Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #20 |
| 77 | Points | 51 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 23 / 8 / 3 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 11 |
| 71 | Scored | 43 |
| 25 | Conceded | 43 |
| +46 | GD | +0 |
| 2.26 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 68% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nashville SC host Houston Dynamo — let the battle begin!
- 2' Hany Mukhtar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
- 7' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 9' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erik Sviatchenko on 9 minutes.
- 13' The referee has no hesitation. Andy Najar is booked for Nashville SC — card on 13.
- 15' Ondrej Lingr makes way for Obafemi Awodesu at the 15 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 20' It’s high time Ben Olsen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 38' Patrick Yazbek catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
- 40' Junior Urso does the damage! The net is bulging and Houston Dynamo surge ahead!
- 45' Houston Dynamo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 48' Sam Surridge does the damage! The net is bulging and Nashville SC surge ahead!
- 50' What composure from Andy Najar! The Honduras international strokes it home. 3-1.
- 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 57' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Andy Najar is replaced by Josh Bauer.
- 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 67' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 69' Junior Urso makes way for Amine Bassi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 70' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ezequiel Ponce exits the field as Duane Holmes enters on 70.
- 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 76' Nashville SC make a change. Hany Mukhtar trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Boyd on 76 minutes.
- 77' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Teal Bunbury on, Sam Surridge off on 77 minutes.
- 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ethan Bartlow is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
- 84' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 84 minute. Ethan Bartlow leaves to be changed by Sergio Santos.
- 87' The whistle greets Jacob Shaffelburg as he departs to be replaced by Walker Zimmerman.
- 3-1 the final result. Houston Dynamo will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Surridge ↓ Teal Bunbury 77'
- 19
- 1
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 57'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Tyler Boyd 76'
- 14
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 57'
- 4
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 57'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 77'
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 87'
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 76'
- 3
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 57'
- 55
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
-
6
Artur ↓ Sebastian Kowalczyk 84'
- 28
-
30
Junior Urso ↓ Amine Bassi 69'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 15'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
- 21
- 11
- 36
Bench
- 3
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 69'
- 1
- 18
-
20
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 84'
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 15'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 1 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 1 |
| Maynor Figueroa | 1 |
| Andy Najar | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
81%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
42%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 19% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 23% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 10% | 5% |
| +1.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
| +2 | 95% | 4% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
39%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

