New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Rubiel Vazquez
- Referee Katie Nesbitt
- Referee Jose Da Silva
- Referee
- Referee
11 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 2 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Sep | D.C. United SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Sep | New England Revolution | A | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 24 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | New York Red Bulls | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 02 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | Columbus Crew SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Aug | D.C. United SC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #6 |
| 26 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 5 / 6 |
| 31 | Scored | 45 |
| 24 | Conceded | 44 |
| +7 | GD | +1 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
H2H (15 games)
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Red Bull Arena. New York City FC are looking to make home advantage count against FC Cincinnati.
- 5' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 10' The travelling FC Cincinnati supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' Heber has been relatively quiet despite scoring 28 goals in his last 16 appearances.
- 20' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 25' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against FC Cincinnati's shape.
- 30' The whistle greets Maxi Moralez as he departs to be replaced by Gary Mackay-Steven.
- 35' FC Cincinnati looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Kevin Denkey scoring 2 goals.
- 39' Magnificent from Alexander Ring! That is 24 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 44' Przemyslaw Tyton has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 49' Andrew Gutman needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 52' Poor challenge from Kendall Waston. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 55' Against the run of play, Anton Tinnerholm has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 60' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 65' Time for substitution for FC Cincinnati. Siem de Jong is replaced by Nick Hagglund.
- 70' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His New York City FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 73' FC Cincinnati make a change. Caleb Stanko trudges off to be replaced by Brandon Vazquez on 73 minutes.
- 74' What a moment for Brandon Vazquez! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
- 78' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for James Sands on 78 minutes.
- 83' Both keepers have barely been tested. New York City FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 84' Controversy at the stadium! Maxime Chanot argues furiously but the Yellow card stands.
- 85' Ismael Tajouri has so much to prove this time. He replaces Jesus Medina on 85 minute.
- 90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Mathieu Deplagne on 90.
- 90' The whistle greets Gary Mackay-Steven as he departs to be replaced by Tony Rocha.
- Game over. The scoreline of 2-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 20
- 3
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 6
-
19
Jesus Medina ↓ Ismael Tajouri 85'
- 1
- 16
-
9
Heber ↓ Valentin Castellanos 85'
- 55
Bench
-
17
Gary Mackay-Steven ↑ 30'
-
11
Valentin Castellanos ↑ 85'
-
29
Ismael Tajouri ↑ 85'
- 41
- 25
- 15
- 28
- 24
- 26
Coach
Ronny Deila
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 17
-
33
Caleb Stanko ↓ Brandon Vazquez 73'
-
7
Yuya Kubo ↓ Allan Cruz 65'
- 36
- 22
-
11
Siem de Jong ↓ Nick Hagglund 65'
- 6
- 2
- 96
- 3
Bench
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 65'
-
8
Allan Cruz ↑ 65'
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↑ 73'
- 4
- 18
- 1
- 16
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Brenner da Silva | 7 |
| Heber | 6 |
| Valentin Castellanos | 4 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Gabriel Pereira | 3 |
| Jesus Medina | 3 |
| Alexandru Mitrita | 3 |
| Talles Magno | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-09-12
New York City FC
2–1
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-06
D.C. United SC
0–0
New York City FC
D
2020-09-03
New England Revolution
0–2
New York City FC
W
2020-08-29
New York City FC
3–1
Chicago Fire FC
W
2020-08-24
New York City FC
1–0
Columbus Crew SC
W
2020-08-20
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New York City FC
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.98
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
84%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
33%
New York City FC or FC Cincinnati
83%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
7.4%
1 – 1
5.9%
2 – 0
5.5%
4 – 1
5.5%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 2
5.3%
3 – 0
5.3%
4 – 2
4%
4 – 0
3.9%
1 – 2
3.8%
1 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -2 | 30% | 18% | 52% |
| -1.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| -1 | 48% | 19% | 33% |
| -0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.