FC Cincinnati vs Minnesota United FC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs Minnesota United FC — MLS at Nippert Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
- Minnesota United FC 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Peter Balciunas
- Referee C. Blanchard
- Referee Silviu Petrescu
- Referee Malik Badawi
- Referee
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Oct | D.C. United SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Oct | Columbus Crew SC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Toronto FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 07 Oct | Philadelphia Union | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Oct | Nashville SC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Sep | Columbus Crew SC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | Minnesota United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #25 |
| 26 | Points | 24 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 5 / 6 | W / D / L | 6 / 6 / 6 |
| 45 | Scored | 20 |
| 44 | Conceded | 25 |
| +1 | GD | -5 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.33 |
| 39% | Win % | 33% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
32%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
FC Cincinnati are 6th (26 pts). Minnesota United FC are 25th (24 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/7
31-45
9/5
46-60
4/7
61-75
2/1
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Minnesota United FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 10 G | 4 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 10 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 5 G |
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 8 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and Minnesota United FC get this one started.
- 5' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Joe Gyau has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' FC Cincinnati are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Minnesota United FC's shape.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Minnesota United FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 25' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and Minnesota United FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 40' The travelling Minnesota United FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 45' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Cincinnati in their trying to find a way past Minnesota United FC's compact .
- 50' FC Cincinnati are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Minnesota United FC backline.
- 55' Minnesota United FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 58' Jurgen Locadia has so much to prove this time. He replaces Alvaro Barreal on 58 minute.
- 63' Kamohelo Mokotjo needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 66' Minnesota United FC player sees a Yellow card in front of him.
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 76' A tactical swap from Minnesota United FC — Aaron Schoenfeld on, Kei Kamara off on 76 minutes.
- 81' A meaty challenge results in booking for Zico Bailey on 81.
- 82' Chase Gasper is having his name booked by the referee on 82.
- 87' A quiet spell here at Nippert Stadium. Minnesota United FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 90' Rashawn Dally is replacing Frankie Amaya for the FC Cincinnati side.
- With this win, Minnesota United FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
- 36
- 11
- 6
- 14
-
31
Alvaro Barreal ↓ Jurgen Locadia 58'
- 18
-
24
Frankie Amaya ↓ Rashawn Dally 90'
- 96
- 3
- 16
Bench
-
10
Jurgen Locadia ↑ 58'
- 47
- 2
- 20
-
81
Rashawn Dally ↑ 90'
- 26
- 1
- 30
Coach
Jaap Stam
Minnesota United FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 19
- 17
- 6
- 15
-
13
Ethan Finlay ↓ Emanuel Reynoso 76'
-
7
Kevin Molino ↓ Brent Kallman 90'
-
16
Kei Kamara ↓ Aaron Schoenfeld 76'
- 8
- 77
- 97
Bench
- 30
- 5
- 94
-
14
Brent Kallman ↑ 90'
- 4
-
10
Emanuel Reynoso ↑ 76'
-
12
Aaron Schoenfeld ↑ 76'
- 11
- 41
Coach
Adrian Heath
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Molino | 2 |
| Ike Opara | 2 |
| Ethan Finlay | 1 |
| Mason Toye | 1 |
| Hassani Dotson | 1 |
| Emmanuel Ledesma | 1 |
| Kei Kamara | 1 |
| Aaron Schoenfeld | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
Minnesota United FC Form
2020-10-24
FC Cincinnati
0–1
Minnesota United FC
W
2020-10-19
Minnesota United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2020-10-07
Nashville SC
0–0
Minnesota United FC
D
2020-10-04
Minnesota United FC
2–0
FC Cincinnati
W
2020-09-28
Minnesota United FC
0–0
Real Salt Lake
D
2020-09-23
Columbus Crew SC
2–1
Minnesota United FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Minnesota United FC xG
I would bet for:
FC Cincinnati or Minnesota United FC 75% + Both teams to score 64%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Minnesota United FC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.28
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 2.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 3.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
| ± 4.5 | 24% |
|
76% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
56%
Draw or Minnesota United FC
70%
FC Cincinnati or Minnesota United FC
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.9%
1 – 2
8.6%
2 – 1
7.2%
2 – 2
6.4%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
6%
0 – 0
5.3%
1 – 3
5.1%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 0
4.2%
2 – 3
3.9%
3 – 1
3.6%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | Minnesota United FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 69% |
| -0.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 20% | 24% |
| +1.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +2 | 76% | 13% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

