Saturday , 5 September 2026

Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Houston Dynamo H 3–1 W
20 Sep Orlando City SC A 2–3 L
13 Sep FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nashville SC A 1–3 L
21 Sep Portland Timbers H 1–0 W
14 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 1–2 L
07 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
31 Aug St. Louis City A 3–2 W
24 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Houston Dynamo
#1 Position #17
53 Points 39
23 Played 22
16 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 12 / 3 / 7
47 Scored 30
17 Conceded 26
+30 GD +4
2.30 PPG 1.77
70% Win % 55%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
48% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
45% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

Nashville SC are 1st (53 pts). Houston Dynamo are 17th (39 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/4
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/3
31-45
6/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
5/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 13 G
Hany Mukhtar 10 G 6 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 12 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nashville SC have kicked off against Houston Dynamo. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 2' What a moment for Hany Mukhtar! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 7' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erik Sviatchenko.
  • 13' Andy Najar was booked on 13.
  • 15' The whistle greets Ondrej Lingr as he departs to be replaced by Obafemi Awodesu.
  • 20' Nashville SC have won 313 goals from 217 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 25' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 38' That is a card for Nashville SC. Patrick Yazbek will be fuming at that decision.
  • 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Junior Urso makes it 1-1.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ben Olsen will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 48' A goal from the England international Sam Surridge! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-1!
  • 50' What a moment for Andy Najar! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 55' Jack Maher is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
  • 57' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Andy Najar is replaced by Josh Bauer on 57 minute.
  • 62' Amine Bassi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 69' Junior Urso makes way for Amine Bassi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
  • 70' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ezequiel Ponce exits the field as Duane Holmes enters on 70.
  • 75' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 76' The whistle greets Hany Mukhtar as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Boyd.
  • 77' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Sam Surridge is replaced by Teal Bunbury on 77 minute.
  • 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack McGlynn, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 84' Sergio Santos gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Ethan Bartlow and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Walker Zimmerman comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
  • Another three points for Nashville SC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC57% Draw24% Houston Dynamo19%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
43%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC43% Draw42% Houston Dynamo15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38%
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.