New York City FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
- Orlando City SC 15 games · 14 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | Orlando City SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 02 Mar | Los Angeles FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 23 Feb | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 3–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 Mar | Toronto FC | H | 4–2 | W |
| 23 Feb | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–4 | L |
| 19 Oct | Atlanta United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 3–1 | W |
| 02 Oct | Philadelphia Union | H | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | Orlando City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #13 |
| 19 | Points | 14 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 4 / 6 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 23 |
| 21 | Conceded | 44 |
| +4 | GD | -21 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 0.93 |
| 33% | Win % | 27% |
Key Stats
68%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
7%
Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season
Orlando City SC this season
New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). Orlando City SC are 13th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Orlando City SC
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
–/5
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Yankee Stadium that hosts another battle between New York City FC and Orlando City SC.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Orlando City SC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' Eduard Atuesta is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Orlando City SC tonight.
- 15' Orlando City SC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 25' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Orlando City SC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alonso Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 12 goals in the last 10 games.
- 45' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 50' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 55' The 26-year-old Dagur THorhallsson has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 59' Against the run of play, Alonso Martinez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 60' Ivan Angulo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 66' Maxi Moralez was booked on 66.
- 69' Goal! Luis Muriel scores his 93 goal in 418 matches.
- 71' The Austria Hannes Wolf breaks the deadlock on 71 minutes. 2-1!
- 72' The crowd applauds Alonso Martinez as he leaves the pitch. Monsef Bakrar steps in for New York City FC.
- 73' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Agustin Ojeda on, Julian Fernandez off on 73 minutes.
- 75' The crowd applauds Martin Ojeda as he leaves the pitch. Ramiro Enrique steps in for Orlando City SC.
- 77' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin O'Toole.
- 81' Orlando City SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dagur THorhallsson is hanging Marco Pasalic on the field on 81 minute.
- 82' Poor challenge from Eduard Atuesta. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 82' The Orlando City SC bench stirs into life. Rafael Santos is withdrawn and Kyle Smith gets his opportunity.
- 86' Kevin O'Toole has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- 86' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Eduard Atuesta is replaced by Gustavo Caraballo on 86 minute.
- 90' The whistle greets Maxi Moralez as he departs to be replaced by Nico Cavallo.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 13
-
10
Maxi Moralez ↓ Nico Cavallo 90'
- 55
- 49
- 80
- 22
- 35
- 32
- 11
-
16
Alonso Martinez ↓ Monsef Bakrar 72'
Bench
- 19
- 18
- 5
- 30
- 29
-
26
Agustin Ojeda ↑ 73'
-
9
Monsef Bakrar ↑ 72'
- 38
-
2
Nico Cavallo ↑ 90'
Coach
Pascal Jansen
Orlando City SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 15
-
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Ramiro Enrique 75'
- 20
- 1
-
3
Rafael Santos ↓ Kyle Smith 82'
- 6
- 77
- 5
- 30
- 87
Bench
- 68
-
24
Kyle Smith ↑ 82'
-
7
Ramiro Enrique ↑ 75'
- 12
- 23
-
17
Dagur THorhallsson ↑ 81'
- 25
- 35
-
65
Gustavo Caraballo ↑ 86'
Coach
Óscar Pareja
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Maxi Moralez | 5 |
| Christopher Mueller | 4 |
| Nani | 3 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Ismael Tajouri | 3 |
| Maxi Moralez | 3 |
| Hannes Wolf | 3 |
| Tesho Akindele | 3 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2025-03-09
New York City FC
2–1
Orlando City SC
W
2025-03-02
Los Angeles FC
1–0
New York City FC
L
2025-02-23
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York City FC
D
2024-10-19
Montreal Impact FC
2–0
New York City FC
L
2024-10-06
New York City FC
3–1
Nashville SC
W
2024-10-02
New York City FC
3–2
FC Cincinnati
W
Orlando City SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.77
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
Orlando City SC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Orlando City SC
35%
New York City FC or Orlando City SC
81%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.3%
4 – 1
5.2%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.6%
4 – 0
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
4 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | Orlando City SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -2 | 28% | 19% | 53% |
| -1.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| -1 | 47% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

