Thursday , 2 July 2026

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSC, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sun 30 Mar 2025 · 15:15 UTC Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps 16,558 HT 45' · FT 45'
Florian Aye 82' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

AJ Auxerre vs Montpellier HSCLigue 1 at Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps.

Match Details

  • Referee Marc Bollengier
  • Assistant 1 Thomas Luczynski
  • Assistant 2 Yannick Boutry

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar Montpellier HSC H 1–0 W
14 Mar OGC Nice A 1–1 D
09 Mar Stade de Reims A 2–0 W
02 Mar RC Strasbourg Alsace H 0–1 L
22 Feb Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
14 Feb Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Mar AJ Auxerre A 0–1 L
08 Mar Lille OSC A 0–1 L
02 Mar Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 0–4 L
23 Feb OGC Nice A 0–2 L
16 Feb Olympique Lyonnais H 1–4 L
09 Feb RC Strasbourg Alsace A 0–2 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. AJ Auxerre is hosting Montpellier HSC for another epic battle.
  • 5' Montpellier HSC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 15' AJ Auxerre is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 18' The referee shows AJ Auxerre player a card on 18.
  • 23' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 28' Theo Bair has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 14 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 33' Montpellier HSC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 35' That looks like a foul for a card for Clement Akpa.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
  • 46' Another change for AJ Auxerre made on 46 minute. Theo Bair leaves to be changed by Lassine Sinayoko.
  • 47' Montpellier HSC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 52' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Donovan Leon suffering a number of foals already.
  • 57' Montpellier HSC is showing some good football. However, Montpellier HSC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 62' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 66' Andy Delort has so much to prove this time. He replaces Othmane Maamma on 66 minute.
  • 71' Rabby Nzingoula is replacing Joris Chotard for the Montpellier HSC side.
  • 72' Another substitution for Montpellier HSC to replace Nicolas Pays by Khalil Fayad on 72 minute.
  • 77' Time for substitution for AJ Auxerre. Fredrik Oppegard is replaced by Gideon Mensah.
  • 78' It’s a booking for AJ Auxerre player. Han-Noah Massengo gets a card.
  • 82' Florian Aye puts AJ Auxerre on the lead.
  • 86' Time for substitution for Montpellier HSC. Jordan Ferri is replaced by Wahbi Khazri.
  • 87' The whistle greets Ki-Jana Hoever as he departs to be replaced by Paul Joly.
  • That’s it! Another goalless match for AJ Auxerre and Montpellier HSC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.31 AJ Auxerre xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Montpellier HSC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre50% Draw28% Montpellier HSC22%
Actual: AJ Auxerre win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

AJ Auxerre or Draw
78%
Draw or Montpellier HSC
50%
AJ Auxerre or Montpellier HSC
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AJ Auxerre31% Draw52% Montpellier HSC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
8.6%
2 – 1
8.2%
1 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
2 – 2
3.7%
3 – 1
3.7%
3 – 2
1.7%

Asian Handicap — AJ Auxerre

Handicap AJ Auxerre covers Push Montpellier HSC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 14% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 24% 55%
-0.5 45% 55%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 15% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

AJ Auxerre keeps clean sheet
42%
Montpellier HSC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.