Thursday , 2 July 2026

AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille, Ligue 1 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2024-25
Sat 12 Apr 2025 · 15:00 UTC Stade Louis II 13,232 HT 45' · FT 45'
Takumi Minamino 34' 1–0
Breel Embolo 59' 2–0
Denis Zakaria pen 82' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 at Stade Louis II.

Match Details

  • Referee Benoit Bastien
  • Assistant 1 Hicham Zakrani
  • Assistant 2 Aurelien Berthomieu
6 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 18.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr Olympique de Marseille H 3–0 W
05 Apr Stade Brestois 29 A 1–2 L
29 Mar OGC Nice H 2–1 W
15 Mar Angers SCO A 2–0 W
07 Mar Toulouse FC A 1–1 D
28 Feb Stade de Reims H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Apr AS Monaco FC A 0–3 L
06 Apr Toulouse FC H 3–2 W
29 Mar Stade de Reims A 1–3 L
16 Mar Paris Saint-Germain FC A 1–3 L
08 Mar Racing Club de Lens H 0–1 L
02 Mar FC Nantes H 2–0 W

Season Stats

AS Monaco FC Olympique de Marseille
#9 Position #7
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

AS Monaco FC are 9th (0 pts). Olympique de Marseille are 7th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.31 AS Monaco FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.43 Olympique de Marseille xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 75% + Under — clean sheet likely 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Monaco FC59% Draw29% Olympique de Marseille12%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes27% 0% No73%
Avg goals/match: 1.74
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 80%
20%
± 1.5 52%
48%
± 2.5 25%
75%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw
87%
Draw or Olympique de Marseille
41%
AS Monaco FC or Olympique de Marseille
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
AS Monaco FC36% Draw56% Olympique de Marseille8%
Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
22.1%
0 – 0
20%
2 – 0
14.4%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
6.5%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
3%
4 – 0
2%
1 – 2
2%
2 – 2
1.5%
0 – 2
1.4%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap AS Monaco FC covers Push Olympique de Marseille covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 18% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 29% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 90% 10%
+1 90% 8% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
65%
Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.