Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park 8,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 77' Tyreece John-Jules

Overview

Match Preview

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC — League One at Vale Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Paul Howard
  • Assistant 1 Mark Jones
  • Assistant 2 Darren Wilding
3 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Derby County FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Port Vale FC welcome Derby County FC for this crunch clash at Vale Park.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Tyreece John-Jules, as he is very good at scoring at Vale Park with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 15' The 33-year-old Curtis Nelson has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Tyrese Fornah has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 377 appearances.
  • 25' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 25 minutes.
  • 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' Port Vale FC is showing some good football. However, Port Vale FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 65' The energy levels are beginning to show. Andy Crosby might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 70' Another change for Port Vale FC made on 70 minute. Uche Ikpeazu leaves to be changed by Ryan Loft.
  • 71' Alex Iacovitti picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' Thomas Barkhuizen has so much to prove this time. He replaces James Collins on 76 minute.
  • 77' Magnificent from Tyreece John-Jules! That is 10 goals in 420 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 78' The Port Vale FC manager makes a substitution. Gavin Massey departs to be replaced by James Plant.
  • 79' Ethan Chislett has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alfie Devine on 79 minute.
  • 81' Port Vale FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jesse Debrah is hanging Alex Iacovitti on the field on 81 minute.
  • 84' That is a card for Port Vale FC. Ryan Loft will be fuming at that decision.
  • 85' Sonny Bradley has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nathaniel Mendez-Laing on 85 minute.
  • 90' The Derby County FC manager makes a substitution. Conor Hourihane departs to be replaced by Louie Sibley.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Derby County FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw31% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC21% Draw53% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% — 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% — 71%
+0.5 62% — 38%
+1 62% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.