New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Diego Blas
- Referee Gjovalin Bori
- Referee
17 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 9.9 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 36 | Conceded | 64 |
| +5 | GD | -9 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 30% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York City FC to score. At the same time, FC Cincinnati does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 1' The deadlock is broken! Alexandru Mitrita gets on the scoresheet on 1 minutes.
- 6' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 11' It’s high time Ronny Deila made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 16' Joe Gyau is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for New York City FC tonight.
- 21' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' The Sweden Anton Tinnerholm breaks the deadlock on 25 minutes. 2-0!
- 30' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 34' New York City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 34.
- 39' A tactical swap from New York City FC — Jesus Medina on, Alexander Ring off on 39 minutes.
- 43' What composure from Alexandru Mitrita! The Romania international strokes it home. 3-0.
- 46' Tom Pettersson makes way for Mathieu Deplagne at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from FC Cincinnati.
- 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Sean Johnson suffering a number of foals already.
- 55' FC Cincinnati ring the changes. Andrew Gutman has done his job and it is now time for Greg Garza to step up.
- 57' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Frankie Amaya is replaced by Caleb Stanko.
- 61' The referee has no hesitation. Ronald Matarrita is booked for New York City FC — Yellow card on 61.
- 64' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kendall Waston gets a Yellow card.
- 69' Andrew Gutman is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York City FC so far.
- 71' That is a Yellow card for FC Cincinnati. Haris Medunjanin will be fuming at that decision.
- 71' The FC Cincinnati manager makes a substitution. Allan Cruz departs to be replaced by Yuya Kubo.
- 76' Haris Medunjanin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 23 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 77' New York City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gudmundur THorarinsson is hanging Ronald Matarrita on the field on 77 minute.
- 78' Valentin Castellanos is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
- 83' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 86' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Keaton Parks is withdrawn and Nicolas Acevedo gets his opportunity.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Jesus Medina gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- New York City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 22
- 29
- 4
-
8
Alexander Ring C ↓ Jesus Medina 39'
- 6
- 1
- 16
-
28
Alexandru Mitrita ↓ Tony Rocha 86'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 86'
Bench
-
20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↑ 77'
-
17
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 77'
- 14
- 41
-
19
Jesus Medina ↑ 39'
- 33
- 25
-
15
Tony Rocha ↑ 86'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 86'
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 36
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Yuya Kubo 71'
- 19
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Caleb Stanko 57'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↓ Greg Garza 55'
- 3
Bench
-
17
Mathieu Deplagne ↑ 46'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 57'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 71'
-
4
Greg Garza ↑ 55'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-09-26
New York City FC
4–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-23
New York City FC
0–1
Toronto FC
L
2020-09-19
New England Revolution
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-12
New York City FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-06
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-03
New England Revolution
0–2
New York City FC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.8
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.21
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 75% + New York City FC to win 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.01
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 3.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 4.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
86%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
32%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.4%
3 – 1
7.7%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 1
6.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
4 – 1
5.4%
2 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.7%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
3.7%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 20% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 8% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

