Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 18 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Elland Road.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Cardiff City FC H 5–2 W
13 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Leeds United FC A 2–5 L
14 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
08 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
1/–
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Leeds United FC host Cardiff City FC — let the battle begin!
  • 1' Degnand Gnonto makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Leeds United FC are in front.
  • 6' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 11' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 16' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 21' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cardiff City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 26' It is a cagey affair so far. Leeds United FC in their trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact .
  • 31' Cardiff City FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' Against the run of play, Rodrigo has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 36' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Degnand Gnonto makes it 3-0.
  • 37' Magnificent from Degnand Gnonto! That is 7 goals in 20 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 39' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Thomas Sang.
  • 40' The referee calls foul for Degnand Gnonto. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 43' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Curtis Nelson makes no mistake. 4-1!
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Brenden Aaronson. He replaces Tyler Adams on 46 minute.
  • 48' Cardiff City FC ring the changes. Mark Harris has done his job and it is now time for Cedric Kipre to step up.
  • 53' The home supporters are growing impatient. Leeds United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 57' The Leeds United FC manager makes a substitution. Maximilian Wober departs to be replaced by Luke Ayling.
  • 62' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Leeds United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 64' The Cardiff City FC manager makes a substitution. Andy Rinomhota departs to be replaced by Callum Robinson.
  • 67' Leeds United FC make a change. Degnand Gnonto trudges off to be replaced by Joe Gelhardt on 67 minutes.
  • 71' Patrick Bamford does the damage! The net is bulging and Leeds United FC surge ahead!
  • 76' What a strike from Patrick Bamford! The score is 6-1.
  • 79' Jack Harrison makes way for Luis Sinisterra at the 79 minute mark. A tactical switch from Leeds United FC.
  • 84' Callum Robinson adds to his 0 season tally! Cardiff City FC lead 6-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 88' Another substitution for Cardiff City FC to replace Sheyi Ojo by Gavin Whyte on 88 minute.
  • The final score is 5-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC52% Draw23% Cardiff City FC25%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Leeds United FC or Cardiff City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC38% Draw40% Cardiff City FC22%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% — 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24% ✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.