SSC Bari vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie B · 2024-25

SSC Bari

2 – 1

Full Time

Palermo FC

Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC San Nicola 17,179 HT 45' · FT 45'

Giulio Maggiore 6' 1–0

1–1 18' Joel Pohjanpalo

Lorenco Simic 89' 2–1

Y 48' Giangiacomo Magnani

Costantino Favasuli 52' Y

Y 84' Kristoffer Lund

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC — Serie B at San Nicola.

SSC Bari 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Palermo FC 5 games · 13 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
Assistant 1 Nicolo Cipriani (Italy)
Assistant 2 Mario Arace (Italy)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Palermo FC	5	13
2	FC Südtirol	5	11
3	Mantova 1911 SSD	5	11
4	Modena FC 2018	5	10
5	Ascoli Calcio 1898 FC	5	10
6	Padova Calcio	5	7
7	Benevento Calcio	5	7
8	Hellas Verona FC	5	7
9	AC Cesena	5	7
10	Calcio Avellino SSD	5	7
11	AC Pisa 1909	5	7
12	SS Arezzo	5	6
13	Empoli FC	5	6
14	ACD Virtus Entella	5	5
15	L.R. Vicenza Virtus	5	5
16	US Cremonese	5	5
17	UC Sampdoria	5	4
18	SS Juve Stabia	5	3
19	US Catanzaro	5	3
20	Carrarese Calcio	5	1

Head-to-Head

SSC Bari 6 games · Avg 2.0 goals Palermo FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-04-11 SSC Bari 2–1 Palermo FC 2024-12-26 Palermo FC 1–0 SSC Bari 2024-02-02 Palermo FC 3–0 SSC Bari 2023-08-18 SSC Bari 0–0 Palermo FC

Recent Form

SSC Bari

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	Palermo FC	H	2–1	W
06 Apr	US Catanzaro	A	3–3	D
30 Mar	Carrarese Calcio	A	1–2	L
15 Mar	US Salernitana 1919	H	0–0	D
09 Mar	US Sassuolo Calcio	A	1–1	D
02 Mar	UC Sampdoria	H	1–1	D

Palermo FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Apr	SSC Bari	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	5–3	W
30 Mar	US Salernitana 1919	A	2–1	W
14 Mar	US Cremonese	H	2–3	L
08 Mar	UC Sampdoria	A	1–1	D
02 Mar	Brescia Calcio	H	1–0	W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/2

76+

3/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC

Dennis Johnsen	3 G	4 A
Dominic Vavassori	2 G
Tommaso Augello	1 G	1 A
Filippo Ranocchia	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between SSC Bari and Palermo FC is underway.
5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
6' Giulio Maggiore adds to his 0 season tally! SSC Bari lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
11' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
16' It is a cagey affair so far. SSC Bari in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Palermo FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
18' The Finland Joel Pohjanpalo breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 1-1!
23' SSC Bari are deployed in a 3-5-2 today, looking to exploit space against Palermo FC's 3-4-2-1 shape.
28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
33' The travelling Palermo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
38' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
43' Lorenco Simic is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Palermo FC tonight.
48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Giangiacomo Magnani on 48 minutes.
52' Costantino Favasuli has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 52.
57' With 0 assists to his name this season, Rayyan Baniya is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Palermo FC.
62' A quiet spell here at San Nicola. Palermo FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
67' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Palermo FC that had 116 games and scored 125 goals.
72' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
73' SSC Bari manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Nicholas Bonfanti is hanging Kevin Lasagna on the field on 73 minute.
78' SSC Bari have won 86 goals from 114 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
79' The Palermo FC bench stirs into life. Matteo Brunori Sandri is withdrawn and Roberto Insigne gets his opportunity.
81' Andrea Oliveri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mattia Maita on 81 minute.
84' Controversy at the stadium! Kristoffer Lund argues furiously but the card stands.
87' Palermo FC make a change. Niccolo Pierozzi trudges off to be replaced by Salim Diakite on 87 minutes.
89' Against the run of play, Lorenco Simic has scored! This game has turned on its head.
90' Francesco Di Mariano is ready to make an impact after coming on for Filippo Ranocchia at the 90 minute mark.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Palermo FC.

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

3-5-2

Starting XI

1
Boris Radunovic
4
Mattia Maita ↓ Andrea Oliveri 81'
44
Lorenco Simic
15
Kevin Lasagna ↓ Nicholas Bonfanti 73'
19
Cesar Falletti ↓ Nicola Bellomo 73'
21
Giulio Maggiore
17
Raffaele Maiello ↓ Francesco Vicari 90'
3
Valerio Mantovani
27
Costantino Favasuli ↓ Andrea Favilli 81'
55
Nosa Obaretin
93
Mehdi Dorval

Bench

Coach Moreno Longo

Palermo FC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

26
Valerio Verre ↓ Aljosa Vasic 79'
10
Filippo Ranocchia ↓ Francesco Di Mariano 90'
6
Claudio Gomes
28
Alexis Blin
19
Joel Pohjanpalo
12
Emil Audero
24
Giangiacomo Magnani
3
Kristoffer Lund
27
Niccolo Pierozzi ↓ Salim Diakite 87'
4
Rayyan Baniya
9
Matteo Brunori Sandri ↓ Roberto Insigne 79'

Bench

Coach Alessio Dionisi

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Filippo Ranocchia	1
Jacopo Segre	1
Pietro Ceccaroni	1
Jeremy Le Douaron	1
Joel Pohjanpalo	1
Lorenco Simic	1
Giulio Maggiore	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.17 SSC Bari xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.1 Palermo FC xG

I would bet for: SSC Bari or Palermo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SSC Bari39% Draw30% Palermo FC31%

Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw

69%

Draw or Palermo FC

61%

SSC Bari or Palermo FC

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

SSC Bari25% Draw51% Palermo FC24%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

14.3%

0 – 0

12.6%

1 – 0

10.9%

0 – 1

10.2%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 0

6.8%

0 – 2

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 1

1 – 3

2.6%

3 – 0

2.6%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap	SSC Bari covers	Push	Palermo FC covers
-2.5	5%	—	95%
-2	5%	10%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	20%	64%
-0.5	36%	—	64%
+0.5	68%	—	32%
+1	68%	19%	13%
+1.5	87%	—	13%
+2	87%	9%	4%
+2.5	96%	—	4%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Palermo FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Overview

Match Preview

Match Details

Standings

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

Key Stats

Goal Timing (This Season)

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Bari Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Palermo FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Head to Head

SSC Bari Form

Palermo FC Form

Predictions

Match Result

Both Teams to Score

Over / Under Goals

Double Chance

Half-Time Result

Correct Score

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Clean Sheet