New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 18 games · 25 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Brian Poeschel
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | New York Red Bulls | H | 5–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #8 |
| 26 | Points | 25 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 7 / 4 / 7 |
| 31 | Scored | 29 |
| 24 | Conceded | 39 |
| +7 | GD | -10 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.39 |
| 39% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
47%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
H2H (19 games)
37%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
16%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). New York Red Bulls are 8th (25 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
4/–
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
1/5
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 11 G | 3 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 4 G | 3 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for New York City FC to score. At the same time, New York Red Bulls does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Omir Fernandez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 12' GOAL! Valentin Castellanos fires home to make it 1-0!
- 17' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 18' Brian White adds to his 5 season tally! New York Red Bulls lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' New York City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 28.
- 33' New York City FC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against New York Red Bulls's shape.
- 38' The deadlock is broken! Cristian Casseres gets on the scoresheet on 38 minutes.
- 41' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Kyle Duncan on 41 minutes.
- 42' Gary Mackay-Steven doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Florian Valot. He replaces Samuel Tetteh on 46 minute.
- 51' Alexander Ring is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 56' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sean Johnson made 289 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 61' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Jorge Ruvalcaba scoring 1 goals.
- 64' Omir Fernandez is replacing Dru Yearwood for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 68' The referee has no hesitation. Keaton Parks is booked for New York City FC — Yellow card on 68.
- 70' The referee calls foul for Jesus Medina. He receives a Yellow card.
- 75' It looks surprising New York Red Bulls does not make any changes. Jared Stroud has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 76' A stunning finish from Valentin Castellanos — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 77' The crowd applauds Aaron Long as he leaves the pitch. Tom Barlow steps in for New York Red Bulls.
- 79' Mandela Egbo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Duncan on 79 minute.
- 84' Valentin Castellanos makes no mistake. The score reads 5-2 and New York City FC are in front.
- 85' It is a substitution in New York City FC team. Gary Mackay-Steven is replaced by Nicolas Acevedo on 85 minute.
- 86' Gudmundur THorarinsson gets the nod from New York City FC. He replaces Valentin Castellanos and will look to change the dynamic.
- 90' Juan Pablo Torres is replacing Jesus Medina for the New York City FC side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. New York City FC take all three points.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 11
- 22
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 6
- 19
- 1
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Tony Rocha 85'
Bench
-
20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↑ 86'
-
14
Juan Pablo Torres ↑ 90'
- 41
- 33
-
25
Joseph Scally ↑ 90'
-
15
Tony Rocha ↑ 85'
- 13
- 80
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 85'
Coach
Ronny Deila
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Omir Fernandez 64'
- 24
- 10
-
33
Aaron Long ↓ Tom Barlow 77'
- 26
- 18
- 42
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Mandela Egbo 79'
- 23
-
11
Samuel Tetteh ↓ Florian Valot 46'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↓ Caden Clark 64'
Bench
- 1
-
39
Mandela Egbo ↑ 79'
- 90
- 27
-
22
Florian Valot ↑ 46'
- 3
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 64'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 77'
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 64'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Valentin Castellanos | 5 |
| Maxi Moralez | 4 |
| Andres Perea | 3 |
| Omir Fernandez | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Bradley Wright-Phillips | 2 |
| Bradley Wright-Phillips | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-10-28
Toronto FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
2020-10-24
New York City FC
3–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2020-10-18
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
New York City FC
L
2020-10-14
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York City FC
D
2020-10-11
New York City FC
1–2
New England Revolution
L
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-10-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2020-10-24
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-18
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-10-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-10
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.66
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.45
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
79%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
41%
New York City FC or New York Red Bulls
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
5.1%
4 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.1%
4 – 2
3.5%
4 – 0
3.4%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +1 | 81% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

