New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2021 REGULAR SEASON

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MLS · 2021

New York City FC

5 – 0

Full Time

FC Cincinnati

Sat 24 Apr 2021 · 17:00 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45+3' · FT 45+2'

Gudmundur THorarinsson 50' Y

Y 56' Allan Cruz

Valentin Castellanos 60' Y

Overview

Match Preview

New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Yankee Stadium.

New York City FC 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Robert Sibiga
Referee David Gantar
Referee Jeffrey Greeson
Referee Gjovalin Bori
Referee

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Nashville SC	34	77
2	Internacional CF Miami	34	60
3	New England Revolution	34	58
4	Chicago Fire FC	34	55
5	Charlotte FC	34	54
6	Philadelphia Union	34	50
7	Columbus Crew SC	34	47
8	FC Cincinnati	34	46
9	Orlando City SC	34	46
10	New York City FC	34	42
11	New York Red Bulls	34	42
12	Toronto FC	34	39
13	Atlanta United FC	34	33
14	D.C. United SC	34	33
15	Montreal Impact FC	34	26
16	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	34	64
17	FC Dallas	34	58
18	St. Louis City	34	54
19	San Jose Earthquakes	34	52
20	Houston Dynamo	34	51
21	Los Angeles FC	34	47
22	Portland Timbers	34	46
23	Seattle Sounders FC	34	46
24	Real Salt Lake	34	45
25	Minnesota United FC	34	44
26	Los Angeles Galaxy	34	44
27	Colorado Rapids SC	34	43
28	San Diego FC	34	38
29	Austin FC	34	34
30	Sporting Kansas City	34	26

Head-to-Head

New York City FC 16 games · Avg 3.9 goals FC Cincinnati

Last 5 meetings

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-26 New York City FC 4–0 FC Cincinnati 2020-09-12 New York City FC 2–1 FC Cincinnati 2019-08-17 FC Cincinnati 1–4 New York City FC 2019-06-06 New York City FC 5–2 FC Cincinnati

Recent Form

New York City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Apr	FC Cincinnati	H	5–0	W
18 Apr	D.C. United SC	A	1–2	L
21 Nov	Orlando City SC	A	1–1	D
08 Nov	Chicago Fire FC	A	4–3	W
02 Nov	New York Red Bulls	H	5–2	W
28 Oct	Toronto FC	A	1–0	W

FC Cincinnati

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
24 Apr	New York City FC	A	0–5	L
18 Apr	Nashville SC	A	2–2	D
08 Nov	Internacional CF Miami	A	1–2	L
02 Nov	Atlanta United FC	A	0–2	L
28 Oct	Sporting Kansas City	H	0–1	L
24 Oct	Minnesota United FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

New York City FC		FC Cincinnati
#10	Position	#8
42	Points	46
34	Played	34
10 / 12 / 12	W / D / L	12 / 10 / 12
49	Scored	67
45	Conceded	75
+4	GD	-8
1.24	PPG	1.35
29%	Win %	35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season

18% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

New York City FC are 10th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC

0-15

5/2

16-30

6/5

31-45

6/8

46-60

5/6

61-75

5/6

76+

5/10

■ Scored ■ Conceded

FC Cincinnati

0-15

6/3

16-30

5/11

31-45

10/11

46-60

8/13

61-75

6/7

76+

17/9

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC

Nicolas Fernandez Marcau	16 G	6 A
Agustin Ojeda	5 G	5 A
Hannes Wolf	5 G	1 A

FC Cincinnati

Kevin Denkey	17 G	2 A
Evander	14 G	13 A
Tom Barlow	10 G	4 A
Pavel Bucha	6 G	3 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: FC Cincinnati gets underway.
5' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
6' GOAL! Jesus Medina scores on 6. Assisted by Valentin Castellanos
11' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
16' James Sands has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
21' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
26' Gudmundur THorarinsson has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
31' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
36' Sean Johnson has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 305 appearances.
41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
46' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
50' Gudmundur THorarinsson was booked on 50.
53' Nick Hagglund doubles the advantage! 1-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
53' Caleb Stanko gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kamohelo Mokotjo and will look to change the dynamic.
55' The crowd applauds Kamohelo Mokotjo as he leaves the pitch. Caleb Stanko steps in for FC Cincinnati.
56' The referee has no hesitation. Allan Cruz is booked for FC Cincinnati — Yellow card on 56.
57' A goal from the Iceland international Gudmundur THorarinsson! He fires home on 57 to make it 2-1!
57' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Alvaro Barreal departs to be replaced by Jurgen Locadia.
60' New York City FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
63' Alfredo Morales is replacing Keaton Parks for the New York City FC side.
64' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Yuya Kubo exits the field as Haris Medunjanin enters on 64.
67' Valentin Castellanos does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
72' The whistle greets James Sands as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Acevedo.
77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ronny Deila will be considering his options from the bench.
81' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Brenner is withdrawn and Brandon Vazquez gets his opportunity.
83' GOAL! Jesus Medina fires home to make it 4-1!
83' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tayvon Gray is hanging Anton Tinnerholm on the field on 83 minute.
88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for FC Cincinnati.

Lineups

New York City FC Lineups

Starting XI

20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↓ Malte Amundsen 72'
3
Anton Tinnerholm ↓ Tayvon Gray 83'
11
Valentin Castellanos
10
Maxi Moralez
4
Maxime Chanot
6
Alexander Callens
19
Jesus Medina
1
Sean Johnson C
16
James Sands ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 72'
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Alfredo Morales 63'

Bench

Coach Ronny Deila

FC Cincinnati Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Jaap Stam

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Brenner da Silva	7
Heber	6
Valentin Castellanos	4
Luciano Acosta	4
Jesus Medina	3
Alexandru Mitrita	3
Gabriel Pereira	3
Brandon Vazquez	2

Head to Head

New York City FC Form

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati W 2021-04-18 D.C. United SC 2–1 New York City FC L 2020-11-21 Orlando City SC 1–1 New York City FC D 2020-11-08 Chicago Fire FC 3–4 New York City FC W 2020-11-02 New York City FC 5–2 New York Red Bulls W 2020-10-28 Toronto FC 0–1 New York City FC W

FC Cincinnati Form

2021-04-24 New York City FC 5–0 FC Cincinnati L 2021-04-18 Nashville SC 2–2 FC Cincinnati D 2020-11-08 Internacional CF Miami 2–1 FC Cincinnati L 2020-11-02 Atlanta United FC 2–0 FC Cincinnati L 2020-10-28 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Sporting Kansas City L 2020-10-24 FC Cincinnati 0–1 Minnesota United FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

3.2 New York City FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.17 FC Cincinnati xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 79% + New York City FC to win 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC74% Draw15% FC Cincinnati11%

Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 4.37

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	93%	7%
± 2.5	79%	21%
± 3.5	61%	39%
± 4.5	43%	57%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw

89%

Draw or FC Cincinnati

26%

New York City FC or FC Cincinnati

85%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

New York City FC58% Draw31% FC Cincinnati11%

Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–0 not predicted

5 – 0

Actual

3 – 1

7.9%

2 – 1

7.6%

3 – 0

2 – 0

6.8%

4 – 1

6.3%

1 – 1

5.5%

4 – 0

5.5%

3 – 2

4.6%

2 – 2

4.3%

1 – 0

4.1%

5 – 1

4 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap	New York City FC covers	Push	FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5	38%	—	62%
-2	38%	20%	43%
-1.5	57%	—	43%
-1	57%	18%	25%
-0.5	75%	—	25%
+0.5	90%	—	10%
+1	90%	6%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet

32% ✗

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet

5% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.