Sunday , 16 August 2026

Almere City FC vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 2 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Yanmar Stadion 4,212 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 8' Kenneth Taylor

Overview

Match Preview

Almere City FC vs AFC AjaxEredivisie at Yanmar Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Patrick Inia
7 games this season 🟨 0.1/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar AFC Ajax H 0–1 L
22 Feb Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–2 L
16 Feb NEC A 2–2 D
09 Feb FC Utrecht A 1–0 W
02 Feb RKC Waalwijk H 1–4 L
19 Jan Heracles Almelo H 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Mar Almere City FC A 1–0 W
23 Feb Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
20 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–2 L
16 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–0 W
13 Feb Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 2–0 W
09 Feb Fortuna Sittard A 2–0 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AFC Ajax
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Yanmar Stadion!
  • 5' It looks surprising Almere City FC does not make any changes. Daniele Rugani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 8' Kenneth Taylor makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and AFC Ajax are in front.
  • 13' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 18' Almere City FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's 4-3-3 shape.
  • 23' Almere City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 23.
  • 28' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Rosa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Almere City FC currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 46' Jorthy Mokio is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kian Fitz-Jim at the 46 minute mark.
  • 51' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 54' It’s gonna be a card for Jamie Lawrence.
  • 57' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Mika Godts departs to be replaced by Oliver Edvardsen.
  • 62' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thom Haye, as he is very good at scoring at Yanmar Stadion with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 72' A tactical swap from AFC AjaxJordan Henderson on, Steven Berghuis off on 72 minutes.
  • 77' The energy levels are beginning to show. Francesco Farioli might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 82' Kornelius Hansen has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Almere City FC team. Junior Kadile is replaced by Olivier de Nijs on 84 minute.
  • 85' Another substitution for Almere City FC to replace Charles-Andreas Brym by Ruben Providence on 85 minute.
  • 90' Another change for AFC Ajax made on 90 minute. Kenneth Taylor leaves to be changed by Lucas Rosa.
  • AFC Ajax celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.79 Almere City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Almere City FC21% Draw28% AFC Ajax51%
Actual: AFC Ajax win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 41%
59%
± 3.5 21%
79%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Almere City FC or Draw
48%
Draw or AFC Ajax
79%
Almere City FC or AFC Ajax
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Almere City FC14% Draw49% AFC Ajax37%
Actual: AFC Ajax win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.6%
0 – 0
11.8%
0 – 2
11.2%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.5%
0 – 3
5.7%
1 – 3
4.6%
2 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
3.6%
2 – 0
2.9%
0 – 4
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Almere City FC

Handicap Almere City FC covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 25% 29%
+1.5 71% 29%
+2 71% 17% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

Almere City FC keeps clean sheet
22%
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.