Saturday , 14 November 2026

Nashville SC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2025 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2025
Sun 28 Sep 2025 · 00:30 UTC Geodis Park HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Houston Dynamo H 3–1 W
20 Sep Orlando City SC A 2–3 L
13 Sep FC Cincinnati A 1–2 L
31 Aug Atlanta United FC H 0–1 L
24 Aug Orlando City SC H 5–1 W
17 Aug New York City FC A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Sep Nashville SC A 1–3 L
21 Sep Portland Timbers H 1–0 W
14 Sep Colorado Rapids SC A 1–2 L
07 Sep Los Angeles Galaxy H 1–1 D
31 Aug St. Louis City A 3–2 W
24 Aug San Jose Earthquakes H 1–2 L

Season Stats

Nashville SC Houston Dynamo
#1 Position #20
77 Points 51
34 Played 34
23 / 8 / 3 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 11
71 Scored 43
25 Conceded 43
+46 GD +0
2.26 PPG 1.50
68% Win % 41%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
38% Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season

Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nashville SC
Sam Surridge 21 G 1 A
Hany Mukhtar 16 G 8 A
Warren Madrigal 5 G 2 A
Houston Dynamo
Guilherme 16 G 8 A
Mateusz Bogusz 8 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Nashville SC host Houston Dynamo — let the battle begin!
  • 2' Hany Mukhtar has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 2 minutes.
  • 7' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 9' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Erik Sviatchenko on 9 minutes.
  • 13' The referee has no hesitation. Andy Najar is booked for Nashville SC — card on 13.
  • 15' Ondrej Lingr makes way for Obafemi Awodesu at the 15 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
  • 20' It’s high time Ben Olsen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 38' Patrick Yazbek catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 38.
  • 40' Junior Urso does the damage! The net is bulging and Houston Dynamo surge ahead!
  • 45' Houston Dynamo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 48' Sam Surridge does the damage! The net is bulging and Nashville SC surge ahead!
  • 50' What composure from Andy Najar! The Honduras international strokes it home. 3-1.
  • 55' The energy levels are beginning to show. B.J. Callaghan might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Nashville SC. Andy Najar is replaced by Josh Bauer.
  • 62' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 67' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 69' Junior Urso makes way for Amine Bassi at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
  • 70' A change in the Houston Dynamo ranks — Ezequiel Ponce exits the field as Duane Holmes enters on 70.
  • 75' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nashville SC and Houston Dynamo are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 76' Nashville SC make a change. Hany Mukhtar trudges off to be replaced by Tyler Boyd on 76 minutes.
  • 77' A tactical swap from Nashville SC — Teal Bunbury on, Sam Surridge off on 77 minutes.
  • 82' With 0 assists to his name this season, Ethan Bartlow is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Houston Dynamo.
  • 84' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 84 minute. Ethan Bartlow leaves to be changed by Sergio Santos.
  • 87' The whistle greets Jacob Shaffelburg as he departs to be replaced by Walker Zimmerman.
  • 3-1 the final result. Houston Dynamo will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 Nashville SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.95 Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for: Nashville SC to win 58% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nashville SC58% Draw23% Houston Dynamo19%
Actual: Nashville SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 3.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Nashville SC or Draw
81%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
42%
Nashville SC or Houston Dynamo
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nashville SC44% Draw42% Houston Dynamo14%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.4%
2 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
3 – 0
6.9%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 0
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Nashville SC

Handicap Nashville SC covers Push Houston Dynamo covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 23% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
39% ✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.