Carrarese Calcio vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Carrarese Calcio vs Palermo FC — Serie B at Stadio dei Marmi.
- Carrarese Calcio 38 games · 44 pts (2025/26)
- Palermo FC 38 games · 72 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Valerio Crezzini (Italy)
- Assistant 1 Dario Cecconi
- Assistant 2 Federico Fontani (Italy)
9 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 3.9 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Venezia FC | 38 | 82 |
| 2 | Frosinone Calcio | 38 | 81 |
| 3 | AC Monza | 38 | 76 |
| 4 | Palermo FC | 38 | 72 |
| 5 | US Catanzaro | 38 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena FC 2018 | 38 | 55 |
| 7 | SS Juve Stabia | 38 | 51 |
| 8 | Calcio Avellino SSD | 38 | 49 |
| 9 | Mantova 1911 SSD | 38 | 46 |
| 10 | Padova Calcio | 38 | 46 |
| 11 | AC Cesena | 38 | 46 |
| 12 | Carrarese Calcio | 38 | 44 |
| 13 | UC Sampdoria | 38 | 44 |
| 14 | ACD Virtus Entella | 38 | 42 |
| 15 | Empoli FC | 38 | 41 |
| 16 | FC Sudtirol | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | SSC Bari | 38 | 40 |
| 18 | AC Reggiana | 38 | 37 |
| 19 | Spezia Calcio | 38 | 35 |
| 20 | Delfino Pescara 1936 | 38 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Palermo FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 01 Dec | US Salernitana 1919 | A | 1–4 | L |
| 23 Nov | AC Pisa 1909 | H | 1–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Modena FC 2018 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Nov | SS Juve Stabia | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | SSC Bari | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec | Carrarese Calcio | A | 0–1 | L |
| 01 Dec | Spezia Calcio | H | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Nov | UC Sampdoria | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Nov | Frosinone Calcio | A | 1–1 | D |
| 03 Nov | AS Cittadella | H | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Oct | Mantova 1911 SSD | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Carrarese Calcio | Palermo FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #4 |
| 44 | Points | 72 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 14 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 12 / 6 |
| 47 | Scored | 61 |
| 52 | Conceded | 33 |
| -5 | GD | +28 |
| 1.16 | PPG | 1.89 |
| 26% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
Carrarese Calcio this season
Carrarese Calcio this season
45%
Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season
Palermo FC this season
Carrarese Calcio are 12th (44 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Carrarese Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Carrarese Calcio is hosting Palermo FC for another epic battle.
- 5' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nicola Antonio Calabro might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 10' Palermo FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 15' Manuel Cicconi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 20' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-1-4-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 25' Stiven Shpendi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Filippo Ranocchia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Carrarese Calcio so far.
- 35' With 0 assists to his name this season, Julian Illanes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Palermo FC.
- 40' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 45' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dimitrios Nikolaou made 93 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 50' Palermo FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 55' Pietro Ceccaroni is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Carrarese Calcio tonight.
- 60' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Thomas Henry exits the field as Matteo Brunori Sandri enters on 60.
- 61' Palermo FC ring the changes. Francesco Di Mariano has done his job and it is now time for Federico Di Francesco to step up.
- 66' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 67' A change in the Carrarese Calcio ranks — Devid Bouah exits the field as Simone Zanon enters on 67.
- 70' The referee has no hesitation. Pietro Ceccaroni is booked for Palermo FC — card on 70.
- 72' A tactical swap from Palermo FC — Jeremy Le Douaron on, Roberto Insigne off on 72 minutes.
- 73' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabriele Guarino on 73 minutes.
- 77' GOAL! Stiven Shpendi fires home to make it 1-0!
- 79' That looks like a foul for a card for Stiven Shpendi.
- 81' The whistle greets Claudio Gomes as he departs to be replaced by Jacopo Segre.
- 84' The Carrarese Calcio manager makes a substitution. Leonardo Cerri departs to be replaced by Mattia Finotto.
- 85' A change in the Carrarese Calcio ranks — Gabriele Guarino exits the field as Filippo Oliana enters on 85.
- 88' Fresh legs for Carrarese Calcio! Riccardo Palmieri comes on to replace Emanuele Zuelli.
- 90' The referee shows Carrarese Calcio player a card on 90.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Carrarese Calcio take all three points.
Lineups
Carrarese Calcio Lineups
3-5-2Starting XI
-
13
Devid Bouah ↓ Simone Zanon 67'
- 18
- 3
- 4
- 1
- 17
- 34
- 20
- 19
-
90
Leonardo Cerri ↓ Mattia Finotto 84'
- 11
Bench
- 77
-
32
Mattia Finotto ↑ 84'
- 10
- 82
-
28
Alessandro Capello ↑ 85'
- 25
- 24
- 9
- 39
-
8
Riccardo Palmieri ↑ 88'
-
6
Filippo Oliana ↑ 85'
-
72
Simone Zanon ↑ 67'
Coach
Nicola Antonio Calabro
Palermo FC Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
-
26
Valerio Verre ↓ Aljosa Vasic 61'
- 10
- 7
-
6
Claudio Gomes ↓ Jacopo Segre 81'
- 11
- 32
- 43
- 20
- 1
- 4
- 23
Bench
-
8
Jacopo Segre ↑ 81'
- 46
-
17
Federico Di Francesco ↑ 61'
- 18
-
21
Jeremy Le Douaron ↑ 72'
- 29
- 19
- 3
-
9
Matteo Brunori Sandri ↑ 60'
-
14
Aljosa Vasic ↑ 61'
- 12
- 25
Coach
Alessio Dionisi
H2H
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.93
Carrarese Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87
Palermo FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Carrarese Calcio or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Carrarese Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
Carrarese Calcio or Draw
72%
Draw or Palermo FC
60%
Carrarese Calcio or Palermo FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.1%
1 – 1
14.4%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.9%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
2.8%
3 – 0
2.1%
3 – 1
1.9%
1 – 3
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Carrarese Calcio
| Handicap | Carrarese Calcio covers | Push | Palermo FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 9% | 88% |
| -1.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -1 | 12% | 21% | 67% |
| -0.5 | 33% | — | 67% |
| +0.5 | 70% | — | 30% |
| +1 | 70% | 20% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 8% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Carrarese Calcio keeps clean sheet
42%
✗
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

