New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
- Referee Katie Nesbitt
- Referee Jose Da Silva
- Referee
- Referee
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #9 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 41 | Scored | 55 |
| 36 | Conceded | 64 |
| +5 | GD | -9 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 30% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and New York City FC launch into their encounter with FC Cincinnati.
- 5' Jurgen Locadia has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 338 appearances.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' The 38-year-old Kendall Waston has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' New York City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined FC Cincinnati backline.
- 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Yuya Kubo made 299 appearances and scored 18 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 30' Another change for New York City FC made on 30 minute. Maxi Moralez leaves to be changed by Gary Mackay-Steven.
- 35' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 39' New York City FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Alexander Ring on 39.
- 44' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 44.
- 49' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 52' Kendall Waston is having his name booked by the referee on 52.
- 55' Anton Tinnerholm makes no mistake. The score reads 2-0 and New York City FC are in front.
- 60' Andrew Gutman, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 65' It is a substitution in FC Cincinnati team. Siem de Jong is replaced by Nick Hagglund on 65 minute.
- 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 252 games and scored 363 goals.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Brandon Vazquez. He replaces Caleb Stanko on 73 minute.
- 74' Brandon Vazquez does the damage! The net is bulging and FC Cincinnati surge ahead!
- 78' James Sands was booked on 78.
- 83' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 84' The referee shows New York City FC player a Yellow card on 84.
- 85' Another substitution for New York City FC to replace Jesus Medina by Ismael Tajouri on 85 minute.
- 90' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Mathieu Deplagne gets a Yellow card.
- 90' Time for substitution for New York City FC. Gary Mackay-Steven is replaced by Tony Rocha.
- 2-1 the final result. FC Cincinnati will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 3
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 6
-
19
Jesus Medina ↓ Ismael Tajouri 85'
- 1
- 16
-
9
Heber ↓ Valentin Castellanos 85'
- 55
Bench
-
17
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 30'
-
11
Valentin Castellanos ↑ 85'
-
29
Ismael Tajouri ↑ 85'
- 41
- 25
- 15
- 28
- 24
- 26
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Brandon Vazquez 73'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Allan Cruz 65'
- 36
- 22
-
11
Siem de Jong ↓ Nick Hagglund 65'
- 6
- 2
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 65'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 65'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 73'
- 4
- 18
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-09-12
New York City FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-06
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-03
New England Revolution
0–2
New York City FC
W
2020-08-29
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2020-08-24
New York City FC
1–0
Columbus Crew SC
W
2020-08-20
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New York City FC
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.81
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.1
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
85%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
33%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
82%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.1%
4 – 1
5.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.5%
4 – 0
4.2%
1 – 2
3.9%
4 – 2
3.5%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| -2 | 29% | 19% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 20% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.