Saturday , 14 November 2026

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps 16,558 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Aye 82' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC — Ligue 1 at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry
6 games this season 🟨 3.5/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
14 Mar OGC Nice A 1–1 D
09 Mar Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
02 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
22 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
14 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
10% Clean Sheets
AJ Auxerre this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

AJ Auxerre
0-15
–/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/6
61-75
5/5
76+
1/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AJ Auxerre is hosting Montpellier HSC for another epic battle.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. AJ Auxerre is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' Jordan Ferri, a France midfielder, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' It looks surprising AJ Auxerre does not make any changes. Joris Chotard has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 18' The referee calls foul for Elisha Owusu. He receives a card.
  • 23' A quiet spell here at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps. Montpellier HSC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 28' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 33' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' A moment of madness from Clement Akpa on 35 minutes earns him a card. AJ Auxerre will be frustrated.
  • 40' Donovan Leon is a natural goalkeeper and has been asked to do a very specific job for AJ Auxerre tonight.
  • 45' AJ Auxerre are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 46' The AJ Auxerre manager makes a substitution. Theo Bair departs to be replaced by Lassine Sinayoko.
  • 47' It’s gonna be a card for Bamo Meite.
  • 52' Supporters expect more eagerness from Clement Akpa, as he is very good at scoring at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 57' Gabriel Osho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 17 cards already picked up this season.
  • 62' Montpellier HSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Montpellier HSC — Andy Delort on, Othmane Maamma off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' A tactical swap from Montpellier HSC — Rabby Nzingoula on, Joris Chotard off on 71 minutes.
  • 72' Montpellier HSC ring the changes. Nicolas Pays has done his job and it is now time for Khalil Fayad to step up.
  • 77' Gideon Mensah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Fredrik Oppegard at the 77 minute mark.
  • 78' Han-Noah Massengo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 78.
  • 82' What a strike from Florian Aye! The score is 1-0.
  • 86' Another change for Montpellier HSC made on 86 minute. Jordan Ferri leaves to be changed by Wahbi Khazri.
  • 87' AJ Auxerre make a change. Ki-Jana Hoever trudges off to be replaced by Paul Joly on 87 minutes.
  • The final score is 1-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre50% Draw28% Montpellier HSC22%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
78%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
50%
AJ Auxerre or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre31% Draw52% Montpellier HSC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
42% ✗
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.