Thursday , 1 October 2026

US Catanzaro vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
Sun 27 Apr 2025 · 13:00 UTC Nicola Ceravolo 9,021 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 9' Federico Bonini og
0–2 26' Jacopo Segre
Tommaso Biasci 56' 1–2
1–3 90+3' Jeremy Le Douaron

Overview

Match Preview

US Catanzaro vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Nicola Ceravolo.

Match Details

  • Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Pasquale Capaldo
  • Assistant 2 Aniello Ricciardi (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Palermo FC H 1–3 L
12 Apr Carrarese Calcio A 2–2 D
06 Apr SSC Bari H 3–3 D
29 Mar Modena FC 2018 A 1–2 L
16 Mar Cosenza Calcio H 4–0 W
08 Mar US Cremonese A 0–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr US Catanzaro A 3–1 W
11 Apr SSC Bari A 1–2 L
06 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–3 W
30 Mar US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
14 Mar US Cremonese H 2–3 L
08 Mar UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D

Season Stats

US Catanzaro Palermo FC
#19 Position #1
3 Points 13
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 0
5 Scored 10
9 Conceded 5
-4 GD +5
0.60 PPG 2.60
20% Win % 80%

Key Stats

83% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
US Catanzaro this season
20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

US Catanzaro are 19th (3 pts). Palermo FC are 1st (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

US Catanzaro
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
–/2
46-60
1/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/2
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Nicola Ceravolo. Ninety minutes of football awaits between US Catanzaro and Palermo FC.
  • 5' Palermo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 9' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Federico Bonini makes it 1-0.
  • 14' A quiet spell here at Nicola Ceravolo. US Catanzaro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' Giacomo Quagliata has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 26' What a moment for Jacopo Segre! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 31' Palermo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 36' US Catanzaro are deployed in a 3-5-1-1 today, looking to exploit space against Palermo FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 41' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Tommaso Biasci. He replaces Mattia Compagnon on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' GOAL! Tommaso Biasci scores on 56. Assisted by Simone Pontisso
  • 60' Niccolo Pierozzi has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 60.
  • 65' The referee calls foul for Nicolo Brighenti. He receives a card.
  • 70' US Catanzaro is showing some good football. However, US Catanzaro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 72' The US Catanzaro bench stirs into life. Nicolo Brighenti is withdrawn and Demba Seck gets his opportunity.
  • 73' The crowd applauds Niccolo Pierozzi as he leaves the pitch. Aljosa Vasic steps in for Palermo FC.
  • 74' US Catanzaro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 79' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His US Catanzaro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 82' The US Catanzaro manager makes a substitution. Rares Ilie departs to be replaced by Nicolo Buso.
  • 87' Time for substitution for Palermo FC. Jacopo Segre is replaced by Filippo Ranocchia.
  • 88' A change in the US Catanzaro ranks — Giacomo Quagliata exits the field as Andrea La Mantia enters on 88.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.32 US Catanzaro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.28 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro26% Draw24% Palermo FC50%
Actual: Palermo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes65% 0% No35%
Avg goals/match: 3.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

US Catanzaro or Draw
50%
Draw or Palermo FC
74%
US Catanzaro or Palermo FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
US Catanzaro18% Draw39% Palermo FC43%
Actual: Palermo FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
9.1%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 1
5.3%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 3
4.5%
0 – 0
4%
1 – 4
3.9%
1 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — US Catanzaro

Handicap US Catanzaro covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 17% 19%
+2.5 81% — 19%

Clean Sheet

US Catanzaro keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.