Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Newcastle United FC, Champions League 2025-26 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 25 Nov 2025 · 20:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Head-to-Head

1
Olympique de Marseille 1 games · Avg 3.0 goals Newcastle United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W
21 Nov OGC Nice A 5–1 W
08 Nov Stade Brestois 29 H 3–0 W
05 Nov Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
01 Nov AJ Auxerre A 1–0 W
29 Oct Angers SCO H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 1–2 L
22 Nov Manchester City FC H 2–1 W
09 Nov Brentford FC A 1–3 L
05 Nov Athletic Club H 2–0 W
02 Nov West Ham United FC A 1–3 L
25 Oct Fulham FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Newcastle United FC
#25 Position #12
9 Points 14
8 Played 8
3 / 0 / 5 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 2
11 Scored 17
14 Conceded 7
-3 GD +10
1.13 PPG 1.75
38% Win % 50%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (1 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
33% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 25th (9 pts). Newcastle United FC are 12th (14 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

Newcastle United FC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.51 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56 Newcastle United FC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Newcastle United FC 75% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille42% Draw25% Newcastle United FC33%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
67%
Draw or Newcastle United FC
58%
Olympique de Marseille or Newcastle United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille27% Draw44% Newcastle United FC29%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
1 – 2
8.2%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
4.3%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Newcastle United FC covers
-2.5 7% 93%
-2 7% 11% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 18% 64%
-0.5 36% 64%
+0.5 62% 38%
+1 62% 19% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 11% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
22%
Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.