Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Atlanta United FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
- Atlanta United FC 27 games · 27 pts (2026/26)
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Chris Penso
- Referee Matthew Nelson
- Referee
- Referee
- Referee
7 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Oct | Orlando City SC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 24 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Toronto FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Oct | New York Red Bulls | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov | Atlanta United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 28 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Atlanta United FC | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #9 |
| 27 | Points | 33 |
| 27 | Played | 26 |
| 7 / 6 / 14 | W / D / L | 8 / 9 / 9 |
| 32 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 64 |
| -13 | GD | -9 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 26% | Win % | 31% |
Key Stats
59%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
Atlanta United FC this season
Atlanta United FC this season
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
Atlanta United FC are 14th (27 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
3/5
31-45
2/5
46-60
3/6
61-75
4/7
76+
5/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Atlanta United FC
| Aleksei Miranchuk | 6 G | 6 A |
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati get this one started.
- 5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 8' Adam Jahn has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
- 13' Atlanta United FC is showing some good football. However, Atlanta United FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 18' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. FC Cincinnati needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 22' Poor challenge from Adam Jahn. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
- 26' GOAL! Marcelino Moreno scores on 26.
- 31' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 33' Jeff Larentowicz has so much to prove this time. He replaces Mo Adams on 33 minute.
- 38' Atlanta United FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 45' Frankie Amaya was booked on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from Atlanta United FC — Emerson Hyndman on, Matheus Rossetto off on 46 minutes.
- 51' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Eric Remedi suffering a number of foals already.
- 61' Atlanta United FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 63' Another change for Atlanta United FC made on 63 minute. Jurgen Damm leaves to be changed by Ezequiel Barco.
- 64' Erick Torres is replacing Adam Jahn for the Atlanta United FC side.
- 69' Brooks Lennon is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for FC Cincinnati so far.
- 74' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 79' FC Cincinnati started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 82' Fresh legs for FC Cincinnati! Nick Hagglund comes on to replace Saad Abdul Salaam.
- 87' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 89' The Atlanta United FC manager makes a substitution. Marcelino Moreno departs to be replaced by Eric Remedi.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a Yellow card for Andrew Gutman on 90 minutes.
- It finishes all square. Atlanta United FC and FC Cincinnati share the spoils 2-0.
Lineups
Atlanta United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 9
- 11
-
10
Marcelino Moreno ↓ Eric Remedi 89'
- 2
- 1
- 21
-
14
Adam Jahn ↓ Erick Torres 64'
-
29
Mo Adams ↓ Jeff Larentowicz 33'
-
22
Jurgen Damm ↓ Ezequiel Barco 63'
- 26
- 6
Bench
- 23
-
20
Emerson Hyndman ↑ 46'
- 19
-
5
Eric Remedi ↑ 89'
-
8
Ezequiel Barco ↑ 63'
-
18
Jeff Larentowicz ↑ 33'
- 25
- 27
-
31
Erick Torres ↑ 64'
Coach
Stephen Glass
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
- 15
- 36
- 6
- 2
-
19
Brandon Vazquez ↓ Siem de Jong 64'
- 12
- 18
- 24
- 96
- 3
Bench
- 23
- 17
-
11
Siem de Jong ↑ 64'
-
14
Nick Hagglund ↑ 82'
- 20
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↑ 82'
- 26
- 30
Coach
Jaap Stam
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Josef Martinez | 6 |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 |
| Georgios Giakoumakis | 2 |
| Evander | 2 |
| Thiago Almada | 2 |
| Ezequiel Barco | 2 |
| Brandon Vazquez | 2 |
| Brenner da Silva | 1 |
Head to Head
Atlanta United FC Form
2020-11-02
Atlanta United FC
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-10-28
Orlando City SC
4–1
Atlanta United FC
L
2020-10-24
Atlanta United FC
1–2
D.C. United SC
L
2020-10-18
Toronto FC
1–0
Atlanta United FC
L
2020-10-15
Internacional CF Miami
1–1
Atlanta United FC
D
2020-10-10
Atlanta United FC
0–1
New York Red Bulls
L
FC Cincinnati Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.84
Atlanta United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31
FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 61% + Over 2.5 goals 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Atlanta United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.15
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 2.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 3.5 | 38% |
|
62% |
| ± 4.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
Double Chance
Atlanta United FC or Draw
75%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
49%
Atlanta United FC or FC Cincinnati
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Atlanta United FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
0 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Atlanta United FC
| Handicap | Atlanta United FC covers | Push | FC Cincinnati covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 15% | 72% |
| -1.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| -1 | 28% | 21% | 51% |
| -0.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
Atlanta United FC keeps clean sheet
28%
✗
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
17%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.