Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,115 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Joao Neves
0–2 29' Leonardo Balerdi og
0–3 40' Bradley Barcola

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
13 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Montpellier HSC A 5–0 W
04 Oct Angers SCO H 1–1 D
29 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–1 L
22 Sep Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
14 Sep OGC Nice H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 3–0 W
22 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
19 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 4–2 W
06 Oct OGC Nice A 1–1 D
01 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris Saint-Germain FC
#17 Position #6
3 Points 8
5 Played 5
1 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 1
7 Scored 8
8 Conceded 7
-1 GD +1
0.60 PPG 1.60
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
20% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 17th (3 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 6th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
1/2
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/2
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 4 G 1 A
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G
Marquinhos 3 G
Vitinha 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.04 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.92 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 56% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille22% Draw25% Paris Saint-Germain FC53%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
48%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
78%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille16% Draw43% Paris Saint-Germain FC41%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
9.4%
0 – 1
9.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
1 – 3
6.1%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.3%
1 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 34%
+1.5 66% — 34%
+2 66% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.