New York City FC vs Orlando City SC, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2025

New York City FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Orlando City SC

Sun 9 Mar 2025 · 00:30 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Y 60' Ivan Angulo

Maxi Moralez 66' Y

Kevin O'Toole 77' Y

Y 82' Eduard Atuesta

Kevin O'Toole 86' YR

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs Orlando City SC — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Orlando City SC 27 games · 34 pts (2026/26)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 19 games · Avg 3.0 goals Orlando City SC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-09 New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SC 2024-07-20 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC 2024-06-28 New York City FC 4–2 Orlando City SC 2023-09-20 New York City FC 2–0 Orlando City SC 2023-05-17 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	Orlando City SC	H	2–1	W
02 Mar	Los Angeles FC	A	0–1	L
23 Feb	Internacional CF Miami	A	2–2	D
19 Oct	Montreal Impact FC	A	0–2	L
06 Oct	Nashville SC	H	3–1	W
02 Oct	FC Cincinnati	H	3–2	W

Orlando City SC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
09 Mar	New York City FC	A	1–2	L
02 Mar	Toronto FC	H	4–2	W
23 Feb	Philadelphia Union	H	2–4	L
19 Oct	Atlanta United FC	H	1–2	L
05 Oct	FC Cincinnati	A	3–1	W
02 Oct	Philadelphia Union	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

New York City FC		Orlando City SC
#8	Position	#7
33	Points	34
27	Played	27
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	10 / 4 / 13
41	Scored	48
36	Conceded	64
+5	GD	-16
1.22	PPG	1.26
30%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)

53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

19% Clean Sheets
Orlando City SC this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). Orlando City SC are 7th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Orlando City SC

0-15

2/3

16-30

8/8

31-45

1/7

46-60

8/6

61-75

7/4

76+

9/11

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

Orlando City SC

Martin Ojeda	13 G	1 A
Antoine Griezmann	8 G	4 A
Tyrese Spicer	6 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York City FC to score. At the same time, Orlando City SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and Orlando City SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
10' The 35-year-old Luis Muriel has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
15' New York City FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
20' A quiet spell here at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
25' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cesar Araujo suffering a number of foals already.
30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
35' It looks like no one’s ball. New York City FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gustavo Caraballo, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
45' The travelling Orlando City SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
50' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
55' Maxi Moralez, a Argentina , has 28 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
59' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Alonso Martinez makes it 1-0.
60' Ivan Angulo is having his name booked by the referee on 60.
65' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both New York City FC and Orlando City SC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
66' Maxi Moralez is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
69' What a strike from Luis Muriel! The score is 1-1.
71' Hannes Wolf adds to his 4 season tally! New York City FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
72' Alonso Martinez makes way for Monsef Bakrar at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
73' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Julian Fernandez is withdrawn and Agustin Ojeda gets his opportunity.
75' Orlando City SC make a change. Martin Ojeda trudges off to be replaced by Ramiro Enrique on 75 minutes.
77' Kevin O'Toole is having his name booked by the referee on 77.
81' It is a substitution in Orlando City SC team. Marco Pasalic is replaced by Dagur THorhallsson on 81 minute.
82' Orlando City SC receives a card for a hard tackle on 82.
82' Kyle Smith has so much to prove this time. He replaces Rafael Santos on 82 minute.
86' New York City FC player sees a card in front of him.
86' A tactical swap from Orlando City SC — Gustavo Caraballo on, Eduard Atuesta off on 86 minutes.
90' The supporters are chanting for Nico Cavallo. He replaces Maxi Moralez on 90 minute.
It finishes all square. New York City FC and Orlando City SC share the spoils 2-1.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pascal Jansen

Orlando City SC Lineups

Starting XI

9
Luis Muriel
15
Rodrigo Schlegel
10
Martin Ojeda ↓ Ramiro Enrique 75'
20
Eduard Atuesta ↓ Gustavo Caraballo 86'
1
Pedro Gallese
3
Rafael Santos ↓ Kyle Smith 82'
6
Robin Jansson
77
Ivan Angulo
5
Cesar Araujo
30
Alex Freeman
87
Marco Pasalic ↓ Dagur THorhallsson 81'

Bench

Coach Óscar Pareja

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Maxi Moralez	5
Christopher Mueller	4
Nani	3
Ismael Tajouri	3
Ismael Tajouri	3
Maxi Moralez	3
Hannes Wolf	3
Tesho Akindele	3

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2025-03-09 New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SC W 2025-03-02 Los Angeles FC 1–0 New York City FC L 2025-02-23 Internacional CF Miami 2–2 New York City FC D 2024-10-19 Montreal Impact FC 2–0 New York City FC L 2024-10-06 New York City FC 3–1 Nashville SC W 2024-10-02 New York City FC 3–2 FC Cincinnati W

Orlando City SC Form

2025-03-09 New York City FC 2–1 Orlando City SC L 2025-03-02 Orlando City SC 4–2 Toronto FC W 2025-02-23 Orlando City SC 2–4 Philadelphia Union L 2024-10-19 Orlando City SC 1–2 Atlanta United FC L 2024-10-05 FC Cincinnati 1–3 Orlando City SC W 2024-10-02 Orlando City SC 2–1 Philadelphia Union W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.35 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.38 Orlando City SC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC59% Draw21% Orlando City SC20%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes67% 0% No33%

Avg goals/match: 3.73

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	50%	50%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

80%

Draw or Orlando City SC

41%

New York City FC or Orlando City SC

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

New York City FC43% Draw38% Orlando City SC19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

8.6%

3 – 1

6.9%

2 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

1 – 0

5.3%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 0

5.1%

3 – 2

4.7%

4 – 1

4.1%

0 – 0

3.6%

4 – 0

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	Orlando City SC covers
-2.5	20%	—	80%
-2	20%	17%	63%
-1.5	37%	—	63%
-1	37%	20%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	12%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Orlando City SC keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.