Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
2 1
Full Time
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC San Nicola 17,179 HT 45' · FT 45'
Giulio Maggiore 6' 1–0
1–1 18' Joel Pohjanpalo
Lorenco Simic 89' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Palermo FCSerie B at San Nicola.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Nicolo Cipriani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Mario Arace (Italy)
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Palermo FC H 2–1 W
06 Apr US Catanzaro A 3–3 D
30 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Mar US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Mar UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr SSC Bari A 1–2 L
06 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–3 W
30 Mar US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
14 Mar US Cremonese H 2–3 L
08 Mar UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SSC Bari Palermo FC
#17 Position #4
40 Points 72
38 Played 38
10 / 10 / 18 W / D / L 20 / 12 / 6
38 Scored 61
60 Conceded 33
-22 GD +28
1.05 PPG 1.89
26% Win % 53%

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
SSC Bari this season
45% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

SSC Bari are 17th (40 pts). Palermo FC are 4th (72 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SSC Bari
0-15
/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Palermo FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/1
46-60
/1
61-75
1/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. SSC Bari get us underway at San Nicola.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 6' What a strike from Giulio Maggiore! The score is 1-0.
  • 11' It is a cagey affair so far. SSC Bari in their 3-5-2 trying to find a way past Palermo FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
  • 16' Palermo FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 18' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Joel Pohjanpalo makes it 1-1.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Salim Diakite made 38 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 28' The 33-year-old Cesar Falletti has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 33' Palermo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 33.
  • 38' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 43' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His SSC Bari side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 48' The referee has no hesitation. Giangiacomo Magnani is booked for Palermo FC — card on 48.
  • 52' The referee shows SSC Bari player a card on 52.
  • 57' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kevin Lasagna, as he is very good at scoring at San Nicola with 3 goals in the last 3 games.
  • 62' The home supporters are growing impatient. SSC Bari must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 67' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 72' SSC Bari currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 73' It is a substitution in SSC Bari team. Kevin Lasagna is replaced by Nicholas Bonfanti on 73 minute.
  • 78' Over 78 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 79' A change in the Palermo FC ranks — Matteo Brunori Sandri exits the field as Roberto Insigne enters on 79.
  • 81' Another substitution for SSC Bari to replace Mattia Maita by Andrea Oliveri on 81 minute.
  • 84' It’s a booking for Palermo FC player. Kristoffer Lund gets a card.
  • 87' Salim Diakite gets the nod from Palermo FC. He replaces Niccolo Pierozzi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Lorenco Simic makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and SSC Bari are in front.
  • 90' Palermo FC ring the changes. Filippo Ranocchia has done his job and it is now time for Francesco Di Mariano to step up.
  • Another three points for SSC Bari.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.52 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: SSC Bari or Palermo FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Bari29% Draw28% Palermo FC43%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
57%
Draw or Palermo FC
71%
SSC Bari or Palermo FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari17% Draw49% Palermo FC34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
12.4%
0 – 0
10.9%
0 – 2
9.9%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
4.9%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 2
4.1%
2 – 0
3.5%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 14% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 50% 50%
+1 50% 24% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 16% 11%
+2.5 89% 11%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
23%
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.