Sunday , 16 August 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brisbane Road 8,499 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Louie Sibley
0–3 79' Thomas Barkhuizen

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
2
Leyton Orient FC 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Derby County FC H 0–3 L
03 Dec Chesterfield FC A 0–1 L
28 Nov Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
25 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
21 Nov Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
11 Nov Oxford United FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Leyton Orient FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leyton Orient FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/1
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Brisbane Road!
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 8' The referee calls foul for Conor Hourihane. He receives a card.
  • 13' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 18' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 18 minutes.
  • 23' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 28' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 33' Over 33 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 34' Louie Sibley has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 34 minutes.
  • 39' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Leyton Orient FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 44' The referee calls foul for Brandon Cooper. He receives a card.
  • 45' Time for substitution for Leyton Orient FC. George Moncur is replaced by Omar Beckles.
  • 47' The Guatemala Nathaniel Mendez-Laing breaks the deadlock on 47 minutes. 0-2!
  • 47' Idris El Mizouni catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
  • 52' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 54' The Leyton Orient FC bench stirs into life. Joe Pigott is withdrawn and Darren Pratley gets his opportunity.
  • 59' A quiet spell here at Brisbane Road. Leyton Orient FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 62' Theodore Archibald makes way for Daniel Agyei at the 62 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leyton Orient FC.
  • 67' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Leyton Orient FC and Derby County FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 72' The Derby County FC bench stirs into life. James Collins is withdrawn and Tyreece John-Jules gets his opportunity.
  • 77' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 79' What composure from Thomas Barkhuizen! The England international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 82' Another change for Derby County FC made on 82 minute. Conor Hourihane leaves to be changed by Tyrese Fornah.
  • 87' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kane Wilson suffering a number of foals already.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Derby County FC. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing is replaced by Dajaune Brown.
  • With this win, Derby County FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC20% Draw26% Derby County FC54%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Derby County FC
80%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leyton Orient FC13% Draw46% Derby County FC41%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
11.6%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 25% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 19% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.