Saturday , 14 November 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 27 Oct 2024 · 19:45 UTC Orange Velodrome 66,115 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Joao Neves
0–2 29' Leonardo Balerdi og
0–3 40' Bradley Barcola

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-Germain FC — Ligue 1 at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
  • Assistant 1 Cyril Mugnier
  • Assistant 2 Mehdi Rahmouni
18 games this season 🟨 4.1/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 0–3 L
20 Oct Montpellier HSC A 5–0 W
04 Oct Angers SCO H 1–1 D
29 Sep RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–1 L
22 Sep Olympique Lyonnais A 3–2 W
14 Sep OGC Nice H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Oct Olympique de Marseille A 3–0 W
22 Oct PSV H 1–1 D
19 Oct RC Strasbourg Alsace H 4–2 W
06 Oct OGC Nice A 1–1 D
01 Oct Arsenal FC A 0–2 L
27 Sep Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille Paris Saint-Germain FC
#4 Position #1
18 Points 23
10 Played 10
6 / 0 / 4 W / D / L 7 / 2 / 1
22 Scored 22
14 Conceded 10
+8 GD +12
1.80 PPG 2.30
60% Win % 70%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Olympique de Marseille this season
30% Clean Sheets
Paris Saint-Germain FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 4th (18 pts). Paris Saint-Germain FC are 1st (23 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
4/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
6/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Paris Saint-Germain FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/2
76+
7/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 7 G 3 A
Amine Harit 3 G 1 A
Himad Abdelli 3 G
Igor Paixao 2 G 1 A
Keyliane Abdallah 2 G
Paris Saint-Germain FC
Ferran Torres 4 G 1 A
Achraf Hakimi 3 G 2 A
Marquinhos 3 G
Mika Godts 2 G 1 A
Senny Mayulu 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Orange Velodrome!
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 7' Joao Neves has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 12' named a 4-2-3-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 17' Paris Saint-Germain FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 18' Controversy at the stadium! Pierre Emile Hojbjerg argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 20' Amine Harit picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 25' Olympique de Marseille is showing some good football. However, Olympique de Marseille are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 29' A stunning finish from Leonardo Balerdi — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Marquinhos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Olympique de Marseille tonight.
  • 40' Against the run of play, Bradley Barcola has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 45' The home supporters are growing impatient. Olympique de Marseille must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 46' The Olympique de Marseille manager makes a substitution. Mason Greenwood departs to be replaced by Jonathan Rowe.
  • 50' A change in the Paris Saint-Germain FC ranks — Nuno Mendes exits the field as Lucas Beraldo enters on 50.
  • 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Luis Enrique will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' Supporters expect more eagerness from Achraf Hakimi, as he is very good at scoring at Orange Velodrome with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 67' A change in the Paris Saint-Germain FC ranks — Warren Zaire-Emery exits the field as Fabian Ruiz enters on 67.
  • 72' Paris Saint-Germain FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 77' Over 77 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 78' Paris Saint-Germain FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Marco Asensio is hanging Joao Neves on the field on 78 minute.
  • 83' The 31-year-old Pierre Emile Hojbjerg has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 85' It is a substitution in Olympique de Marseille team. Luis Henrique is replaced by Pol Mikel Lirola on 85 minute.
  • 90' Olympique de Marseille currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.11 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.06 Paris Saint-Germain FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille22% Draw24% Paris Saint-Germain FC54%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
47%
Draw or Paris Saint-Germain FC
78%
Olympique de Marseille or Paris Saint-Germain FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille17% Draw41% Paris Saint-Germain FC42%
Actual: Paris Saint-Germain FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
8.1%
1 – 3
6.5%
0 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
5.8%
2 – 2
5.3%
2 – 1
5.1%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 3
3.7%
1 – 4
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Paris Saint-Germain FC covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 22% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
14% ✓
Paris Saint-Germain FC keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.