Wednesday , 30 September 2026

NEC vs PSV, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
3 – 5
Full Time
Sat 13 Sep 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs PSV — Eredivisie .

  • NEC 7 games · 8 pts (2026/27)
  • PSV 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Danny Makkelie
12 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 11.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep PSV H 3–5 L
31 Aug Fortuna Sittard A 2–3 L
24 Aug NAC Breda H 3–0 W
16 Aug Heracles Almelo A 4–1 W
09 Aug SBV Excelsior H 5–0 W
18 May Heracles Almelo A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep NEC A 5–3 W
30 Aug Telstar 1963 H 0–2 L
23 Aug FC Groningen H 4–2 W
17 Aug FC Twente '65 A 2–0 W
09 Aug Sparta Rotterdam H 6–1 W
18 May Sparta Rotterdam A 3–1 W

Season Stats

NEC PSV
#11 Position #3
8 Points 16
7 Played 7
2 / 2 / 3 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 1
12 Scored 24
13 Conceded 10
-1 GD +14
1.14 PPG 2.29
29% Win % 71%

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
90% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season

NEC are 11th (8 pts). PSV are 3rd (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at . Ninety minutes of football awaits between NEC and PSV.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from PSV to claim maximum points.

Lineups

NEC Lineups

PSV Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.92 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.14 PSV xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
NEC26% Draw21% PSV53%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes81% 0% No19%
Avg goals/match: 5.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 72%
28%
± 4.5 55%
45%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
46%
Draw or PSV
74%
NEC or PSV
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
NEC21% Draw32% PSV47%
Actual: PSV win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–5 not predicted
3 – 5
Actual
1 – 3
6.2%
1 – 2
6.1%
2 – 3
5.8%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 4
4.8%
2 – 4
4.5%
1 – 1
4.5%
2 – 1
3.8%
3 – 3
3.7%
3 – 2
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
0 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 6% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 11% 78%
-0.5 22% — 78%
+0.5 39% — 61%
+1 39% 18% 43%
+1.5 57% — 43%
+2 57% 17% 26%
+2.5 74% — 26%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
5% ✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.