Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #19 |
| 40 | Points | 32 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 12 / 4 / 2 | W / D / L | 10 / 2 / 6 |
| 35 | Scored | 27 |
| 14 | Conceded | 24 |
| +21 | GD | +3 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 1.78 |
| 67% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts). Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Geodis Park as Nashville SC face off against Houston Dynamo in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 2' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hany Mukhtar makes it 1-0.
- 7' It looks surprising Nashville SC does not make any changes. Erik Sviatchenko has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 9' Controversy at the stadium! Erik Sviatchenko argues furiously but the card stands.
- 13' Poor challenge from Andy Najar. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 15' Houston Dynamo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Obafemi Awodesu is hanging Ondrej Lingr on the field on 15 minute.
- 20' Houston Dynamo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 35' The 33-year-old Jonathan Bond has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 38' Poor challenge from Patrick Yazbek. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 40' What a moment for Junior Urso! That strike on 40 puts his side firmly in control.
- 45' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' The England Sam Surridge breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-1!
- 50' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Andy Najar makes no mistake. 3-1!
- 55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 57' Josh Bauer is replacing Andy Najar for the Nashville SC side.
- 62' Nashville SC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 67' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 69' Houston Dynamo ring the changes. Junior Urso has done his job and it is now time for Amine Bassi to step up.
- 70' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 70 minute. Ezequiel Ponce leaves to be changed by Duane Holmes.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Duane Holmes suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' Tyler Boyd gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Hany Mukhtar and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Sam Surridge is replaced by Teal Bunbury.
- 82' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 84' The crowd applauds Ethan Bartlow as he leaves the pitch. Sergio Santos steps in for Houston Dynamo.
- 87' Nashville SC make a change. Jacob Shaffelburg trudges off to be replaced by Walker Zimmerman on 87 minutes.
- The points are shared — Nashville SC 3-1 Houston Dynamo. Honours even.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Surridge ↓ Teal Bunbury 77'
- 19
- 1
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 57'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Tyler Boyd 76'
- 14
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 57'
- 4
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 57'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 77'
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 87'
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 76'
- 3
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 57'
- 55
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
-
6
Artur ↓ Sebastian Kowalczyk 84'
- 28
-
30
Junior Urso ↓ Amine Bassi 69'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 15'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
- 21
- 11
- 36
Bench
- 3
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 69'
- 1
- 18
-
20
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 84'
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 15'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Carlos Darwin Quintero | 1 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 1 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 1 |
| Maynor Figueroa | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.06
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Nashville SC to win 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
43%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.8%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 1
3.4%
3 – 2
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

