Thursday , 2 July 2026

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Wed 18 Jan 2023 · 19:45 UTC Elland Road HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Leeds United FC vs Cardiff City FCFA Cup at Elland Road.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Cardiff City FC H 5–2 W
13 Jan Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jan Leeds United FC A 2–5 L
14 Jan Wigan Athletic FC H 1–1 D
08 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Leeds United FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cardiff City FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Leeds United FC
0-15
/
16-30
1/1
31-45
/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Elland Road!
  • 1' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Degnand Gnonto makes it 1-0.
  • 6' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Jesse Marsch will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 21' The 24-year-old Joel Bagan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 26' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 31' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 34' GOAL! Rodrigo fires home to make it 2-0!
  • 36' Assisted by Rodrigo with the perfectly-timed delivery and Degnand Gnonto makes no mistake. 3-0!
  • 37' What a moment for Degnand Gnonto! That strike on 37 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 39' Cardiff City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 40' The referee shows Leeds United FC player a Yellow card on 40.
  • 43' What composure from Curtis Nelson! The England international strokes it home. 4-1.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Leeds United FC. Tyler Adams is replaced by Brenden Aaronson.
  • 48' Time for substitution for Cardiff City FC. Mark Harris is replaced by Cedric Kipre.
  • 53' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Leeds United FC and Cardiff City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 57' Luke Ayling has so much to prove this time. He replaces Maximilian Wober on 57 minute.
  • 62' Leeds United FC have won 532 goals from 358 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 64' Another change for Cardiff City FC made on 64 minute. Andy Rinomhota leaves to be changed by Callum Robinson.
  • 67' Joe Gelhardt is ready to make an impact after coming on for Degnand Gnonto at the 67 minute mark.
  • 71' Patrick Bamford doubles the advantage! 5-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 76' What a strike from Patrick Bamford! The score is 6-1.
  • 79' Leeds United FC ring the changes. Jack Harrison has done his job and it is now time for Luis Sinisterra to step up.
  • 84' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Callum Robinson makes no mistake. 6-2!
  • 88' Cardiff City FC make a change. Sheyi Ojo trudges off to be replaced by Gavin Whyte on 88 minutes.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 5-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Leeds United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48 Cardiff City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 68% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Leeds United FC52% Draw23% Cardiff City FC25%
Actual: Leeds United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes67% 0% No33%
Avg goals/match: 3.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 68%
32%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 29%
71%

Double Chance

Leeds United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or Cardiff City FC
48%
Leeds United FC or Cardiff City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Leeds United FC38% Draw40% Cardiff City FC22%
Actual: Leeds United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–2 not predicted
5 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
9.6%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 2
6.4%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
1 – 0
5.4%
3 – 2
4.5%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 1
3.6%
2 – 3
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Leeds United FC

Handicap Leeds United FC covers Push Cardiff City FC covers
-2.5 15% 85%
-2 15% 15% 70%
-1.5 30% 70%
-1 30% 20% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 14% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
24%
Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.