Saturday , 14 November 2026

PSV vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2025-26
2 – 2
Full Time
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie .

  • PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
  • AFC Ajax 12 games · 25 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
12 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 13.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep AFC Ajax H 2–2 D
16 Sep Royale Union Saint-Gilloise H 1–3 L
13 Sep NEC A 5–3 W
30 Aug Telstar 1963 H 0–2 L
23 Aug FC Groningen H 4–2 W
17 Aug FC Twente '65 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep PSV A 2–2 D
17 Sep FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
13 Sep PEC Zwolle H 3–1 W
30 Aug FC Volendam A 1–1 D
24 Aug Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W
17 Aug Go Ahead Eagles A 2–2 D

Season Stats

PSV AFC Ajax
#1 Position #3
26 Points 25
12 Played 12
8 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 7 / 4 / 1
40 Scored 32
15 Conceded 15
+25 GD +17
2.17 PPG 2.08
67% Win % 58%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
25% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season

PSV are 1st (26 pts). AFC Ajax are 3rd (25 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AFC Ajax
0-15
3/1
16-30
3/1
31-45
8/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
8/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PSV
Sven Mijnans 9 G 2 A
Guus Til 7 G 1 A
Ruben van Bommel 4 G 3 A
Ricardo Pepi 4 G 1 A
Sergino Dest 2 G 2 A
AFC Ajax
Toluwalas Arokodare 7 G 1 A
Julian Brandt 6 G 2 A
Davy Klaassen 3 G 1 A
Jorthy Mokio 3 G 1 A
Kasper Dolberg 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. PSV get us underway at .
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

PSV Lineups

AFC Ajax Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.17 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86 AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for: PSV or AFC Ajax 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
PSV44% Draw24% AFC Ajax32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.03
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
67%
Draw or AFC Ajax
56%
PSV or AFC Ajax
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV35% Draw38% AFC Ajax27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
2 – 1
7.6%
2 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.4%
3 – 2
5%
2 – 0
4.3%
2 – 3
4.3%
1 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.5%
0 – 2
3.2%
3 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push AFC Ajax covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 13% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 18% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 10% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.