Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 15:00 UTC Brisbane Road 8,499 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 34' Louie Sibley
0–3 79' Thomas Barkhuizen

Overview

Match Preview

Leyton Orient FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Brisbane Road.

Match Details

  • Referee David Rock
  • Assistant 1 Kevin Morris
  • Assistant 2

Head-to-Head

1
2
Leyton Orient FC 3 games · Avg 5.7 goals Derby County FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Derby County FC H 0–3 L
03 Dec Chesterfield FC A 0–1 L
28 Nov Bristol Rovers FC A 1–1 D
25 Nov Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
21 Nov Lincoln City FC H 0–1 L
11 Nov Oxford United FC H 2–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Leyton Orient FC A 3–0 W
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.81 Leyton Orient FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leyton Orient FC20% Draw26% Derby County FC54%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Leyton Orient FC or Draw
45%
Draw or Derby County FC
80%
Leyton Orient FC or Derby County FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leyton Orient FC13% Draw46% Derby County FC41%
Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
12.5%
0 – 2
11.6%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
5.6%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
0 – 4
3.1%
1 – 4
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Leyton Orient FC

Handicap Leyton Orient FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 10% 85%
-0.5 15% 85%
+0.5 41% 59%
+1 41% 25% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 19% 16%
+2.5 84% 16%

Clean Sheet

Leyton Orient FC keeps clean sheet
18%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.