New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at Red Bull Arena.
- New York City FC 27 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Jason White
- Referee Brian Poeschel
- Referee Joe Dickerson
- Referee Edvin Jurisevic
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | New York Red Bulls | H | 5–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Montreal Impact FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | New York City FC | A | 2–5 | L |
| 28 Oct | New England Revolution | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Oct | Orlando City SC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | Atlanta United FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| New York City FC | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #10 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 41 | Scored | 34 |
| 36 | Conceded | 48 |
| +5 | GD | -14 |
| 1.22 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 30% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
35%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
19%
Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
New York City FC this season
23%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
New York City FC are 8th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
New York City FC
0-15
5/2
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/6
76+
2/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
New York City FC
| Nicolas Fernandez Marcau | 15 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Ojeda | 5 G | 5 A |
| Hannes Wolf | 5 G | 1 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Red Bull Arena will turn into a battlefield for New York City FC and New York Red Bulls.
- 5' It is a cagey affair so far. New York City FC in their trying to find a way past New York Red Bulls's compact .
- 10' The home supporters are growing impatient. New York City FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 12' Magnificent from Valentin Castellanos! That is 96 goals in 294 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 17' It’s high time Ronny Deila made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 18' Brian White makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and New York Red Bulls are in front.
- 23' Mandela Egbo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 28' It looks surprising New York City FC does not make any changes. Gary Mackay-Steven has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 33' New York City FC have won 463 goals from 294 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' Against the run of play, Cristian Casseres has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 41' Kyle Duncan catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Yellow card on 41.
- 42' Gary Mackay-Steven doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Samuel Tetteh is withdrawn and Florian Valot gets his opportunity.
- 51' Goal! Alexander Ring scores his 24 goal in 294 matches.
- 56' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gerhard Struber might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 64' The whistle greets Dru Yearwood as he departs to be replaced by Omir Fernandez.
- 68' A moment of madness from Keaton Parks on 68 minutes earns him a Yellow card. New York City FC will be frustrated.
- 70' Jesus Medina is having his name booked by the referee on 70.
- 75' New York City FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 76' Goal! Valentin Castellanos scores his 96 goal in 294 matches.
- 77' Tom Barlow has so much to prove this time. He replaces Aaron Long on 77 minute.
- 79' Mandela Egbo has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kyle Duncan on 79 minute.
- 84' Valentin Castellanos does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
- 85' Another change for New York City FC made on 85 minute. Gary Mackay-Steven leaves to be changed by Nicolas Acevedo.
- 86' The New York City FC bench stirs into life. Valentin Castellanos is withdrawn and Gudmundur THorarinsson gets his opportunity.
- 90' Jesus Medina makes way for Juan Pablo Torres at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from New York City FC to claim maximum points.
Lineups
New York City FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 17
- 3
- 11
- 22
- 10
- 4
- 8
- 6
- 19
- 1
-
55
Keaton Parks ↓ Tony Rocha 85'
Bench
-
20
Gudmundur THorarinsson ↑ 86'
-
14
Juan Pablo Torres ↑ 90'
- 41
- 33
-
25
Joseph Scally ↑ 90'
-
15
Tony Rocha ↑ 85'
- 13
- 80
-
26
Nicolas Acevedo ↑ 85'
Coach
Ronny Deila
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
-
16
Dru Yearwood ↓ Omir Fernandez 64'
- 24
- 10
-
33
Aaron Long ↓ Tom Barlow 77'
- 26
- 18
- 42
-
6
Kyle Duncan ↓ Mandela Egbo 79'
- 23
-
11
Samuel Tetteh ↓ Florian Valot 46'
-
8
Jared Stroud ↓ Caden Clark 64'
Bench
- 1
-
39
Mandela Egbo ↑ 79'
- 90
- 27
-
22
Florian Valot ↑ 46'
- 3
-
21
Omir Fernandez ↑ 64'
-
74
Tom Barlow ↑ 77'
-
37
Caden Clark ↑ 64'
Coach
Gerhard Struber
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Valentin Castellanos | 5 |
| Maxi Moralez | 4 |
| Andres Perea | 3 |
| Omir Fernandez | 3 |
| Alonso Martinez | 3 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Bradley Wright-Phillips | 2 |
| Julian Hall | 2 |
Head to Head
New York City FC Form
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
W
2020-10-28
Toronto FC
0–1
New York City FC
W
2020-10-24
New York City FC
3–1
Montreal Impact FC
W
2020-10-18
Columbus Crew SC
3–1
New York City FC
L
2020-10-14
Orlando City SC
1–1
New York City FC
D
2020-10-11
New York City FC
1–2
New England Revolution
L
New York Red Bulls Form
2020-11-02
New York City FC
5–2
New York Red Bulls
L
2020-10-28
New York Red Bulls
1–0
New England Revolution
W
2020-10-24
Chicago Fire FC
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-18
New York Red Bulls
1–1
Orlando City SC
D
2020-10-14
Toronto FC
1–1
New York Red Bulls
D
2020-10-10
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.33
New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: New York City FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.66
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 2.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 3.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 4.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
Double Chance
New York City FC or Draw
78%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
44%
New York City FC or New York Red Bulls
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✗ 5–2 not predicted5 – 2Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
7.1%
3 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 0
5.6%
3 – 0
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4%
0 – 0
3.9%
4 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — New York City FC
| Handicap | New York City FC covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 21% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 12% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
New York City FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

