Saturday , 14 November 2026

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC, Serie B 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie B · 2024-25
2 – 1
Full Time
Fri 11 Apr 2025 · 18:30 UTC San Nicola 17,179 HT 45' · FT 45'
Giulio Maggiore 6' 1–0
1–1 18' Joel Pohjanpalo
Lorenco Simic 89' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Bari vs Palermo FC — Serie B at San Nicola.

Match Details

  • Referee Kevin Bonacina (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Nicolo Cipriani (Italy)
  • Assistant 2 Mario Arace (Italy)
5 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 6.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr Palermo FC H 2–1 W
06 Apr US Catanzaro A 3–3 D
30 Mar Carrarese Calcio A 1–2 L
15 Mar US Salernitana 1919 H 0–0 D
09 Mar US Sassuolo Calcio A 1–1 D
02 Mar UC Sampdoria H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Apr SSC Bari A 1–2 L
06 Apr US Sassuolo Calcio H 5–3 W
30 Mar US Salernitana 1919 A 2–1 W
14 Mar US Cremonese H 2–3 L
08 Mar UC Sampdoria A 1–1 D
02 Mar Brescia Calcio H 1–0 W

Key Stats

17% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Palermo FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Palermo FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/3
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Palermo FC
Dennis Johnsen 7 G 5 A
Dominic Vavassori 6 G 1 A
Joel Pohjanpalo 2 G 3 A
Antonio Palumbo 2 G 1 A
Filippo Ranocchia 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Palermo FC gets underway.
  • 5' Niccolo Pierozzi has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 467 appearances.
  • 6' Assisted by Costantino Favasuli with the perfectly-timed delivery and Giulio Maggiore makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 11' A quiet spell here at San Nicola. SSC Bari seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 16' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 18' Joel Pohjanpalo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 2 goals this season for the .
  • 23' The travelling Palermo FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 28' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Giangiacomo Magnani made 395 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Moreno Longo will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kevin Lasagna suffering a number of foals already.
  • 48' Giangiacomo Magnani has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 48.
  • 52' Costantino Favasuli is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
  • 57' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 62' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alessio Dionisi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 67' SSC Bari currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 72' SSC Bari are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Palermo FC backline.
  • 73' SSC Bari ring the changes. Kevin Lasagna has done his job and it is now time for Nicholas Bonfanti to step up.
  • 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raffaele Maiello, as he is very good at scoring at San Nicola with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 79' It is a substitution in Palermo FC team. Matteo Brunori Sandri is replaced by Roberto Insigne on 79 minute.
  • 81' Andrea Oliveri is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mattia Maita at the 81 minute mark.
  • 84' A moment of madness from Kristoffer Lund on 84 minutes earns him a card. Palermo FC will be frustrated.
  • 87' The Palermo FC manager makes a substitution. Niccolo Pierozzi departs to be replaced by Salim Diakite.
  • 89' Lorenco Simic adds to his 0 season tally! SSC Bari lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 90' Another substitution for Palermo FC to replace Filippo Ranocchia by Francesco Di Mariano on 90 minute.
  • Another three points for SSC Bari.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 SSC Bari xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Palermo FC xG
I would bet for: SSC Bari or Palermo FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari39% Draw30% Palermo FC31%
Actual: SSC Bari win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

SSC Bari or Draw
69%
Draw or Palermo FC
61%
SSC Bari or Palermo FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SSC Bari25% Draw51% Palermo FC24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
12.6%
1 – 0
10.9%
0 – 1
10.2%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
7.1%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3%
1 – 3
2.6%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — SSC Bari

Handicap SSC Bari covers Push Palermo FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 20% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 19% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

SSC Bari keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Palermo FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.