Thursday , 2 July 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park 8,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 77' Tyreece John-Jules

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FCLeague One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Howard
  • Assistant 1 Mark Jones
  • Assistant 2 Darren Wilding

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Derby County FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Port Vale FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 153 games and scored 112 goals.
  • 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 25' It looks surprising Port Vale FC does not make any changes. Gavin Massey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing made 372 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Port Vale FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jason Lowe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 65' Uche Ikpeazu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
  • 70' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Loft. He replaces Uche Ikpeazu on 70 minute.
  • 71' The referee shows Port Vale FC player a card on 71.
  • 76' The whistle greets James Collins as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
  • 77' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tyreece John-Jules on 77.
  • 78' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 78 minute. Gavin Massey leaves to be changed by James Plant.
  • 79' Ethan Chislett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie Devine on 79 minute.
  • 81' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Iacovitti departs to be replaced by Jesse Debrah.
  • 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Loft on 84.
  • 85' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sonny Bradley is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 85 minute.
  • 90' The supporters are chanting for Louie Sibley. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw31% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC21% Draw53% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.