2025-26
Padova Calcio
0 – 1
Full Time
Palermo FC
Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Padova Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B .

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Venezia FC 38 82
2 Frosinone Calcio 38 81
3 AC Monza 38 76
4 Palermo FC 38 72
5 US Catanzaro 38 59
6 Modena FC 2018 38 55
7 SS Juve Stabia 38 51
8 Calcio Avellino SSD 38 49
9 Mantova 1911 SSD 38 46
10 Padova Calcio 38 46
11 AC Cesena 38 46
12 Carrarese Calcio 38 44
13 UC Sampdoria 38 44
14 ACD Virtus Entella 38 42
15 Empoli FC 38 41
16 FC Sudtirol 38 41
17 SSC Bari 38 40
18 AC Reggiana 38 37
19 Spezia Calcio 38 35
20 Delfino Pescara 1936 38 35

Head-to-Head

2
Padova Calcio 2 games · Avg 1.0 goals Palermo FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-03-21 Padova Calcio 0–1 Palermo FC 2025-12-27 Palermo FC 1–0 Padova Calcio

Recent Form

Padova Calcio
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Palermo FC H 0–1 L
17 Mar Venezia FC A 1–3 L
14 Mar US Catanzaro H 1–3 L
07 Mar Calcio Avellino SSD A 0–1 L
03 Mar Spezia Calcio H 2–2 D
28 Feb Modena FC 2018 A 2–1 W
Palermo FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Padova Calcio A 1–0 W
17 Mar SS Juve Stabia H 2–2 D
14 Mar AC Monza A 0–3 L
08 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–0 W
04 Mar Mantova 1911 SSD H 2–1 W
01 Mar Delfino Pescara 1936 A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Padova Calcio Palermo FC
#10 Position #4
46 Points 72
38 Played 38
12 / 10 / 16 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 6
39 Scored 61
49 Conceded 33
-10 GD +28
1.21 PPG 1.89
32% Win % 53%

Key Stats

0% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
0% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Padova Calcio this season
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Padova Calcio are 10th (46 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Padova Calcio
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Palermo FC kicks off things out of here…
  • Another three points for Palermo FC.

Lineups

Padova Calcio Lineups

Palermo FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.71 Padova Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio21% Draw30% Palermo FC49%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.11
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Padova Calcio or Draw
51%
Draw or Palermo FC
79%
Padova Calcio or Palermo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Padova Calcio13% Draw52% Palermo FC35%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
14.5%
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 2
11.4%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 3
5.2%
2 – 1
4.1%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 2
3%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
1.9%

Asian Handicap — Padova Calcio

Handicap Padova Calcio covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 12% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 48% — 52%
+1 48% 26% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 16% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Padova Calcio keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.