Saturday , 14 November 2026

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 18 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Elland Road.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Cardiff City FC H 5–2 W
13 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Leeds United FC A 2–5 L
14 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
08 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cardiff City FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 1' Degnand Gnonto adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 6' It is a cagey affair so far. Leeds United FC in their trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact .
  • 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rasmus Kristensen made 491 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 16' The 27-year-old Mark Harris has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 26' Kion Etete is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Leeds United FC tonight.
  • 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 34' Magnificent from Rodrigo! That is 50 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 36' Degnand Gnonto doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Degnand Gnonto makes it 4-0.
  • 39' The referee shows Cardiff City FC player a Yellow card on 39.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Degnand Gnonto is booked for Leeds United FC — Yellow card on 40.
  • 43' Curtis Nelson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 46' The whistle greets Tyler Adams as he departs to be replaced by Brenden Aaronson.
  • 48' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FC — Cedric Kipre on, Mark Harris off on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 57' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Maximilian Wober is withdrawn and Luke Ayling gets his opportunity.
  • 62' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 64' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Callum Robinson is hanging Andy Rinomhota on the field on 64 minute.
  • 67' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Gelhardt is hanging Degnand Gnonto on the field on 67 minute.
  • 71' Goal! Patrick Bamford scores his 70 goal in 367 matches.
  • 76' The deadlock is broken! Patrick Bamford gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Luis Sinisterra. He replaces Jack Harrison on 79 minute.
  • 84' Callum Robinson adds to his 2 season tally! Cardiff City FC lead 6-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 88' Gavin Whyte gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Sheyi Ojo and will look to change the dynamic.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Leeds United FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC52% Draw23% Cardiff City FC25%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Leeds United FC or Cardiff City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC38% Draw40% Cardiff City FC22%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.