Wednesday , 30 September 2026

AFC Ajax vs AZ, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:45 UTC Johan Cruijff Arena 54,215 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 52' Zico Buurmeester
Anton Gaaei 58' 1–1
1–2 83' Ibrahim Sadiq
Oliver Edvardsen 85' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

AFC Ajax vs AZ — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.

  • AFC Ajax 7 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
  • AZ 7 games · 19 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Dennis Higler
  • Assistant 1 Roy de Nas
  • Assistant 2 Dyon Fikkert
4 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AZ H 2–2 D
13 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt A 1–4 L
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W
06 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
02 Mar Almere City FC A 1–0 W
23 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar AFC Ajax A 2–2 D
13 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC A 1–3 L
06 Mar Tottenham Hotspur FC H 1–0 W
02 Mar SC Heerenveen A 1–3 L
23 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 1–0 W
20 Feb Galatasaray SK A 2–2 D

Season Stats

AFC Ajax AZ
#5 Position #1
14 Points 19
7 Played 7
4 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 6 / 1 / 0
21 Scored 18
9 Conceded 6
+12 GD +12
2.00 PPG 2.71
57% Win % 86%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
43% Clean Sheets
AZ this season

AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). AZ are 1st (19 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AZ
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/3
31-45
3/–
46-60
4/–
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! AFC Ajax welcome AZ for this crunch clash at Johan Cruijff Arena.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AZ is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Youri Baas is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for AFC Ajax so far.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. AFC Ajax in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past AZ's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 22' It’s a booking for AFC Ajax player. Kenneth Taylor gets a card.
  • 27' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 32' The referee shows AZ player a card on 32.
  • 37' Brian Brobbey, a Netherlands , has 18 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 42' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Maarten Martens will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 52' Against the run of play, Zico Buurmeester has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' Poor challenge from Kristijan Belic. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 57' Fresh legs for AFC Ajax! Davy Klaassen comes on to replace Kian Fitz-Jim.
  • 58' What a strike from Anton Gaaei! The score is 1-1.
  • 58' It’s a booking for AZ player. Jordy Clasie gets a card.
  • 63' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 68' The AZ manager makes a substitution. Denso Kasius departs to be replaced by Elijah Dijkstra.
  • 73' It’s high time Francesco Farioli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 74' The referee has no hesitation. Anton Gaaei is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 74.
  • 75' Controversy at the stadium! Alexandre Penetra argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 80' Another substitution for AZ to replace David Wolfe by Mees De Wit on 80 minute.
  • 83' AZ is taking the lead after the goal scored by Ibrahim Sadiq on 83.
  • 85' What a moment for Oliver Edvardsen! That strike on 85 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 90' AZ make a change. Zico Buurmeester trudges off to be replaced by Bruno Martins Indi on 90 minutes.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64 AZ xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax or AZ 74% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
AFC Ajax37% Draw26% AZ37%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 41%
59%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

AFC Ajax or Draw
64%
Draw or AZ
63%
AFC Ajax or AZ
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AFC Ajax28% Draw42% AZ30%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
1 – 0
5.5%
0 – 0
5.5%
0 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
5%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4.2%
2 – 3
3.6%

Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax

Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push AZ covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 11% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 18% 63%
-0.5 37% — 63%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 18% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
AZ keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.