Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Houston Dynamo H 3–1 W
20 Sep Orlando City SC A 2–3 L
13 Sep FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nashville SC A 1–3 L
21 Sep Portland Timbers H 1–0 W
14 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 1–2 L
07 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
31 Aug St. Louis City A 3–2 W
24 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Houston Dynamo
#1 Position #20
60 Points 44
27 Played 27
18 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 13 / 5 / 9
55 Scored 34
21 Conceded 32
+34 GD +2
2.22 PPG 1.63
67% Win % 48%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
41% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 16 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 13 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 14 G 6 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo is underway.
  • 2' The deadlock is broken! Hany Mukhtar gets on the scoresheet on 2 minutes.
  • 7' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 9' A meaty challenge results in booking for Erik Sviatchenko on 9.
  • 13' Andy Najar was booked on 13.
  • 15' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Ondrej Lingr by Obafemi Awodesu on 15 minute.
  • 20' Jeisson Palacios is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nashville SC so far.
  • 25' Supporters expect more eagerness from Sergio Santos, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 30' Junior Urso has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 32 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 35' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 35.
  • 38' Controversy at the stadium! Patrick Yazbek argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 40' Brilliant from the ! Junior Urso makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 40.
  • 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 48' GOAL! Sam Surridge fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 50' Andy Najar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 50 minutes.
  • 55' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 57' Josh Bauer is replacing Andy Najar for the Nashville SC side.
  • 62' Houston Dynamo come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 67' Nashville SC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Houston Dynamo backline.
  • 69' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Junior Urso by Amine Bassi on 69 minute.
  • 70' Time for substitution for Houston Dynamo. Ezequiel Ponce is replaced by Duane Holmes.
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lawrence Ennali suffering a number of foals already.
  • 76' A change in the Nashville SC ranks — Hany Mukhtar exits the field as Tyler Boyd enters on 76.
  • 77' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Sam Surridge is replaced by Teal Bunbury.
  • 82' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 84' Houston Dynamo make a change. Ethan Bartlow trudges off to be replaced by Sergio Santos on 84 minutes.
  • 87' Another change for Nashville SC made on 87 minute. Jacob Shaffelburg leaves to be changed by Walker Zimmerman.
  • Another three points for Nashville SC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.99 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC57% Draw24% Houston Dynamo19%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.96
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
81%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
43%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC43% Draw43% Houston Dynamo14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
10.1%
1 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
6.9%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5 18% — 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% — 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% — 40%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
15% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.