Friday , 28 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
Sun 14 Dec 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs AS Monaco FCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Francois Letexier
19 games this season 🟨 2.5/game 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec AS Monaco FC H 1–0 W
09 Dec Royale Union Saint-Gilloise A 3–2 W
05 Dec Lille OSC A 0–1 L
29 Nov Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
25 Nov Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W
21 Nov OGC Nice A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Dec Olympique de Marseille A 0–1 L
09 Dec Galatasaray SK H 1–0 W
05 Dec Stade Brestois 29 A 0–1 L
29 Nov Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–0 W
26 Nov Paphos FC A 2–2 D
22 Nov Stade Rennais FC 1901 A 1–4 L

Season Stats

Olympique de Marseille AS Monaco FC
#1 Position #5
3 Points 3
1 Played 1
1 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 0 / 0
4 Scored 1
0 Conceded 0
+4 GD +1
3.00 PPG 3.00
100% Win % 100%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season

Olympique de Marseille are 1st (3 pts). AS Monaco FC are 5th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
2/
■ Scored ■ Conceded
AS Monaco FC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Olympique de Marseille
Amine Gouiri 2 G
Pierre Emile Hojbjerg 1 G
Keyliane Abdallah 1 G
AS Monaco FC
Eric Dier 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Olympique de Marseille Lineups

AS Monaco FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.8 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 AS Monaco FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 83% + Olympique de Marseille or Draw 78%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille42% Draw36% AS Monaco FC22%
Actual: Olympique de Marseille win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 72%
28%
± 1.5 41%
59%
± 2.5 17%
83%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
78%
Draw or AS Monaco FC
58%
Olympique de Marseille or AS Monaco FC
64%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille21% Draw65% AS Monaco FC14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
27.7%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
12.9%
1 – 1
12.8%
2 – 0
7.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
3.8%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 0
2%
2 – 2
1.6%
3 – 1
1.4%
0 – 3
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push AS Monaco FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 9% 88%
-1.5 12% 88%
-1 12% 24% 65%
-0.5 35% 65%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 17% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
56%
AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet
45%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.