St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 26 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Austin FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #20 |
| 44 | Points | 44 |
| 26 | Played | 27 |
| 12 / 8 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 45 | Scored | 34 |
| 36 | Conceded | 32 |
| +9 | GD | +2 |
| 1.69 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 46% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
57%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
St. Louis City are 19th (44 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
4/3
16-30
7/2
31-45
9/3
46-60
8/5
61-75
6/5
76+
6/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 13 G | 3 A |
| Simon Becher | 8 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. St. Louis City host Houston Dynamo — let the battle begin!
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ben Olsen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Both keepers have barely been tested. St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 15' Germany international Marcel Hartel has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
- 20' Ezequiel Ponce makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Houston Dynamo are in front.
- 25' The 24-year-old Felipe has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' The travelling Houston Dynamo supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 43' Eduard Lowen catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 43.
- 45' That is a card for Houston Dynamo. Ezequiel Ponce will be fuming at that decision.
- 50' Magnificent from Henry Kessler! That is 9 goals in 290 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 53' A meaty challenge results in booking for Alfredo Morales on 53.
- 54' Poor challenge from Antonio Carlos. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' The referee calls foul for Felipe. He receives a card.
- 59' The St. Louis City manager makes a substitution. Timo Baumgartl departs to be replaced by Fallou Fall.
- 64' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 69' Simon Becher has so much to prove this time. He replaces Conrad Wallem on 69 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Lawrence Ennali is replaced by Duane Holmes.
- 72' The USA Duane Holmes breaks the deadlock on 72 minutes. 1-2!
- 75' The Houston Dynamo manager makes a substitution. Erik Sviatchenko departs to be replaced by Obafemi Awodesu.
- 80' The crowd applauds Alfredo Morales as he leaves the pitch. Chris Durkin steps in for St. Louis City.
- 85' St. Louis City are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Houston Dynamo backline.
- 86' Brilliant from the ! Eduard Lowen makes it 2-2 with a superb finish on 86.
- 87' Franco Escobar gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Jack McGlynn and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Against the run of play, Mykhi Joyner has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Mykhi Joyner.
- 2-3 the final result. St. Louis City will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
32
Timo Baumgartl ↓ Fallou Fall 59'
- 17
- 10
-
27
Alfredo Morales ↓ Chris Durkin 80'
- 9
- 5
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↓ Mykhi Joyner 59'
-
77
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Celio Pompeu 80'
- 2
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Simon Becher 69'
Bench
-
8
Chris Durkin ↑ 80'
- 91
-
11
Simon Becher ↑ 69'
- 22
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↑ 80'
- 39
- 14
-
95
Fallou Fall ↑ 59'
-
59
Mykhi Joyner ↑ 59'
Coach
David Critchley
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Gabriel Segal 87'
- 6
- 28
- 25
- 9
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Franco Escobar 87'
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
- 35
- 36
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
- 8
- 5
- 1
-
2
Franco Escobar ↑ 87'
- 30
- 27
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 87'
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 75'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Simon Becher | 3 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Dante Polvara | 1 |
| Jake Nerwinski | 1 |
| Duane Holmes | 1 |
| Henry Kessler | 1 |
| Mykhi Joyner | 1 |
Head to Head
St. Louis City Form
Houston Dynamo Form
2025-08-31
St. Louis City
2–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-08-24
Houston Dynamo
1–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2025-08-18
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2025-08-10
Austin FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2025-07-17
Houston Dynamo
0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo 72% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.97
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
66%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
62%
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12.2%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.6%
1 – 0
7.2%
0 – 0
6.9%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.2%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.5%
1 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| -0.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| +0.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +1 | 67% | 17% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

