Thursday , 2 July 2026

US Catanzaro vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 13:00 UTC Nicola Ceravolo 9,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Federico Bonini og
0–2 26' Jacopo Segre
Tommaso Biasci 56' 1–2
1–3 90+3' Jeremy Le Douaron

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Palermo FCSerie B at Nicola Ceravolo.

Match Details

  • Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pasquale Capaldo
  • Assistant 2 Aniello Ricciardi (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 3.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Palermo FC H 1–3 L
12 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 2–2 D
06 Apr SSC Bari H 3–3 D
29 Mar Modena FC 2018 A 1–2 L
16 Mar Cosenza Calcio H 4–0 W
08 Mar US Cremonese A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr US Catanzaro A 3–1 W
11 Apr SSC Bari A 1–2 L
06 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–3 W
30 Mar US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
14 Mar US Cremonese H 2–3 L
08 Mar UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D

Season Stats

US Catanzaro Palermo FC
#5 Position #4
59 Points 72
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 6
62 Scored 61
51 Conceded 33
+11 GD +28
1.55 PPG 1.89
39% Win % 53%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

US Catanzaro are 5th (59 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between US Catanzaro and Palermo FC is underway.
  • 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 9' Federico Bonini adds to his 0 season tally! US Catanzaro lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 14' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mirko Pigliacelli suffering a number of foals already.
  • 19' Palermo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 24' US Catanzaro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Palermo FC backline.
  • 26' Assisted by Matteo Brunori Sandri with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jacopo Segre makes no mistake. 1-1!
  • 31' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His US Catanzaro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 36' Mattia Compagnon has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 41' The 24-year-old Niccolo Pierozzi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' It is a substitution in US Catanzaro team. Mattia Compagnon is replaced by Tommaso Biasci on 46 minute.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' Tommaso Biasci puts US Catanzaro on the lead.
  • 60' Palermo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 60.
  • 65' A moment of madness from Nicolo Brighenti on 65 minutes earns him a card. US Catanzaro will be frustrated.
  • 70' Alexis Blin, a France , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 72' A change in the US Catanzaro ranks — Nicolo Brighenti exits the field as Demba Seck enters on 72.
  • 73' Aljosa Vasic has so much to prove this time. He replaces Niccolo Pierozzi on 73 minute.
  • 74' Tommaso Cassandro picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' It is a cagey affair so far. US Catanzaro in their 3-5-1-1 trying to find a way past Palermo FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 82' Another substitution for US Catanzaro to replace Rares Ilie by Nicolo Buso on 82 minute.
  • 87' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Jacopo Segre is withdrawn and Filippo Ranocchia gets his opportunity.
  • 88' Another change for US Catanzaro made on 88 minute. Giacomo Quagliata leaves to be changed by Andrea La Mantia.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-3 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.52 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: US Catanzaro or Palermo FC 74% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro34% Draw26% Palermo FC40%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.29
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
60%
Draw or Palermo FC
66%
US Catanzaro or Palermo FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
US Catanzaro26% Draw42% Palermo FC32%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
5.9%
0 – 2
5.8%
0 – 0
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.7%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 17% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 19% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
18%
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.