Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Luton Town FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
Tue 30 Jan 2024 · 19:45 UTC Kenilworth Road HT 45' · FT 45'
Elijah Adebayo 1' 1–0
Chiedozie Ogbene 3' 2–0
Elijah Adebayo 42' 3–0
Elijah Adebayo 56' 4–0

Overview

Match Preview

Luton Town FC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC — Premier League at Kenilworth Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Robert Jones
  • Assistant 1 Ian Hussin
  • Assistant 2 Wade Smith
3 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
1
Luton Town FC 2 games · Avg 4.5 goals Brighton & Hove Albion FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Jan Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 4–0 W
27 Jan Everton FC A 2–1 W
16 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC A 2–1 W
12 Jan Burnley FC A 1–1 D
07 Jan Bolton Wanderers FC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Chelsea FC H 2–3 L

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Brighton & Hove Albion FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
5/1
46-60
2/–
61-75
2/1
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Pascal Gross 3 G 3 A
Charalampos Kostoulas 2 G 1 A
Jack Hinshelwood 2 G
Malick Yalcouye 2 G
Maxim De Cuyper 1 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.91 Luton Town FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Brighton & Hove Albion FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Luton Town FC49% Draw24% Brighton & Hove Albion FC27%
Actual: Luton Town FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.31
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Luton Town FC or Draw
73%
Draw or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
51%
Luton Town FC or Brighton & Hove Albion FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Luton Town FC36% Draw42% Brighton & Hove Albion FC22%
Actual: Luton Town FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–0 not predicted
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
10.7%
2 – 1
9%
2 – 0
6.6%
1 – 2
6.6%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
5.7%
0 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Luton Town FC

Handicap Luton Town FC covers Push Brighton & Hove Albion FC covers
-2.5 13% — 87%
-2 13% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 20% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

Luton Town FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✗
Brighton & Hove Albion FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.