PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at MAC3PARK Stadion.
- PEC Zwolle 12 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
- AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Bas Nijhuis
- Assistant 1 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
- Assistant 2 Charles Schaap
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | AFC Ajax | H | 0–1 | L |
| 02 Mar | Heracles Almelo | A | 2–4 | L |
| 16 Feb | SC Heerenveen | H | 1–1 | D |
| 09 Feb | AZ | A | 0–2 | L |
| 01 Feb | FC Utrecht | H | 3–3 | D |
| 26 Jan | Fortuna Sittard | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Mar | Eintracht Frankfurt | H | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Almere City FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 Feb | Royale Union Saint-Gilloise | H | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Feb | Heracles Almelo | H | 4–0 | W |
Season Stats
| PEC Zwolle | AFC Ajax | |
|---|---|---|
| #13 | Position | #3 |
| 12 | Points | 25 |
| 12 | Played | 12 |
| 3 / 3 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 1 |
| 13 | Scored | 32 |
| 24 | Conceded | 15 |
| -11 | GD | +17 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 2.08 |
| 25% | Win % | 58% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
H2H (14 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season
PEC Zwolle this season
25%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
PEC Zwolle are 13th (12 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
PEC Zwolle
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
3/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PEC Zwolle
| Koen Kostons | 4 G |
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 7 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 6 G | 2 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | 1 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. PEC Zwolle host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PEC Zwolle side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Brian Brobbey exits the field as Bertrand Traore enters on 15.
- 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 32' Poor challenge from Ryan Thomas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' Steven Berghuis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 42' A quiet spell here at MAC3PARK Stadion. PEC Zwolle seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 47' AFC Ajax has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 52' AFC Ajax have won 846 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 55' The PEC Zwolle manager makes a substitution. Ryan Thomas departs to be replaced by Nick Fichtinger.
- 60' Anton Gaaei needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 61' Kenneth Taylor makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
- 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 70' Mika Godts makes way for Jordan Henderson at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
- 72' Odysseus Velanas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dylan Mbayo at the 72 minute mark.
- 74' A tactical swap from PEC Zwolle — Kaj de Rooij on, Davy van den Berg off on 74 minutes.
- 79' PEC Zwolle are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
- 80' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Buitink. He replaces Nick Fichtinger on 80 minute.
- 84' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Kenneth Taylor by Branco van den Boomen on 84 minute.
- 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Olivier Aertssen made 491 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — PEC Zwolle 0-1 AFC Ajax.
Lineups
PEC Zwolle Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
-
30
Ryan Thomas ↓ Nick Fichtinger 55'
- 1
- 9
- 50
-
11
Dylan Mbayo ↓ Odysseus Velanas 72'
- 4
- 10
- 3
- 6
- 33
- 28
Bench
-
18
Odysseus Velanas ↑ 72'
- 29
- 40
- 25
- 2
- 23
- 5
-
22
Kaj de Rooij ↑ 74'
-
34
Nick Fichtinger ↑ 55'
AFC Ajax Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 23
- 37
- 8
-
9
Brian Brobbey ↓ Bertrand Traore 15'
- 28
- 15
- 16
- 4
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Jordan Henderson 70'
- 3
- 31
Bench
-
6
Jordan Henderson ↑ 70'
-
20
Bertrand Traore ↑ 15'
- 24
- 12
-
21
Branco van den Boomen ↑ 84'
- 13
- 51
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 70'
- 2
- 36
- 59
- 63
Coach
Francesco Farioli
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 3 |
| Brian Brobbey | 3 |
| David Neres | 3 |
| Quincy Promes | 3 |
| Lasse Schone | 2 |
| Sebastien Haller | 2 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
Head to Head
PEC Zwolle Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.69
PEC Zwolle xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
AFC Ajax to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 77% |
|
23% |
| ± 2.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
Double Chance
PEC Zwolle or Draw
38%
Draw or AFC Ajax
84%
PEC Zwolle or AFC Ajax
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
9.3%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 4
5%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — PEC Zwolle
| Handicap | PEC Zwolle covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| -1.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -1 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -0.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| +0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +1 | 30% | 24% | 46% |
| +1.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +2 | 54% | 21% | 25% |
| +2.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
Clean Sheet
PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

