Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Geodis Park.
- Nashville SC 23 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 22 games · 39 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 23 | 53 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 22 | 42 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 21 | 37 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 22 | 37 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 22 | 35 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 22 | 31 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 23 | 29 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 22 | 26 |
| 9 | Toronto FC | 22 | 25 |
| 10 | D.C. United SC | 22 | 25 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 22 | 25 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union | 22 | 24 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 22 | 21 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 22 | 21 |
| 15 | Columbus Crew SC | 22 | 20 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 21 | 43 |
| 17 | Houston Dynamo | 22 | 39 |
| 18 | Los Angeles FC | 23 | 36 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 22 | 34 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 22 | 34 |
| 21 | St. Louis City | 22 | 34 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 22 | 31 |
| 23 | San Diego FC | 22 | 30 |
| 24 | Minnesota United FC | 22 | 29 |
| 25 | Real Salt Lake | 21 | 28 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 22 | 28 |
| 27 | Seattle Sounders FC | 21 | 26 |
| 28 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 23 | 26 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 22 | 24 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 22 | 15 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Orlando City SC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | FC Cincinnati | A | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Aug | Atlanta United FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | Orlando City SC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 17 Aug | New York City FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | Portland Timbers | H | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | Colorado Rapids SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Aug | St. Louis City | A | 3–2 | W |
| 24 Aug | San Jose Earthquakes | H | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Nashville SC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #17 |
| 53 | Points | 39 |
| 23 | Played | 22 |
| 16 / 5 / 2 | W / D / L | 12 / 3 / 7 |
| 47 | Scored | 30 |
| 17 | Conceded | 26 |
| +30 | GD | +4 |
| 2.30 | PPG | 1.77 |
| 70% | Win % | 55% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
45%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Nashville SC are 1st (53 pts). Houston Dynamo are 17th (39 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/4
76+
8/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/3
31-45
6/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
5/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 13 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 10 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 12 G | 5 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nashville SC have kicked off against Houston Dynamo. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 2' What a moment for Hany Mukhtar! That strike on 2 puts his side firmly in control.
- 7' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 9' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Erik Sviatchenko.
- 13' Andy Najar was booked on 13.
- 15' The whistle greets Ondrej Lingr as he departs to be replaced by Obafemi Awodesu.
- 20' Nashville SC have won 313 goals from 217 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 25' Houston Dynamo is showing some good football. However, Houston Dynamo are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 30' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 35' Over 35 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 38' That is a card for Nashville SC. Patrick Yazbek will be fuming at that decision.
- 40' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Junior Urso makes it 1-1.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Ben Olsen will be considering his options from the bench.
- 48' A goal from the England international Sam Surridge! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-1!
- 50' What a moment for Andy Najar! That strike on 50 puts his side firmly in control.
- 55' Jack Maher is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nashville SC tonight.
- 57' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Andy Najar is replaced by Josh Bauer on 57 minute.
- 62' Amine Bassi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 67' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 69' Junior Urso makes way for Amine Bassi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 70' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ezequiel Ponce exits the field as Duane Holmes enters on 70.
- 75' Houston Dynamo are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 76' The whistle greets Hany Mukhtar as he departs to be replaced by Tyler Boyd.
- 77' It is a substitution in Nashville SC team. Sam Surridge is replaced by Teal Bunbury on 77 minute.
- 82' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jack McGlynn, as he is very good at scoring at Geodis Park with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 84' Sergio Santos gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Ethan Bartlow and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' Fresh legs for Nashville SC! Walker Zimmerman comes on to replace Jacob Shaffelburg.
- Another three points for Nashville SC.
Lineups
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Sam Surridge ↓ Teal Bunbury 77'
- 19
- 1
- 2
-
31
Andy Najar ↓ Josh Bauer 57'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Tyler Boyd 76'
- 14
- 20
- 5
-
8
Patrick Yazbek ↓ Bryan Acosta 57'
- 4
Bench
- 7
-
6
Bryan Acosta ↑ 57'
-
12
Teal Bunbury ↑ 77'
-
25
Walker Zimmerman ↑ 87'
-
11
Tyler Boyd ↑ 76'
- 3
- 99
-
22
Josh Bauer ↑ 57'
- 55
Coach
B.J. Callaghan
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
- 31
-
10
Ezequiel Ponce ↓ Duane Holmes 70'
-
6
Artur ↓ Sebastian Kowalczyk 84'
- 28
-
30
Junior Urso ↓ Amine Bassi 69'
- 25
-
9
Ondrej Lingr ↓ Obafemi Awodesu 15'
-
4
Ethan Bartlow ↓ Sergio Santos 84'
- 21
- 11
- 36
Bench
- 3
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 70'
-
8
Amine Bassi ↑ 69'
- 1
- 18
-
20
Sergio Santos ↑ 84'
-
27
Sebastian Kowalczyk ↑ 84'
- 17
-
24
Obafemi Awodesu ↑ 15'
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Carlos Darwin Quintero | 1 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 1 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 1 |
| Maynor Figueroa | 1 |
Head to Head
Nashville SC Form
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2
Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Nashville SC to win 57% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Nashville SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
43%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
10%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.5%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 1
4.2%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — Nashville SC
| Handicap | Nashville SC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

