New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York City FC

5 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 24 Apr 2021 · 17:00 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+2'

Gudmundur THorarinsson 50' Y

Y 56' Allan Cruz

Valentin Castellanos 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Sibiga
Referee David Gantar
Referee Jeffrey Greeson
Referee Gjovalin Bori
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	27	60
2	Internacional CF Miami	27	46
3	New England Revolution	27	46
4	Charlotte FC	27	43
5	Chicago Fire FC	26	42
6	Philadelphia Union	27	39
7	Orlando City SC	27	34
8	New York City FC	27	33
9	FC Cincinnati	26	33
10	New York Red Bulls	26	33
11	D.C. United SC	26	30
12	Columbus Crew SC	27	29
13	Toronto FC	27	29
14	Atlanta United FC	27	27
15	Montreal Impact FC	27	24
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	26	50
17	FC Dallas	27	47
18	San Jose Earthquakes	27	45
19	St. Louis City	26	44
20	Houston Dynamo	27	44
21	Los Angeles FC	28	41
22	Colorado Rapids SC	27	36
23	Los Angeles Galaxy	28	36
24	Seattle Sounders FC	26	35
25	San Diego FC	27	32
26	Portland Timbers	27	32
27	Real Salt Lake	27	32
28	Austin FC	27	31
29	Minnesota United FC	27	29
30	Sporting Kansas City	26	21

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-26 New York City FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-12 New York City FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-08-17 FC Cincinnati 1–4 New York City FC 2019-06-06 New York City FC 5–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	5–0	W
18 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Chicago Fire FC	A	4–3	W
02 Nov	New York Red Bulls	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Apr	New York City FC	A	0–5	L
18 Apr	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
08 Nov	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–2	L
02 Nov	Atlanta United FC	A	0–2	L
28 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	H	0–1	L
24 Oct	Minnesota United FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		FC Cincinnati
#8	Position	#9
33	Points	33
27	Played	26
8 / 9 / 10	W / D / L	8 / 9 / 9
41	Scored	55
36	Conceded	64
+5	GD	-9
1.22	PPG	1.27
30%	Win %	31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

19% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

4/4

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/4

61-75

4/6

76+

2/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

4/3

16-30

5/9

31-45

9/9

46-60

5/11

61-75

4/4

76+

13/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	15 G	4 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	14 G	1 A
Evander	13 G	7 A
Tom Barlow	7 G	2 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between New York City FC and FC Cincinnati is underway.
5' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
6' Assisted by Valentin Castellanos with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jesus Medina makes no mistake. 1-0!
11' Alvaro Barreal needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 25 Yellow cards this season.
16' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
21' It’s high time Jaap Stam made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
26' Costa Rica international Ronald Matarrita has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
31' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
36' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
46' Tom Pettersson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 22 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
50' Gudmundur THorarinsson was booked on 50.
53' Nick Hagglund doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
53' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Kamohelo Mokotjo is replaced by Caleb Stanko.
55' Caleb Stanko is replacing Kamohelo Mokotjo for the FC Cincinnati side.
56' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Allan Cruz gets a Yellow card.
57' Goal! Gudmundur THorarinsson scores his 1 goal in 101 matches.
57' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Jurgen Locadia comes on to replace Alvaro Barreal.
60' New York City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
63' New York City FC make a change. Keaton Parks trudges off to be replaced by Alfredo Morales on 63 minutes.
64' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Yuya Kubo is withdrawn and Haris Medunjanin gets his opportunity.
67' GOAL! Valentin Castellanos scores on 67. Assisted by Alfredo Morales
72' New York City FC make a change. James Sands trudges off to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo on 72 minutes.
77' Allan Cruz is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
81' The crowd applauds Brenner as he leaves the pitch. Brandon Vazquez steps in for FC Cincinnati.
83' What composure from Jesus Medina! The Paraguay international strokes it home. 4-1.
83' The whistle greets Anton Tinnerholm as he departs to be replaced by Tayvon Gray.
88' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
FC Cincinnati will have plenty to reflect on. New York City FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↓ Malte Amundsen 72'
3
Anton Tinnerholm ↓ Tayvon Gray 83'
11
Valentin Castellanos
10
Maxi Moralez
4
Maxime Chanot
6
Alexander Callens
19
Jesus Medina
1
Sean Johnson C
16
James Sands ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 72'
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Alfredo Morales 63'

Bench

Coach Ronny Deila

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jaap Stam

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Jesus Medina	3
Kevin Denkey	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati W 2021-04-18 D.C. United SC 2–1 New York City FC L 2020-11-21 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2020-11-08 Chicago Fire FC 3–4 New York City FC W 2020-11-02 New York City FC 5–2 New York Red Bulls W 2020-10-28 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati L 2021-04-18 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2020-11-08 Internacional CF Miami 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2020-11-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2020-10-28 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Sporting Kansas City L 2020-10-24 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Minnesota United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.4 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.23 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + New York City FC to win 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC75% Draw15% FC Cincinnati10%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 4.63

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	82%	18%
± 3.5	66%	34%
± 4.5	47%	53%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

89%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

25%

New York City FC or FC Cincinnati

85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC59% Draw29% FC Cincinnati12%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

3 – 1

7.7%

2 – 1

4 – 1

6.5%

3 – 0

6.5%

2 – 0

4 – 0

5.4%

1 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

4.7%

5 – 1

4.5%

2 – 2

4.2%

4 – 2

5 – 0

Actual

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	40%	—	60%
-2	40%	19%	41%
-1.5	59%	—	41%
-1	59%	17%	23%
-0.5	77%	—	23%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	6%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

30% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.