Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 16 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Dion Charles 11' 1–0
1–1 15' Tahith Chong
1–2 57' Chiedozie Ogbene

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FCFA Cup at University of Bolton Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
Bolton Wanderers FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
07 Jan Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
23 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Bolton Wanderers FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Nahki Wells 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Bolton Wanderers FC and Luton Town FC get this one started.
  • 5' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 11' The Northern Ireland forward Dion Charles breaks the deadlock on 11 minutes. 1-0!
  • 15' Tahith Chong is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 20' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 25' It’s high time Rob Edwards made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 26' The referee calls foul for Will Forrester. He receives a card.
  • 31' Teden Mengi catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 31.
  • 36' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 41' The 38-year-old Tim Krul has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCRyan John Giles on, Alfie Doughty off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Gabriel Osho has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 382 games and scored 465 goals.
  • 57' Goal! Chiedozie Ogbene scores his 18 goal in 198 matches.
  • 62' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 64' Poor challenge from Jordan Clark. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 69' With 0 assists to his name this season, Andros Townsend is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Bolton Wanderers FC.
  • 74' The travelling Luton Town FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 75' A tactical swap from Luton Town FCAndros Townsend on, Tahith Chong off on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Bolton Wanderers FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' A tactical swap from Bolton Wanderers FCAaron Morley on, Edmond-Paris Maghoma off on 81 minutes.
  • 86' Edmond-Paris Maghoma has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 344 appearances.
  • It finishes all square. Bolton Wanderers FC and Luton Town FC share the spoils 1-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC35% Draw30% Luton Town FC35%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Luton Town FC
65%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC24% Draw50% Luton Town FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 64% 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
32%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.