Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FC, Championship 2018-19 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2018-19
Tue 1 Jan 2019 · 15:00 UTC The City Ground HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Leeds United FCChampionship at The City Ground.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren England
  • Referee Nick Greenhalgh
  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Referee James Mainwaring

Head-to-Head

4
2
2
Nottingham Forest FC 8 games · Avg 3.0 goals Leeds United FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Leeds United FC H 4–2 W
29 Dec Millwall FC A 0–1 L
26 Dec Norwich City FC A 3–3 D
22 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–1 L
17 Dec Derby County FC A 0–0 D
08 Dec Preston North End FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Jan Nottingham Forest FC A 2–4 L
29 Dec Hull City AFC H 0–2 L
26 Dec Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–2 W
23 Dec Aston Villa FC A 3–2 W
15 Dec Bolton Wanderers FC A 1–0 W
08 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds The City Ground will turn into a battlefield for Nottingham Forest FC and Leeds United FC.
  • 5' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jack Colback makes it 1-0.
  • 5' The crowd applauds Michael Hefele as he leaves the pitch. Adlene Guedioura steps in for Nottingham Forest FC.
  • 10' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Nottingham Forest FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 14' That is a Yellow card for Nottingham Forest FC. Jack Robinson will be fuming at that decision.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 372 games and scored 433 goals.
  • 29' Leeds United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 34' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kalvin Phillips made 358 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 39' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marcelo Bielsa will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 42' Kalvin Phillips catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 42.
  • 46' Leeds United AFC make a change. Jack Harrison trudges off to be replaced by Jack Clarke on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Danny Fox has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 372 appearances.
  • 52' What a moment for Jack Clarke! That strike on 52 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 57' Nottingham Forest FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 62' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Tyler Roberts suffering a number of foals already.
  • 64' GOAL! Egzijan Alioski fires home to make it 1-2!
  • 65' Fresh legs for Nottingham Forest FC! Ben Osborn comes on to replace Joe Lolley.
  • 69' Brilliant from the ! Jack Colback makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 69.
  • 72' GOAL! Daryl Murphy fires home to make it 3-2!
  • 76' Ben Osborn makes no mistake. The score reads 4-2 and Nottingham Forest FC are in front.
  • 78' Tyler Roberts gets the nod from Leeds United AFC. He replaces Barry Douglas and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 81' Tendayi Darikwa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 81.
  • 86' The travelling Leeds United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 90' Arvin Appiah is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daryl Murphy at the 90 minute mark.
  • Leeds United FC will have plenty to reflect on. Nottingham Forest FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.84 Nottingham Forest FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.39 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 63% + Over 2.5 goals 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nottingham Forest FC48% Draw25% Leeds United FC27%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.23
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 62%
38%
± 3.5 40%
60%
± 4.5 23%
77%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw
72%
Draw or Leeds United FC
52%
Nottingham Forest FC or Leeds United FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nottingham Forest FC35% Draw42% Leeds United FC23%
Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–2 not predicted
4 – 2
Actual
1 – 1
11%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
6.2%
0 – 0
5.5%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.8%
0 – 2
3.8%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap Nottingham Forest FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 20% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet
26%
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.