Norwich City FC vs Oxford United FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Norwich City FC vs Oxford United FC — Championship at Carrow Road.
- Norwich City FC 8 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Oxford United FC 46 games · 47 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee James Bell
- Assistant 1 Ian Cooper
- Assistant 2 Darren Williams (England)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 8 | 17 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 8 | 15 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 8 | 15 |
| 4 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 8 | 13 |
| 7 | Stoke City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 8 | Bristol City FC | 8 | 13 |
| 9 | Charlton Athletic FC | 8 | 12 |
| 10 | Birmingham City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 11 | Millwall FC | 8 | 11 |
| 12 | Lincoln City FC | 8 | 11 |
| 13 | Southampton FC | 8 | 10 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 8 | 10 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 16 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 8 | 9 |
| 17 | Norwich City FC | 8 | 9 |
| 18 | Sheffield United FC | 8 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 8 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 8 | 7 |
| 22 | Derby County FC | 8 | 5 |
| 23 | Preston North End FC | 8 | 4 |
| 24 | Burnley FC | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | Oxford United FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Stoke City FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 15 Feb | Hull City AFC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Feb | Preston North End FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Feb | Derby County FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | Norwich City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | Coventry City FC | H | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Feb | West Bromwich Albion FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | Portsmouth FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Feb | Derby County FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Feb | Burnley FC | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Norwich City FC this season
Norwich City FC this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Norwich City FC
0-15
5/4
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
5/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Norwich City FC
| Mohamed Toure | 5 G | |
| Andre Brooks | 2 G | 2 A |
| Mathias Kvistgaarden | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Carrow Road!
- 5' Josh Sargent adds to his 4 season tally! Norwich City FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 10' Norwich City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Oxford United FC backline.
- 15' Norwich City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' The Wales Mark Harris breaks the deadlock on 18 minutes. 1-1!
- 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Long made 369 appearances and scored 16 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 28' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 33' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 5-3-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 38' Norwich City FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 43' A quiet spell here at Carrow Road. Oxford United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 48' It is a cagey affair so far. Norwich City FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Oxford United FC's compact 5-3-2.
- 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Oxford United FC that had 369 games and scored 490 goals.
- 58' Matt Phillips needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 63' Ole Romeny makes way for Matt Phillips at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Oxford United FC.
- 68' Norwich City FC are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's 5-3-2 shape.
- 69' Oxford United FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 72' It’s a booking for Oxford United FC player. Ciaron Brown gets a card.
- 72' Another substitution for Norwich City FC to replace Jacob Wright by Onel Hernandez on 72 minute.
- 77' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 82' Fresh legs for Oxford United FC! Idris El Mizouni comes on to replace Alex Matos.
- 83' Norwich City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Emiliano Marcondes is hanging Jack Stacey on the field on 83 minute.
- 88' Another substitution for Oxford United FC to replace Mark Harris by Stanley Mills on 88 minute.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Norwich City FC Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3
- 9
- 19
- 7
-
20
Anis Ben Slimane ↓ Kenny McLean 63'
- 6
- 35
- 36
-
16
Jacob Wright ↓ Onel Hernandez 72'
- 33
-
17
Ante Crnac ↓ Oscar Schwartau 82'
Bench
- 4
-
25
Onel Hernandez ↑ 72'
-
23
Kenny McLean ↑ 63'
- 38
-
11
Emiliano Marcondes ↑ 83'
-
29
Oscar Schwartau ↑ 82'
- 44
- 15
- 43
Coach
Johannes Thorup
Oxford United FC Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
-
9
Mark Harris ↓ Stanley Mills 88'
- 3
- 4
- 8
-
24
Hidde ter Avest ↓ Sam Long 82'
- 1
-
11
Ole Romeny ↓ Matt Phillips 63'
- 47
- 5
- 7
-
18
Alex Matos ↓ Idris El Mizouni 82'
Bench
-
10
Matt Phillips ↑ 63'
- 21
-
2
Sam Long ↑ 82'
- 23
-
15
Idris El Mizouni ↑ 82'
-
20
Ruben Rodrigues ↑ 63'
- 19
- 30
-
44
Stanley Mills ↑ 88'
Coach
Gary Rowett
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mark Harris | 2 |
| Josh Sargent | 1 |
| Cameron Brannagan | 1 |
Head to Head
Norwich City FC Form
Oxford United FC Form
2025-03-07
Norwich City FC
1–1
Oxford United FC
D
2025-03-01
Oxford United FC
2–3
Coventry City FC
L
2025-02-22
West Bromwich Albion FC
2–0
Oxford United FC
L
2025-02-15
Oxford United FC
0–2
Portsmouth FC
L
2025-02-11
Derby County FC
0–0
Oxford United FC
D
2025-02-04
Burnley FC
1–0
Oxford United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.18
Norwich City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09
Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for:
Norwich City FC or Oxford United FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
Norwich City FC or Draw
70%
Draw or Oxford United FC
60%
Norwich City FC or Oxford United FC
70%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
12.7%
1 – 0
11%
0 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3%
3 – 0
2.7%
1 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Norwich City FC
| Handicap | Norwich City FC covers | Push | Oxford United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -2 | 5% | 11% | 84% |
| -1.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| -1 | 16% | 21% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 19% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 9% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Norwich City FC keeps clean sheet
34%
✓
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.