St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Citypark.
- St. Louis City 34 games · 54 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 17 Aug | Chicago Fire FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 10 Aug | Nashville SC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 Jul | Minnesota United FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | FC Dallas | A | 0–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Aug | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 Aug | Austin FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 20 Jul | Philadelphia Union | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Jul | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | H | 0–3 | L |
Season Stats
| St. Louis City | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #18 | Position | #20 |
| 54 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 15 / 9 / 10 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 11 |
| 59 | Scored | 43 |
| 48 | Conceded | 43 |
| +11 | GD | +0 |
| 1.59 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 44% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
38%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
St. Louis City this season
St. Louis City this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
St. Louis City are 18th (54 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
St. Louis City
0-15
9/3
16-30
8/2
31-45
11/8
46-60
10/9
61-75
6/7
76+
10/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
St. Louis City
| Rafael Navarro | 18 G | 6 A |
| Simon Becher | 9 G | 4 A |
| Marcel Hartel | 6 G | 3 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and St. Louis City launch into their encounter with Houston Dynamo.
- 5' St. Louis City started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Ondrej Lingr needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 15' St. Louis City are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 20' Brilliant from the ! Ezequiel Ponce makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 20.
- 25' Alfredo Morales, a USA , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' A quiet spell here at Citypark. St. Louis City seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 40' Erik Sviatchenko has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 43' Eduard Lowen picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 45' Ezequiel Ponce is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 50' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Henry Kessler makes it 1-1.
- 53' The referee calls foul for Alfredo Morales. He receives a card.
- 54' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Antonio Carlos on 54 minutes.
- 58' Felipe is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
- 59' Time for substitution for St. Louis City. Timo Baumgartl is replaced by Fallou Fall.
- 64' Conrad Wallem has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 69' Time for substitution for St. Louis City. Conrad Wallem is replaced by Simon Becher.
- 70' Duane Holmes gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Lawrence Ennali and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' What a strike from Duane Holmes! The score is 1-2.
- 75' The whistle greets Erik Sviatchenko as he departs to be replaced by Obafemi Awodesu.
- 80' Chris Durkin is ready to make an impact after coming on for Alfredo Morales at the 80 minute mark.
- 85' St. Louis City are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Houston Dynamo backline.
- 86' Eduard Lowen is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 3 goals this season for the .
- 87' The crowd applauds Jack McGlynn as he leaves the pitch. Franco Escobar steps in for Houston Dynamo.
- 89' A stunning finish from Mykhi Joyner — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Mykhi Joyner.
- The points are shared — St. Louis City 2-3 Houston Dynamo. Honours even.
Lineups
St. Louis City Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
-
32
Timo Baumgartl ↓ Fallou Fall 59'
- 17
- 10
-
27
Alfredo Morales ↓ Chris Durkin 80'
- 9
- 5
-
7
Tomas Ostrak ↓ Mykhi Joyner 59'
-
77
Sang-bin Jeong ↓ Celio Pompeu 80'
- 2
-
6
Conrad Wallem ↓ Simon Becher 69'
Bench
-
8
Chris Durkin ↑ 80'
- 91
-
11
Simon Becher ↑ 69'
- 22
-
12
Celio Pompeu ↑ 80'
- 39
- 14
-
95
Fallou Fall ↑ 59'
-
59
Mykhi Joyner ↑ 59'
Coach
David Critchley
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Gabriel Segal 87'
- 6
- 28
- 25
- 9
-
21
Jack McGlynn ↓ Franco Escobar 87'
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
- 35
- 36
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
- 8
- 5
- 1
-
2
Franco Escobar ↑ 87'
- 30
- 27
-
17
Gabriel Segal ↑ 87'
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 75'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Simon Becher | 3 |
| Ezequiel Ponce | 2 |
| Eduard Lowen | 2 |
| Nicholas Gioacchini | 1 |
| Corey Baird | 1 |
| Tomas Ostrak | 1 |
| Klauss | 1 |
| Ibrahim Aliyu | 1 |
Head to Head
St. Louis City Form
Houston Dynamo Form
2025-08-31
St. Louis City
2–3
Houston Dynamo
W
2025-08-24
Houston Dynamo
1–2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
2025-08-18
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
1–1
Houston Dynamo
D
2025-08-10
Austin FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2025-07-20
Houston Dynamo
1–1
Philadelphia Union
D
2025-07-17
Houston Dynamo
0–3
Vancouver Whitecaps FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.61
St. Louis City xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo 73% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
66%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
61%
St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 2–3 not predicted2 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
1 – 0
7%
0 – 0
6.6%
2 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 1
6%
0 – 2
4.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — St. Louis City
| Handicap | St. Louis City covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 79% |
| -1.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| -1 | 21% | 20% | 59% |
| -0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
St. Louis City keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

