Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Vale Park.
- Port Vale FC 46 games · 42 pts (2026/27)
- Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Paul Howard
- Assistant 1 Mark Jones
- Assistant 2 Darren Wilding
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lincoln City FC | 46 | 103 |
| 2 | Cardiff City FC | 46 | 91 |
| 3 | Stockport County FC | 46 | 77 |
| 4 | Bradford City AFC | 46 | 77 |
| 5 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 46 | 75 |
| 6 | Stevenage FC | 46 | 75 |
| 7 | Luton Town FC | 46 | 74 |
| 8 | Plymouth Argyle FC | 46 | 73 |
| 9 | Huddersfield Town AFC | 46 | 67 |
| 10 | Mansfield Town FC | 46 | 65 |
| 11 | Wycombe Wanderers FC | 46 | 63 |
| 12 | Reading FC | 46 | 63 |
| 13 | Blackpool FC | 46 | 60 |
| 14 | Doncaster Rovers FC | 46 | 60 |
| 15 | Barnsley FC | 46 | 59 |
| 16 | Wigan Athletic FC | 46 | 56 |
| 17 | Burton Albion FC | 46 | 54 |
| 18 | Peterborough United FC | 46 | 53 |
| 19 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 53 |
| 20 | Leyton Orient FC | 46 | 52 |
| 21 | Exeter City FC | 46 | 49 |
| 22 | Port Vale FC | 46 | 42 |
| 23 | Rotherham United FC | 46 | 41 |
| 24 | Northampton Town FC | 46 | 35 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Derby County FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Nov | Shrewsbury Town FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Nov | Burton Albion FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Nov | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Nov | Burton Albion FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Oct | Cheltenham Town FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov | Port Vale FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Nov | Bristol Rovers FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Nov | Barnsley FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 Nov | Crewe Alexandra FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Oct | Northampton Town FC | H | 4–0 | W |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Port Vale FC is hosting Derby County FC for another epic battle.
- 5' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 153 games and scored 112 goals.
- 20' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 25' It looks surprising Port Vale FC does not make any changes. Gavin Massey has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 30' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Nathaniel Mendez-Laing made 372 appearances and scored 29 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Port Vale FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 50' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 55' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 60' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jason Lowe suffering a number of foals already.
- 65' Uche Ikpeazu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 24 Yellow cards this season.
- 70' The supporters are chanting for Ryan Loft. He replaces Uche Ikpeazu on 70 minute.
- 71' The referee shows Port Vale FC player a card on 71.
- 76' The whistle greets James Collins as he departs to be replaced by Thomas Barkhuizen.
- 77' Derby County FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Tyreece John-Jules on 77.
- 78' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 78 minute. Gavin Massey leaves to be changed by James Plant.
- 79' Ethan Chislett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie Devine on 79 minute.
- 81' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Alex Iacovitti departs to be replaced by Jesse Debrah.
- 84' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ryan Loft on 84.
- 85' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sonny Bradley is hanging Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on the field on 85 minute.
- 90' The supporters are chanting for Louie Sibley. He replaces Conor Hourihane on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.
Lineups
Port Vale FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
-
19
Gavin Massey ↓ James Plant 78'
- 1
- 6
-
17
Alex Iacovitti ↓ Jesse Debrah 81'
-
12
Uche Ikpeazu ↓ Ryan Loft 70'
- 4
- 8
-
11
Alfie Devine ↓ Ethan Chislett 79'
- 18
- 14
Bench
- 13
- 20
-
10
Ethan Chislett ↑ 79'
-
9
Ryan Loft ↑ 70'
-
21
James Plant ↑ 78'
-
27
Jesse Debrah ↑ 81'
- 24
Coach
Andy Crosby
Derby County FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 8
- 11
-
4
Conor Hourihane ↓ Louie Sibley 90'
- 2
- 24
- 35
- 9
- 22
- 6
- 1
Bench
- 10
- 23
- 31
-
5
Sonny Bradley ↑ 85'
-
19
Tyreece John-Jules ↑ 76'
-
17
Louie Sibley ↑ 90'
-
7
Thomas Barkhuizen ↑ 76'
Coach
Paul Warne
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Louie Sibley | 2 |
| James Collins | 1 |
| Ellis Harrison | 1 |
| James Wilson | 1 |
| Nathaniel Mendez-Laing | 1 |
| David McGoldrick | 1 |
| Funso-King Ojo | 1 |
| Tyreece John-Jules | 1 |
Head to Head
Port Vale FC Form
Derby County FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1
Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17
Derby County FC xG
I would bet for:
Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Derby County FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%
Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC
| Handicap | Port Vale FC covers | Push | Derby County FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 89% |
| -1.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -1 | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +1 | 62% | 21% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 11% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

