Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Newcastle United FC vs Brentford FC, Premier League 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2022-23
Sat 8 Oct 2022 · 14:00 UTC St James' Park HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 45' Ivan Toney

Overview

Match Preview

Newcastle United FC vs Brentford FC — Premier League at St James' Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Wilkes
  • Referee John Brooks
  • Referee Paul Tierney
  • Referee Ian Hussin
  • Referee Scott Ledger
  • Referee Craig Pawson

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Brentford FC H 5–1 W
01 Oct Fulham FC A 4–1 W
17 Sep AFC Bournemouth H 1–1 D
03 Sep Crystal Palace FC H 0–0 D
31 Aug Liverpool FC A 1–2 L
28 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
08 Oct Newcastle United FC A 1–5 L
01 Oct AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
18 Sep Arsenal FC H 0–3 L
03 Sep Leeds United FC H 5–2 W
30 Aug Crystal Palace FC A 1–1 D
27 Aug Everton FC H 1–1 D

Season Stats

Newcastle United FC Brentford FC
#9 Position #4
8 Points 9
5 Played 5
2 / 2 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 3 / 0
9 Scored 10
9 Conceded 4
+0 GD +6
1.60 PPG 1.80
40% Win % 40%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Newcastle United FC this season
40% Clean Sheets
Brentford FC this season

Newcastle United FC are 9th (8 pts). Brentford FC are 4th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Brentford FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/1
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/–
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Newcastle United FC
Joe Willock 2 G
Anthony Elanga 2 G
Yoane Wissa 1 G 1 A
Brentford FC
Kevin Schade 3 G
Vitaly Janelt 2 G
Keane Lewis-Potter 1 G 1 A
Michael Kayode 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.01 Newcastle United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71 Brentford FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Newcastle United FC49% Draw23% Brentford FC28%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes71% 0% No29%
Avg goals/match: 3.72
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 88%
12%
± 2.5 71%
29%
± 3.5 50%
50%
± 4.5 32%
68%

Double Chance

Newcastle United FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Brentford FC
51%
Newcastle United FC or Brentford FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Newcastle United FC34% Draw39% Brentford FC27%
Actual: Newcastle United FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–1 not predicted
5 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
9.2%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
3 – 1
5.4%
2 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 0
3.7%
0 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Newcastle United FC

Handicap Newcastle United FC covers Push Brentford FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 13% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 19% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 16% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 10% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Newcastle United FC keeps clean sheet
19% ✓
Brentford FC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.