Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Vale Park.
- Port Vale FC 46 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paul Howard
- Assistant 1 Mark Jones
- Assistant 2 Darren Wilding
3 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 9.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City AFC | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | Sheffield Wednesday FC | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 8 | 13 |
| 4 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 8 | 13 |
| 5 | Cambridge United FC | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Burton Albion FC | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Reading FC | 7 | 11 |
| 10 | Oxford United FC | 6 | 11 |
| 11 | Leyton Orient FC | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 8 | 10 |
| 13 | Stevenage FC | 7 | 9 |
| 14 | Leicester City FC | 7 | 9 |
| 15 | Blackpool FC | 7 | 8 |
| 16 | Luton Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 17 | Mansfield Town FC | 7 | 8 |
| 18 | Barnsley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 19 | Bromley FC | 7 | 8 |
| 20 | Notts County FC | 7 | 7 |
| 21 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 7 | 6 |
| 22 | Milton Keynes Dons FC | 7 | 6 |
| 23 | Peterborough United FC | 8 | 5 |
| 24 | Wigan Athletic FC | 7 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Nov | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Burton Albion FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | Northampton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Port Vale FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Vale Park.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyreece John-Jules, as he is very good at scoring at Vale Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 15' The 33-year-old Curtis Nelson has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Tyrese Fornah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 377 appearances.
- 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 55' Port Vale FC is showing some good football. However, Port Vale FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Andy Crosby might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 70' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 70 minute. Uche Ikpeazu leaves to be changed by Ryan Loft.
- 71' Alex Iacovitti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' Thomas Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Collins on 76 minute.
- 77' Magnificent from Tyreece John-Jules! That is 10 goals in 420 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 78' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Gavin Massey departs to be replaced by James Plant.
- 79' Ethan Chislett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie Devine on 79 minute.
- 81' Port Vale FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jesse Debrah is hanging Alex Iacovitti on the field on 81 minute.
- 84' That is a card for Port Vale FC. Ryan Loft will be fuming at that decision.
- 85' Sonny Bradley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 85 minute.
- 90' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Conor Hourihane departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Port Vale FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
19
Gavin Massey ↓ James Plant 78'
- 1
- 6
-
17
Alex Iacovitti ↓ Jesse Debrah 81'
-
12
Uche Ikpeazu ↓ Ryan Loft 70'
- 4
- 8
-
11
Alfie Devine ↓ Ethan Chislett 79'
- 18
- 14
Bench
- 13
- 20
-
10
Ethan Chislett ↑ 79'
-
9
Ryan Loft ↑ 70'
-
21
James Plant ↑ 78'
-
27
Jesse Debrah ↑ 81'
- 24
Coach
Andy Crosby
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Louie Sibley 90'
- 2
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 10
- 23
- 31
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 85'
-
19
Tyreece John-Jules ↑ 76'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 90'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 76'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Funso-King Ojo | 1 |
| Tyreece John-Jules | 1 |
| Dwight Gayle | 1 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Ellis Harrison | 1 |
Head to Head
Port Vale FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1
Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC
| Handicap | Port Vale FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

