Thursday , 2 July 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,115 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Joao Neves
0–2 29' Leonardo Balerdi og
0–3 40' Bradley Barcola

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FCLigue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
20 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 6.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Montpellier HSC A 5–0 W
04 Oct Angers SCO H 1–1 D
29 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–1 L
22 Sep Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
14 Sep OGC Nice H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 3–0 W
22 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
19 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 4–2 W
06 Oct OGC Nice A 1–1 D
01 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris Saint-Germain FC
#7 Position #3
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 3rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.3 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille15% Draw35% Paris Saint-Germain FC50%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.36
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 40%
60%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
50%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
85%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille5% Draw63% Paris Saint-Germain FC32%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.2%
0 – 1
26%
0 – 2
13.5%
1 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
6.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
1.8%
0 – 4
1.3%
2 – 1
1.2%
2 – 0
0.9%
2 – 2
0.8%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 1% 99%
-1.5 1% 99%
-1 1% 7% 91%
-0.5 9% 91%
+0.5 46% 54%
+1 46% 31% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 15% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
35%
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
74%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.