Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3
Overview
Match Preview
Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC — FA Cup at Elland Road.
- Leeds United FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
- Cardiff City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/26)
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Cardiff City FC | H | 5–2 | W |
| 13 Jan | Aston Villa FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 08 Jan | Cardiff City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jan | West Ham United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 31 Dec | Newcastle United FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 28 Dec | Manchester City FC | H | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan | Leeds United FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 14 Jan | Wigan Athletic FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 08 Jan | Leeds United FC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Jan | Blackburn Rovers FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Dec | Coventry City FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Dec | Queens Park Rangers FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cardiff City FC kicks off things out of here…
- 1' Degnand Gnonto adds to his 0 season tally! Leeds United FC lead 1-0 — and this changes everything.
- 6' It is a cagey affair so far. Leeds United FC in their trying to find a way past Cardiff City FC's compact .
- 11' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Rasmus Kristensen made 491 appearances and scored 12 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 16' The 27-year-old Mark Harris has been sensational this season — 6 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 21' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 26' Kion Etete is a natural forward and has been asked to do a very specific job for Leeds United FC tonight.
- 31' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 34' Magnificent from Rodrigo! That is 50 goals in 433 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 36' Degnand Gnonto doubles the advantage! 3-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 37' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Degnand Gnonto makes it 4-0.
- 39' The referee shows Cardiff City FC player a Yellow card on 39.
- 40' The referee has no hesitation. Degnand Gnonto is booked for Leeds United FC — Yellow card on 40.
- 43' Curtis Nelson is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 46' The whistle greets Tyler Adams as he departs to be replaced by Brenden Aaronson.
- 48' A tactical swap from Cardiff City FC — Cedric Kipre on, Mark Harris off on 48 minutes.
- 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 57' The Leeds United FC bench stirs into life. Maximilian Wober is withdrawn and Luke Ayling gets his opportunity.
- 62' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 64' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Callum Robinson is hanging Andy Rinomhota on the field on 64 minute.
- 67' Leeds United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joe Gelhardt is hanging Degnand Gnonto on the field on 67 minute.
- 71' Goal! Patrick Bamford scores his 70 goal in 367 matches.
- 76' The deadlock is broken! Patrick Bamford gets on the scoresheet on 76 minutes.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Luis Sinisterra. He replaces Jack Harrison on 79 minute.
- 84' Callum Robinson adds to his 2 season tally! Cardiff City FC lead 6-2 — and this changes everything.
- 88' Gavin Whyte gets the nod from Cardiff City FC. He replaces Sheyi Ojo and will look to change the dynamic.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Leeds United FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
Leeds United FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
11
Jack Harrison ↓ Luis Sinisterra 79'
- 25
-
39
Maximilian Wober ↓ Luke Ayling 57'
- 1
-
19
Rodrigo ↓ Patrick Bamford 46'
- 14
- 8
- 3
-
12
Tyler Adams ↓ Brenden Aaronson 46'
-
29
Degnand Gnonto ↓ Joe Gelhardt 67'
- 42
Bench
-
2
Luke Ayling ↑ 57'
- 21
-
9
Patrick Bamford ↑ 46'
-
30
Joe Gelhardt ↑ 67'
-
23
Luis Sinisterra ↑ 79'
- 22
-
7
Brenden Aaronson ↑ 46'
- 16
- 18
Coach
Jesse Marsch
Cardiff City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 35
-
29
Mark Harris ↓ Cedric Kipre 46'
- 26
- 19
- 16
- 21
-
10
Sheyi Ojo ↓ Gavin Whyte 88'
-
9
Kion Etete ↓ Isaak Davies 64'
- 12
- 3
-
27
Rubin Colwill ↓ Ryan Wintle 46'
Bench
- 11
-
47
Callum Robinson ↑ 64'
-
23
Cedric Kipre ↑ 46'
-
20
Gavin Whyte ↑ 88'
- 1
- 38
-
6
Ryan Wintle ↑ 46'
-
39
Isaak Davies ↑ 64'
- 25
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrick Bamford | 5 |
| Joel Piroe | 3 |
| Degnand Gnonto | 3 |
| Rodrigo | 2 |
| Daniel James | 2 |
| Callum Robinson | 2 |
| Robert Glatzel | 2 |
| Junior Hoilett | 1 |
Head to Head
Leeds United FC Form
2023-01-18
Leeds United FC
5–2
Cardiff City FC
W
2023-01-13
Aston Villa FC
2–1
Leeds United FC
L
2023-01-08
Cardiff City FC
2–2
Leeds United FC
D
2023-01-04
Leeds United FC
2–2
West Ham United FC
D
2022-12-31
Newcastle United FC
0–0
Leeds United FC
D
2022-12-28
Leeds United FC
1–3
Manchester City FC
L
Cardiff City FC Form
2023-01-18
Leeds United FC
5–2
Cardiff City FC
L
2023-01-14
Cardiff City FC
1–1
Wigan Athletic FC
D
2023-01-08
Cardiff City FC
2–2
Leeds United FC
D
2023-01-01
Blackburn Rovers FC
1–0
Cardiff City FC
L
2022-12-29
Coventry City FC
0–0
Cardiff City FC
D
2022-12-26
Cardiff City FC
0–0
Queens Park Rangers FC
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07
Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Leeds United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
Double Chance
Leeds United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Leeds United FC or Cardiff City FC
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Leeds United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC
| Handicap | Leeds United FC covers | Push | Cardiff City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -2 | 15% | 15% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 20% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 14% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

