New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 15 games · 19 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Armando Villarreal
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Diego Blas
- Referee Gjovalin Bori
- Referee
13 games this season
🟨 2.2/game
⚽ 6.6 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 19 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep | New York City FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Philadelphia Union | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Sep | New York Red Bulls | A | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #7 |
| 19 | Points | 20 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 4 / 6 | W / D / L | 5 / 5 / 5 |
| 25 | Scored | 36 |
| 21 | Conceded | 37 |
| +4 | GD | -1 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 33% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
20%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (19 pts). FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
2/–
16-30
2/3
31-45
1/3
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. New York City FC get us underway at Red Bull Arena.
- 1' GOAL! Alexandru Mitrita fires home to make it 1-0!
- 6' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 11' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 16' It looks surprising FC Cincinnati does not make any changes. Alexander Ring has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 21' The 37-year-old Sean Johnson has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 25' What a strike from Anton Tinnerholm! The score is 2-0.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. New York City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alexander Callens on 34.
- 39' New York City FC ring the changes. Alexander Ring has done his job and it is now time for Jesus Medina to step up.
- 43' Alexandru Mitrita adds to his 0 season tally! New York City FC lead 3-0 — and this changes everything.
- 46' The crowd applauds Tom Pettersson as he leaves the pitch. Mathieu Deplagne steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 55' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Andrew Gutman is replaced by Greg Garza on 55 minute.
- 57' Caleb Stanko gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Frankie Amaya and will look to change the dynamic.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Ronald Matarrita on 61 minutes.
- 64' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Kendall Waston.
- 69' Brandon Vazquez is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for New York City FC so far.
- 71' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Haris Medunjanin on 71 minutes.
- 71' Yuya Kubo gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Allan Cruz and will look to change the dynamic.
- 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 77' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Ronald Matarrita by Gudmundur THorarinsson on 77 minute.
- 78' Controversy at the stadium! Valentin Castellanos argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 83' Ronald Matarrita has been relatively quiet despite scoring 9 goals in his last 7 appearances.
- 86' The crowd applauds Keaton Parks as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Acevedo steps in for New York City FC.
- 88' Jesus Medina adds to his 0 season tally! New York City FC lead 4-0 — and this changes everything.
- Another three points for New York City FC.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 11
- 22
- 29
- 4
-
8
Alexander Ring C ↓ Jesus Medina 39'
- 6
- 1
- 16
-
28
Alexandru Mitrita ↓ Tony Rocha 86'
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Nicolas Acevedo 86'
Bench
-
20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↑ 77'
-
17
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 77'
- 14
- 41
-
19
Jesus Medina ↑ 39'
- 33
- 25
-
15
Tony Rocha ↑ 86'
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 86'
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 23
- 36
- 6
- 2
-
8
Allan Cruz ↓ Yuya Kubo 71'
- 19
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Caleb Stanko 57'
-
96
Andrew Gutman ↓ Greg Garza 55'
- 3
Bench
-
17
Mathieu Deplagne ↑ 46'
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↑ 57'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↑ 71'
-
4
Greg Garza ↑ 55'
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Kevin Denkey | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-09-26
New York City FC
4–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-23
New York City FC
0–1
Toronto FC
L
2020-09-19
New England Revolution
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-12
New York City FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-06
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-03
New England Revolution
0–2
New York City FC
W
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.9
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.25
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
33%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 0
6.2%
3 – 0
5.8%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
5.1%
4 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3.8%
4 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 19% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 19% | 32% |
| -0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.