Sunday , 16 August 2026

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC San Nicola 17,179 HT 45' · FT 45'
Giulio Maggiore 6' 1–0
1–1 18' Joel Pohjanpalo
Lorenco Simic 89' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Palermo FCSerie B at San Nicola.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Nicolo Cipriani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Mario Arace (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Palermo FC H 2–1 W
06 Apr US Catanzaro A 3–3 D
30 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Mar US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Mar UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr SSC Bari A 1–2 L
06 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–3 W
30 Mar US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
14 Mar US Cremonese H 2–3 L
08 Mar UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Bari Palermo FC
#4 Position #8
40 Points 0
38 Played 0
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
60 Conceded 0
-22 GD +0
1.05 PPG
26% Win %

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Bari are 4th (40 pts). Palermo FC are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at San Nicola. SSC Bari are looking to make home advantage count against Palermo FC.
  • 5' Boris Radunovic is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SSC Bari so far.
  • 6' Against the run of play, Giulio Maggiore has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 11' SSC Bari currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 16' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Valerio Mantovani suffering a number of foals already.
  • 18' GOAL! Joel Pohjanpalo fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 23' Raffaele Maiello, a Italy , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 28' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alessio Dionisi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 48' That is a card for Palermo FC. Giangiacomo Magnani will be fuming at that decision.
  • 52' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Costantino Favasuli.
  • 57' Italy international Mattia Maita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' It’s high time Alessio Dionisi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' It looks like no one’s ball. Palermo FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 73' Another substitution for SSC Bari to replace Kevin Lasagna by Nicholas Bonfanti on 73 minute.
  • 78' With 0 assists to his name this season, Niccolo Pierozzi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SSC Bari.
  • 79' Matteo Brunori Sandri makes way for Roberto Insigne at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Palermo FC.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Mattia Maita as he leaves the pitch. Andrea Oliveri steps in for SSC Bari.
  • 84' Palermo FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 84.
  • 87' Salim Diakite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Niccolo Pierozzi on 87 minute.
  • 89' What a moment for Lorenco Simic! That strike on 89 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' Palermo FC ring the changes. Filippo Ranocchia has done his job and it is now time for Francesco Di Mariano to step up.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SSC Bari players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.52 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.57 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Bari31% Draw42% Palermo FC27%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.09
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 64%
36%
± 1.5 31%
69%
± 2.5 11%
89%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
73%
Draw or Palermo FC
69%
SSC Bari or Palermo FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari13% Draw71% Palermo FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.4%
0 – 1
17.4%
1 – 0
15.5%
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.7%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 18% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 21% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 6% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
57%
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.