New York City FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 18 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 26 | Points | 20 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 2 / 10 |
| 31 | Scored | 30 |
| 24 | Conceded | 47 |
| +7 | GD | -17 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.11 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Orlando City SC are 11th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
2/2
16-30
5/6
31-45
–/6
46-60
6/3
61-75
5/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
Orlando City SC
| Martin Ojeda | 11 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — New York City FC and Orlando City SC get this one started.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 15' Maxi Moralez has been relatively quiet despite scoring 39 goals in his last 289 appearances.
- 20' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. Óscar Pareja might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' A quiet spell here at Yankee Stadium. Orlando City SC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 40' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 45' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 50' Orlando City SC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 55' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 59' What a strike from Alonso Martinez! The score is 1-0.
- 60' The referee calls foul for Ivan Angulo. He receives a card.
- 65' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Orlando City SC's shape.
- 66' Maxi Moralez catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 66.
- 69' Luis Muriel doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 71' What a strike from Hannes Wolf! The score is 2-1.
- 72' Monsef Bakrar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alonso Martinez on 72 minute.
- 73' Agustin Ojeda has so much to prove this time. He replaces Julian Fernandez on 73 minute.
- 75' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Martin Ojeda is withdrawn and Ramiro Enrique gets his opportunity.
- 77' The referee shows New York City FC player a card on 77.
- 81' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Dagur THorhallsson on, Marco Pasalic off on 81 minutes.
- 82' The referee shows Orlando City SC player a card on 82.
- 82' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Kyle Smith is hanging Rafael Santos on the field on 82 minute.
- 86' Poor challenge from Kevin O'Toole. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 86' Orlando City SC ring the changes. Eduard Atuesta has done his job and it is now time for Gustavo Caraballo to step up.
- 90' The whistle greets Maxi Moralez as he departs to be replaced by Nico Cavallo.
- 2-1 the final result. Orlando City SC will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Nico Cavallo 90'
- 55
- 49
- 80
- 22
- 35
- 32
- 11
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 72'
Bench
- 19
- 18
- 5
- 30
- 29
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 73'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 72'
- 38
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 90'
Coach
Pascal Jansen
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Ramiro Enrique 75'
- 20
- 1
-
3
Rafael Santos ↓ Kyle Smith 82'
- 6
- 77
- 5
- 30
- 87
Bench
- 68
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 82'
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 75'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 81'
- 25
- 35
-
65
Gustavo Caraballo ↑ 86'
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maxi Moralez | 5 |
| Christopher Mueller | 4 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Maxi Moralez | 3 |
| Hannes Wolf | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
| Nani | 3 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2025-03-09
New York City FC
2–1
Orlando City SC
W
2025-03-02
Los Angeles FC
1–0
New York City FC
L
2025-02-23
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York City FC
D
2024-10-19
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2024-10-06
New York City FC
3–1
Nashville SC
W
2024-10-02
New York City FC
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.67
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Orlando City SC
37%
New York City FC or Orlando City SC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
4 – 1
5%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
4.3%
4 – 0
3.8%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -2 | 26% | 18% | 55% |
| -1.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| -1 | 45% | 20% | 36% |
| -0.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.