Saturday , 14 November 2026

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FC, FA Cup 2023-24 ROUND 3

FA Cup · 2023-24
Tue 16 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC University of Bolton Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Dion Charles 11' 1–0
1–1 15' Tahith Chong
1–2 57' Chiedozie Ogbene

Overview

Match Preview

Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FC — FA Cup at University of Bolton Stadium.

Head-to-Head

2
2
Bolton Wanderers FC 4 games · Avg 2.5 goals Luton Town FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Luton Town FC H 1–2 L
07 Jan Luton Town FC A 0–0 D
01 Jan Burton Albion FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Fleetwood Town FC A 2–0 W
26 Dec Lincoln City FC A 1–0 W
23 Dec Leyton Orient FC H 3–2 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L
26 Dec Sheffield United FC A 3–2 W
23 Dec Newcastle United FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
100% Clean Sheets
Luton Town FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Luton Town FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Luton Town FC
Jordan Clark 1 G 1 A
Emilio Lawrence 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Bolton Wanderers FC vs Luton Town FC — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 10' The 25-year-old Will Forrester has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 11' A goal from the Northern Ireland international Dion Charles! He fires home on 11 to make it 1-0!
  • 15' Magnificent from Tahith Chong! That is 15 goals in 423 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 20' A quiet spell here at University of Bolton Stadium. Luton Town FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Luton Town FC that had 397 games and scored 493 goals.
  • 26' Will Forrester has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 26.
  • 31' Luton Town FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 31.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Bolton Wanderers FC and Luton Town FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 46' Ryan John Giles gets the nod from Luton Town FC. He replaces Alfie Doughty and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 56' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 57' The Ireland forward Chiedozie Ogbene breaks the deadlock on 57 minutes. 1-2!
  • 62' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 64' Jordan Clark has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 64.
  • 69' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 74' It looks surprising Bolton Wanderers FC does not make any changes. Elijah Adebayo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 75' Andros Townsend is ready to make an impact after coming on for Tahith Chong at the 75 minute mark.
  • 80' Bolton Wanderers FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' Aaron Morley is ready to make an impact after coming on for Edmond-Paris Maghoma at the 81 minute mark.
  • 86' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.17 Bolton Wanderers FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Luton Town FC xG
I would bet for: Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC 70% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC35% Draw30% Luton Town FC35%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Bolton Wanderers FC or Draw
65%
Draw or Luton Town FC
65%
Bolton Wanderers FC or Luton Town FC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bolton Wanderers FC24% Draw50% Luton Town FC26%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.1%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 0
9.3%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.7%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.9%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Bolton Wanderers FC

Handicap Bolton Wanderers FC covers Push Luton Town FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 19% 67%
-0.5 33% — 67%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 20% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Bolton Wanderers FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.