Thursday , 1 October 2026

Lincoln City FC vs Oxford United FC, League One 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

League One · 2022-23
Sat 4 Mar 2023 · 15:00 UTC LNER Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Oxford United FC H 1–0 W
28 Feb Milton Keynes Dons FC H 1–1 D
25 Feb Forest Green Rovers FC A 1–1 D
18 Feb Portsmouth FC H 0–0 D
14 Feb Derby County FC A 1–1 D
11 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Lincoln City FC A 0–1 L
25 Feb Bristol Rovers FC H 0–3 L
18 Feb Cambridge United FC A 0–1 L
14 Feb Plymouth Argyle FC H 1–3 L
11 Feb Milton Keynes Dons FC A 1–1 D
04 Feb Shrewsbury Town FC H 0–1 L

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
33% Clean Sheets
Oxford United FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Oxford United FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Oxford United FC
Mark Harris 3 G 1 A
Gatlin O'Donkor 3 G 1 A
Ciaron Brown 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Lincoln City FC and Oxford United FC has kicked off!
  • 5' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 10' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mark Kennedy might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' It looks surprising Lincoln City FC does not make any changes. Elliott Moore has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 23' GOAL! Daniel Mandroiu scores on 23.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sam Long, as he is very good at scoring at LNER Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' The referee calls foul for Marcus Browne. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 38' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Oxford United FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 43' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 48' Lincoln City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Oxford United FC's shape.
  • 53' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Simon Eastwood suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Kyle Joseph departs to be replaced by Gatlin O'Donkor.
  • 58' The Lincoln City FC bench stirs into life. Olamide Shodipo is withdrawn and Jack Diamond gets his opportunity.
  • 63' Regan Poole has been relatively quiet despite scoring 10 goals in his last 22 appearances.
  • 68' Oxford United FC is showing some good football. However, Oxford United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 73' Lincoln City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' The Oxford United FC manager makes a substitution. Marcus Browne departs to be replaced by Yanic Wildschut.
  • 81' Another substitution for Lincoln City FC to replace Lasse Sorensen by Max Sanders on 81 minute.
  • 85' Djavan Anderson gets the nod from Oxford United FC. He replaces Tyler Goodrham and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' A moment of madness from Elliott Moore on 87 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Oxford United FC will be frustrated.
  • 89' Luke Plange is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Mandroiu at the 89 minute mark.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.21 Lincoln City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.85 Oxford United FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 66% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Lincoln City FC49% Draw29% Oxford United FC22%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.06
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Lincoln City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or Oxford United FC
51%
Lincoln City FC or Oxford United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Lincoln City FC29% Draw54% Oxford United FC17%
Actual: Lincoln City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
15%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 1
9.5%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.4%
3 – 0
3.6%
2 – 2
3.4%
3 – 1
3.2%
1 – 3
1.6%

Asian Handicap — Lincoln City FC

Handicap Lincoln City FC covers Push Oxford United FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 13% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 24% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 16% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Lincoln City FC keeps clean sheet
43% ✗
Oxford United FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.