Saturday , 14 November 2026

PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
0 – 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC MAC3PARK Stadion 14,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 61' Kenneth Taylor pen
Ryan Thomas 32' Y

Overview

Match Preview

PEC Zwolle vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at MAC3PARK Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Bas Nijhuis
  • Assistant 1 Stefan de Groot (Netherlands)
  • Assistant 2 Charles Schaap

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar AFC Ajax H 0–1 L
02 Mar Heracles Almelo A 2–4 L
16 Feb SC Heerenveen H 1–1 D
09 Feb AZ A 0–2 L
01 Feb FC Utrecht H 3–3 D
26 Jan Fortuna Sittard A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Mar PEC Zwolle A 1–0 W
06 Mar Eintracht Frankfurt H 1–2 L
02 Mar Almere City FC A 1–0 W
23 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
20 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–2 L
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W

Season Stats

PEC Zwolle AFC Ajax
#13 Position #3
12 Points 25
12 Played 12
3 / 3 / 6 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
13 Scored 32
24 Conceded 15
-11 GD +17
1.00 PPG 2.08
25% Win % 58%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
57% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PEC Zwolle are 13th (12 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/1
61-75
3/5
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 4 G
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. PEC Zwolle host AFC Ajax — let the battle begin!
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His PEC Zwolle side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' A change in the AFC Ajax ranks — Brian Brobbey exits the field as Bertrand Traore enters on 15.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Ryan Thomas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' Steven Berghuis has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 15 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 42' A quiet spell here at MAC3PARK Stadion. PEC Zwolle seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 47' AFC Ajax has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 52' AFC Ajax have won 846 goals from 491 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 55' The PEC Zwolle manager makes a substitution. Ryan Thomas departs to be replaced by Nick Fichtinger.
  • 60' Anton Gaaei needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 61' Kenneth Taylor makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 66' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 70' Mika Godts makes way for Jordan Henderson at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from AFC Ajax.
  • 72' Odysseus Velanas is ready to make an impact after coming on for Dylan Mbayo at the 72 minute mark.
  • 74' A tactical swap from PEC Zwolle — Kaj de Rooij on, Davy van den Berg off on 74 minutes.
  • 79' PEC Zwolle are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 80' The supporters are chanting for Thomas Buitink. He replaces Nick Fichtinger on 80 minute.
  • 84' Another substitution for AFC Ajax to replace Kenneth Taylor by Branco van den Boomen on 84 minute.
  • 89' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Olivier Aertssen made 491 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — PEC Zwolle 0-1 AFC Ajax.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.69 PEC Zwolle xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.15 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: AFC Ajax to win 62% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PEC Zwolle16% Draw22% AFC Ajax62%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

PEC Zwolle or Draw
38%
Draw or AFC Ajax
84%
PEC Zwolle or AFC Ajax
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PEC Zwolle9% Draw41% AFC Ajax50%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
13.3%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
9.3%
1 – 1
9.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 0
7.5%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 4
5%
1 – 4
3.6%
1 – 0
3.3%
2 – 2
3.1%
2 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — PEC Zwolle

Handicap PEC Zwolle covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 2% 97%
-1.5 3% — 97%
-1 3% 7% 90%
-0.5 10% — 90%
+0.5 30% — 70%
+1 30% 24% 46%
+1.5 54% — 46%
+2 54% 21% 25%
+2.5 75% — 25%

Clean Sheet

PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
51% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.