Sunday , 15 November 2026

Cardiff City FC vs Leeds United FC, FA Cup 2022-23 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2022-23
Sun 8 Jan 2023 · 14:00 UTC Cardiff City Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Cardiff City FC vs Leeds United FC — FA Cup at Cardiff City Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Leeds United FC H 2–2 D
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 0–1 L
29 Dec Coventry City FC A 0–0 D
26 Dec Queens Park Rangers FC H 0–0 D
17 Dec Blackpool FC H 1–1 D
10 Dec Stoke City FC A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Jan Cardiff City FC A 2–2 D
04 Jan West Ham United FC H 2–2 D
31 Dec Newcastle United FC A 0–0 D
28 Dec Manchester City FC H 1–3 L
12 Nov Tottenham Hotspur FC A 3–4 L
05 Nov AFC Bournemouth H 4–3 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Cardiff City Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 9' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Thomas Sang on 9 minutes.
  • 14' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Cardiff City FC and Leeds United FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 19' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 24' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Jaden Philogene Bidace makes it 1-0.
  • 27' Degnand Gnonto has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 27.
  • 28' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Yellow card for Pascal Struijk.
  • 31' Sheyi Ojo adds to his 0 season tally! Cardiff City FC lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 35' Cardiff City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 35.
  • 40' Leeds United FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 45' Cody Drameh has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 50' Cardiff City FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 55' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Leeds United FC — Rodrigo on, Crysencio Summerville off on 59 minutes.
  • 60' Maximilian Wober has so much to prove this time. He replaces Darko Gyabi on 60 minute.
  • 63' Cardiff City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Ollie Tanner is hanging Isaak Davies on the field on 63 minute.
  • 65' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Rodrigo makes it 2-1.
  • 70' Leeds United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
  • 73' Leeds United FC make a change. Joe Gelhardt trudges off to be replaced by Mateo Fernandez on 73 minutes.
  • 77' The Cardiff City FC bench stirs into life. Jaden Philogene Bidace is withdrawn and Callum O'Dowda gets his opportunity.
  • 78' The whistle greets Romaine Sawyers as he departs to be replaced by Ryan Wintle.
  • 80' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the Red card for Joel Bagan.
  • 83' The referee calls foul for Curtis Nelson. He receives a Yellow card.
  • 86' Joe Ralls is ready to make an impact after coming on for Sheyi Ojo at the 86 minute mark.
  • 90' That is a Yellow card for Leeds United FC. Maximilian Wober will be fuming at that decision.
  • The final score is 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 Cardiff City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Leeds United FC xG
I would bet for: Cardiff City FC or Leeds United FC 74% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC44% Draw26% Leeds United FC30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Cardiff City FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Leeds United FC
56%
Cardiff City FC or Leeds United FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cardiff City FC32% Draw45% Leeds United FC23%
Actual: Cardiff City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
7.9%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7.2%
2 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.6%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Cardiff City FC

Handicap Cardiff City FC covers Push Leeds United FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 21% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 70% — 30%
+1 70% 17% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Cardiff City FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Leeds United FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.