Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC — MLS at BBVA Compass Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 18 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 18 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Nima Saghafi
- Referee Matthew Nelson
- Referee Nick Uranga
- Referee R. Mendoza
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 18 | 30 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 17 | 29 |
| 5 | New York City FC | 18 | 26 |
| 6 | FC Cincinnati | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Charlotte FC | 18 | 25 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 18 | 23 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Orlando City SC | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 18 | 17 |
| 13 | Philadelphia Union | 18 | 16 |
| 14 | Montreal Impact FC | 18 | 16 |
| 15 | Atlanta United FC | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 17 | 34 |
| 17 | Los Angeles FC | 19 | 34 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 18 | 33 |
| 19 | Houston Dynamo | 18 | 32 |
| 20 | FC Dallas | 18 | 27 |
| 21 | Real Salt Lake | 17 | 27 |
| 22 | St. Louis City | 18 | 26 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 18 | 24 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 17 | 24 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 18 | 24 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 18 | 22 |
| 27 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 19 | 22 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 18 | 21 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 18 | 17 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 18 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Houston Dynamo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #19 | Position | #1 |
| 32 | Points | 40 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 2 / 6 | W / D / L | 12 / 4 / 2 |
| 27 | Scored | 35 |
| 24 | Conceded | 14 |
| +3 | GD | +21 |
| 1.78 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 56% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
42%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
42%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Houston Dynamo are 19th (32 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
5/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
2/1
16-30
5/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
5/1
61-75
5/3
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 8 G | 4 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 10 G | |
| Hany Mukhtar | 6 G | 4 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to BBVA Compass Stadium that hosts another battle between Houston Dynamo and Nashville SC.
- 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jhonder Cadiz, as he is very good at scoring at BBVA Compass Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 10' The travelling Nashville SC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' The Germany Hany Mukhtar breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 0-1!
- 19' Against the run of play, Abu Danladi has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 22' The referee calls foul for Maynor Figueroa. He receives a Yellow card.
- 23' Hany Mukhtar adds to his 4 season tally! Nashville SC lead 0-3 — and this changes everything.
- 25' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Tomas Martinez on, Darwin Ceren off on 25 minutes.
- 30' Matias Vera, a Argentina , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 35' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 40' Houston Dynamo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Nashville SC backline.
- 45' Houston Dynamo currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 46' The whistle greets Abu Danladi as he departs to be replaced by Randall Leal.
- 51' Matt LaGrassa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Houston Dynamo tonight.
- 56' Nashville SC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 61' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Houston Dynamo and Nashville SC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 66' Christian Ramirez is replacing Ariel Lassiter for the Houston Dynamo side.
- 67' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Sam Junqua on, Adam Lundqvist off on 67 minutes.
- 70' Nashville SC make a change. Alex Muyl trudges off to be replaced by Jhonder Cadiz on 70 minutes.
- 75' The Colombia Darwin Quintero breaks the deadlock on 75 minutes. 1-3!
- 78' Niko Hansen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aljaz Struna at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Tomas Martinez.
- 85' Nashville SC ring the changes. Jack Maher has done his job and it is now time for Brayan Beckeles to step up.
- 86' That is a Yellow card for Nashville SC. Brayan Beckeles will be fuming at that decision.
- It finishes all square. Houston Dynamo and Nashville SC share the spoils 1-3.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Aljaz Struna ↓ Niko Hansen 78'
- 15
-
3
Adam Lundqvist ↓ Sam Junqua 67'
-
24
Darwin Ceren ↓ Tomas Martinez 25'
- 9
- 8
- 23
- 1
- 22
- 11
- 18
Bench
- 6
- 55
- 27
-
10
Tomas Martinez ↑ 25'
- 4
-
13
Christian Ramirez ↑ 66'
- 36
-
12
Niko Hansen ↑ 78'
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 67'
- 17
Coach
Tab Ramos
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 3
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Jhonder Cadiz 70'
- 1
- 15
-
7
Abu Danladi ↓ Randall Leal 46'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Derrick Jones 46'
- 23
-
18
Jack Maher ↓ Brayan Beckeles 85'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↓ Anibal Godoy 70'
- 27
Bench
-
20
Anibal Godoy ↑ 70'
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 46'
-
8
Randall Leal ↑ 46'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↑ 70'
- 6
- 2
-
55
Brayan Beckeles ↑ 85'
- 19
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Andy Najar | 1 |
| Daniel Rios | 1 |
| Darwin Quintero | 1 |
| Abu Danladi | 1 |
| Carlos Darwin Quintero | 1 |
Houston Dynamo Form
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.71
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
52%
Draw or Nashville SC
75%
Houston Dynamo or Nashville SC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
0 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
9.5%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 0
8.6%
1 – 0
5.7%
2 – 1
5.5%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.3%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 13% | 79% |
| -0.5 | 21% | — | 79% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.