Sunday , 16 August 2026

New York City FC vs Nashville SC, MLS 2024 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2024
Sun 6 Oct 2024 · 20:25 UTC Yankee Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct Nashville SC H 3–1 W
02 Oct FC Cincinnati H 3–2 W
28 Sep New York Red Bulls A 5–1 W
21 Sep Internacional CF Miami H 1–1 D
18 Sep Philadelphia Union H 1–5 L
14 Sep D.C. United SC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Oct New York City FC A 1–3 L
03 Oct D.C. United SC H 3–4 L
28 Sep New England Revolution A 0–1 L
22 Sep FC Cincinnati H 2–2 D
19 Sep Chicago Fire FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep Atlanta United FC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

New York City FC Nashville SC
#5 Position #1
26 Points 40
18 Played 18
7 / 5 / 6 W / D / L 12 / 4 / 2
31 Scored 35
24 Conceded 14
+7 GD +21
1.44 PPG 2.22
39% Win % 67%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
New York City FC this season
42% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season

New York City FC are 5th (26 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

New York City FC
0-15
4/
16-30
3/4
31-45
2/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/2
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

New York City FC
Nicolas Fernandez Marcau 11 G 3 A
Hannes Wolf 5 G 1 A
Agustin Ojeda 4 G 3 A
Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 10 G
Hany Mukhtar 6 G 4 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Yankee Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 1' A stunning finish from Santiago Rodriguez — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 6' A quiet spell here at Yankee Stadium. New York City FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 11' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alonso Martinez, as he is very good at scoring at Yankee Stadium with 12 goals in the last 10 games.
  • 16' Keaton Parks needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Red cards this season.
  • 18' Santiago Rodriguez does the damage! The net is bulging and New York City FC surge ahead!
  • 21' Alonso Martinez has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
  • 26' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sam Surridge made 14 appearances and scored 63 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 31' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jack Maher is clearly more than just a goal scorer for New York City FC.
  • 36' Nashville SC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 41' New York City FC is showing some good football. However, New York City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' That is a card for Nashville SC. Walker Zimmerman will be fuming at that decision.
  • 46' Nashville SC ring the changes. Shaq Moore has done his job and it is now time for Julian Gaines to step up.
  • 51' New York City FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nashville SC backline.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Maxi Moralez suffering a number of foals already.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Hany Mukhtar gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 60' The referee has no hesitation. Patrick Yazbek is booked for Nashville SC — card on 60.
  • 65' It’s high time Nick Cushing made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 70' Maxi Moralez makes way for Andres Perea at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from New York City FC.
  • 75' New York City FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Nashville SCDru Yearwood on, Patrick Yazbek off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' The energy levels are beginning to show. Nick Cushing might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 87' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 89' A change in the New York City FC ranks — Hannes Wolf exits the field as Julian Fernandez enters on 89.
  • 3-1 the final result. Nashville SC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.31 New York City FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.43 Nashville SC xG
I would bet for: New York City FC or Nashville SC 73% + Both teams to score 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
New York City FC40% Draw27% Nashville SC33%
Actual: New York City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

New York City FC or Draw
66%
Draw or Nashville SC
60%
New York City FC or Nashville SC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
New York City FC25% Draw47% Nashville SC28%
Actual: New York City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
8.4%
1 – 2
8.3%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
5.4%
1 – 3
4%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — New York City FC

Handicap New York City FC covers Push Nashville SC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 10% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 18% 67%
-0.5 33% 67%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 19%
+1.5 81% 19%
+2 81% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

New York City FC keeps clean sheet
25%
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
28%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.