Sunday , 16 August 2026

Port Vale FC vs Derby County FC, League One 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2023-24
Tue 28 Nov 2023 · 19:45 UTC Vale Park 8,062 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 77' Tyreece John-Jules

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Derby County FC H 0–1 L
25 Nov Shrewsbury Town FC A 1–2 L
14 Nov Burton Albion FC A 2–0 W
11 Nov Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
04 Nov Burton Albion FC H 0–0 D
28 Oct Cheltenham Town FC H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Nov Port Vale FC A 1–0 W
25 Nov Bristol Rovers FC H 2–1 W
14 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC H 1–3 L
11 Nov Barnsley FC H 3–0 W
05 Nov Crewe Alexandra FC A 2–2 D
31 Oct Northampton Town FC H 4–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1 Port Vale FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.17 Derby County FC xG
I would bet for: Derby County FC or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC30% Draw31% Derby County FC39%
Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Port Vale FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Derby County FC
70%
Port Vale FC or Derby County FC
69%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Port Vale FC21% Draw53% Derby County FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 0
13.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
10.2%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
3.9%
1 – 3
3%
0 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Port Vale FC

Handicap Port Vale FC covers Push Derby County FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 18% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 21% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Port Vale FC keeps clean sheet
32%
Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.