Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 16 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Dion Charles 11' 1–0
1–1 15' Tahith Chong
1–2 57' Chiedozie Ogbene

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FCFA Cup at University of Bolton Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
Bolton Wanderers FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
07 Jan Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
23 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Bolton Wanderers FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Bolton Wanderers FC host Luton Town FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Alfie Doughty has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 11' Dion Charles doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 15' The deadlock is broken! Tahith Chong gets on the scoresheet on 15 minutes.
  • 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 26' Poor challenge from Will Forrester. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 31' Teden Mengi is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 41' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 46' The Luton Town FC bench stirs into life. Alfie Doughty is withdrawn and Ryan John Giles gets his opportunity.
  • 51' Luton Town FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' Bolton Wanderers FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Luton Town FC's shape.
  • 57' Chiedozie Ogbene makes no mistake. The score reads 1-2 and Luton Town FC are in front.
  • 62' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Luton Town FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 64' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 64.
  • 69' A quiet spell here at University of Bolton Stadium. Bolton Wanderers FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 74' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 75' A change in the Luton Town FC ranks — Tahith Chong exits the field as Andros Townsend enters on 75.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 81' Another change for Bolton Wanderers FC made on 81 minute. Edmond-Paris Maghoma leaves to be changed by Aaron Morley.
  • 86' Teden Mengi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 1-2 the final result. Bolton Wanderers FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC35% Draw30% Luton Town FC35%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Luton Town FC
65%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC24% Draw50% Luton Town FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.