Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Palermo FC vs Carrarese Calcio — Serie B at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
- Palermo FC 11 games · 27 pts (2026/27)
- Carrarese Calcio 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Mario Perri (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Marco Ricci (Italy)
- Assistant 2 Vincenzo Pedone (Italy)
3 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 14.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo FC | 11 | 27 |
| 2 | Modena FC 2018 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC | 11 | 20 |
| 4 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 11 | 19 |
| 5 | Benevento Calcio | 11 | 16 |
| 6 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Hellas Verona FC | 11 | 16 |
| 8 | AC Pisa 1909 | 11 | 16 |
| 9 | US Cremonese | 11 | 15 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | FC Südtirol | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | SS Juve Stabia | 11 | 12 |
| 14 | SS Arezzo | 11 | 11 |
| 15 | UC Sampdoria | 11 | 11 |
| 16 | ACD Virtus Entella | 11 | 10 |
| 17 | Carrarese Calcio | 11 | 10 |
| 18 | L.R. Vicenza Virtus | 11 | 9 |
| 19 | Empoli FC | 11 | 9 |
| 20 | US Catanzaro | 11 | 6 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Carrarese Calcio | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 May | Frosinone Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 May | AC Cesena | A | 1–2 | L |
| 01 May | FC Südtirol | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | US Catanzaro | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Apr | SSC Bari | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May | Palermo FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 09 May | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 1–2 | L |
| 04 May | Modena FC 2018 | H | 2–1 | W |
| 01 May | US Sassuolo Calcio | A | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Apr | US Catanzaro | H | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Palermo FC | Carrarese Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #17 |
| 27 | Points | 10 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 8 / 3 / 0 | W / D / L | 3 / 1 / 7 |
| 25 | Scored | 9 |
| 13 | Conceded | 14 |
| +12 | GD | -5 |
| 2.45 | PPG | 0.91 |
| 73% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
40%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
9%
Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season
Carrarese Calcio this season
Palermo FC are 1st (27 pts). Carrarese Calcio are 17th (10 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Carrarese Calcio
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
3/–
61-75
1/3
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Palermo FC
| Dennis Johnsen | 7 G | 5 A |
| Dominic Vavassori | 6 G | 1 A |
| Joel Pohjanpalo | 2 G | 3 A |
| Antonio Palumbo | 2 G | 1 A |
| Filippo Ranocchia | 2 G |
Carrarese Calcio
| Tommaso Rubino | 3 G | |
| Fabio Abiuso | 2 G | 1 A |
| Pietro Pinelli | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Renzo Barbera!
- 5' Kristoffer Lund has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 62 appearances.
- 10' Carrarese Calcio fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 14' That looks like a foul for a card for Dimitrios Nikolaou.
- 16' Magnificent from Stiven Shpendi! That is 7 goals in 391 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 21' Carrarese Calcio receives a card for a hard tackle on 21.
- 26' Gabriele Guarino has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 31' Carrarese Calcio have won 54 goals from 87 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 36' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alessio Dionisi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 41' A quiet spell here at Stadio Renzo Barbera. Carrarese Calcio seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 46' Palermo FC ring the changes. Dimitrios Nikolaou has done his job and it is now time for Pietro Ceccaroni to step up.
- 51' Palermo FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Carrarese Calcio backline.
- 53' Francesco Di Mariano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 53.
- 53' Another substitution for Carrarese Calcio to replace Ernesto Torregrossa by Mattia Finotto on 53 minute.
- 57' That looks like a foul for a card for Gabriele Guarino.
- 60' Another substitution for Carrarese Calcio to replace Luigi Cherubini by Mauro Coppolaro on 60 minute.
- 62' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Kristoffer Lund is replaced by Federico Di Francesco.
- 67' Roberto Insigne is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Palermo FC so far.
- 68' A meaty challenge results in booking for Salim Diakite on 68.
- 73' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Carrarese Calcio needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 74' Palermo FC make a change. Salim Diakite trudges off to be replaced by Niccolo Pierozzi on 74 minutes.
- 78' Carrarese Calcio ring the changes. Nicolas Schiavi has done his job and it is now time for Tommaso P. Milanese to step up.
- 83' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 84' Valerio Verre gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Filippo Ranocchia and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The referee shows Palermo FC player a card on 86.
- 87' What composure from Jeremy Le Douaron! The France international strokes it home. 1-1.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
Palermo FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 10
- 7
- 8
- 19
- 12
- 11
- 43
- 3
- 4
- 9
- 23
Bench
-
26
Valerio Verre ↑ 84'
- 6
- 46
-
17
Federico Di Francesco ↑ 62'
-
32
Pietro Ceccaroni ↑ 46'
- 20
-
21
Jeremy Le Douaron ↑ 46'
- 1
-
27
Niccolo Pierozzi ↑ 74'
- 14
- 25
Coach
Alessio Dionisi
Carrarese Calcio Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 77
- 13
- 18
- 92
- 98
- 3
- 4
- 17
- 34
- 9
-
19
Stiven Shpendi ↓ Leonardo Cerri 60'
Bench
- 30
-
21
Mauro Coppolaro ↑ 60'
-
32
Mattia Finotto ↑ 53'
- 82
- 5
- 1
- 28
-
10
Tommaso P. Milanese ↑ 78'
-
47
Alessandro Fontanarosa ↑ 78'
- 20
-
90
Leonardo Cerri ↑ 60'
- 6
Coach
Nicola Antonio Calabro
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Stiven Shpendi | 2 |
| Jeremy Le Douaron | 1 |
| Dennis Johnsen | 1 |
| Dominic Vavassori | 1 |
| Tommaso Rubino | 1 |
Palermo FC Form
Carrarese Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.85
Palermo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.82
Carrarese Calcio xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Palermo FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Carrarese Calcio
45%
Palermo FC or Carrarese Calcio
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Carrarese Calcio win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.1%
2 – 0
11.6%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.8%
3 – 0
7%
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Palermo FC
| Handicap | Palermo FC covers | Push | Carrarese Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -2 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -1.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| -1 | 36% | 24% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

