Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #20 |
| 60 | Points | 44 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 18 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 13 / 5 / 9 |
| 55 | Scored | 34 |
| 21 | Conceded | 32 |
| +34 | GD | +2 |
| 2.22 | PPG | 1.63 |
| 67% | Win % | 48% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo is underway.
- 2' The deadlock is broken! Hany Mukhtar gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
- 7' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Erik Sviatchenko on 9.
- 13' Andy Najar was booked on 13.
- 15' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Ondrej Lingr by Obafemi Awodesu on 15 minute.
- 20' Jeisson Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
- 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sergio Santos, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 30' Junior Urso has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 35' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
- 38' Controversy at the stadium! Patrick Yazbek argues furiously but the card stands.
- 40' Brilliant from the ! Junior Urso makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 40.
- 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 48' GOAL! Sam Surridge fires home to make it 2-1!
- 50' Andy Najar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
- 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 57' Josh Bauer is replacing Andy Najar for the Nashville SC side.
- 62' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 67' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Houston Dynamo backline.
- 69' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Junior Urso by Amine Bassi on 69 minute.
- 70' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Ezequiel Ponce is replaced by Duane Holmes.
- 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lawrence Ennali suffering a number of foals already.
- 76' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Hany Mukhtar exits the field as Tyler Boyd enters on 76.
- 77' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Sam Surridge is replaced by Teal Bunbury.
- 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 84' Houston Dynamo make a change. Ethan Bartlow trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Santos on 84 minutes.
- 87' Another change for Nashville SC made on 87 minute. Jacob Shaffelburg leaves to be changed by Walker Zimmerman.
- Another three points for Nashville SC.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Surridge ↓ Teal Bunbury 77'
- 19
- 1
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 57'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Tyler Boyd 76'
- 14
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 57'
- 4
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 57'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 77'
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 87'
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 76'
- 3
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 57'
- 55
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
-
6
Artur ↓ Sebastian Kowalczyk 84'
- 28
-
30
Junior Urso ↓ Amine Bassi 69'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 15'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
- 21
- 11
- 36
Bench
- 3
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 69'
- 1
- 18
-
20
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 84'
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 15'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 1 |
| Maynor Figueroa | 1 |
| Andy Najar | 1 |
| Daniel Rios | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
81%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
43%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

