Saturday , 14 November 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park 8,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 77' Tyreece John-Jules

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Howard
  • Assistant 1 Mark Jones
  • Assistant 2 Darren Wilding
3 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Derby County FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Port Vale FC host Derby County FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' It is a cagey affair so far. Port Vale FC in their trying to find a way past Derby County FC's compact .
  • 10' Port Vale FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Derby County FC's shape.
  • 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Port Vale FC that had 153 games and scored 112 goals.
  • 25' Over 25 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 30' Max Bird, a England midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Tyreece John-Jules has been relatively quiet despite scoring 11 goals in his last 425 appearances.
  • 40' Derby County FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 40.
  • 45' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jason Lowe suffering a number of foals already.
  • 50' It’s high time Paul Warne made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 55' Port Vale FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 60' Thomas Barkhuizen has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 65' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Port Vale FC. Uche Ikpeazu is replaced by Ryan Loft.
  • 71' Alex Iacovitti is having his name booked by the referee on 71.
  • 76' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace James Collins by Thomas Barkhuizen on 76 minute.
  • 77' Tyreece John-Jules adds to his 1 season tally! Derby County FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Port Vale FC team. Gavin Massey is replaced by James Plant on 78 minute.
  • 79' Another substitution for Port Vale FC to replace Alfie Devine by Ethan Chislett on 79 minute.
  • 81' The whistle greets Alex Iacovitti as he departs to be replaced by Jesse Debrah.
  • 84' That is a card for Port Vale FC. Ryan Loft will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' Another substitution for Derby County FC to replace Nathaniel Mendez-Laing by Sonny Bradley on 85 minute.
  • 90' Derby County FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Louie Sibley is hanging Conor Hourihane on the field on 90 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw31% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC21% Draw53% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.