Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC — MLS at BBVA Compass Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 27 games · 44 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 27 games · 60 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Nima Saghafi
- Referee Matthew Nelson
- Referee Nick Uranga
- Referee R. Mendoza
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Houston Dynamo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 44 | Points | 60 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 13 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 18 / 6 / 3 |
| 34 | Scored | 55 |
| 32 | Conceded | 21 |
| +2 | GD | +34 |
| 1.63 | PPG | 2.22 |
| 48% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
41%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
48%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (44 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (60 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/4
31-45
7/4
46-60
5/3
61-75
5/3
76+
3/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
3/1
16-30
7/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
6/2
61-75
5/6
76+
11/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 14 G | 6 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 16 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 13 G | 6 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Houston Dynamo to score. At the same time, Nashville SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Aljaz Struna needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' GOAL! Hany Mukhtar scores on 15. Assisted by Abu Danladi
- 19' Magnificent from Abu Danladi! That is 8 goals in 289 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 22' That is a Yellow card for Houston Dynamo. Maynor Figueroa will be fuming at that decision.
- 23' A stunning finish from Hany Mukhtar — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' Houston Dynamo make a change. Darwin Ceren trudges off to be replaced by Tomas Martinez on 25 minutes.
- 30' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tab Ramos will be considering his options from the bench.
- 35' Nashville SC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 46' Randall Leal is replacing Abu Danladi for the Nashville SC side.
- 51' Nashville SC is showing some good football. However, Nashville SC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 56' The energy levels are beginning to show. Tab Ramos might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 61' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 66' Houston Dynamo ring the changes. Ariel Lassiter has done his job and it is now time for Christian Ramirez to step up.
- 67' Sam Junqua gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Adam Lundqvist and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' Jhonder Cadiz gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Alex Muyl and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Darwin Quintero adds to his 0 season tally! Houston Dynamo lead 1-3 — and this changes everything.
- 78' Niko Hansen gets the nod from Houston Dynamo. He replaces Aljaz Struna and will look to change the dynamic.
- 82' The referee has no hesitation. Tomas Martinez is booked for Houston Dynamo — Yellow card on 82.
- 85' Brayan Beckeles gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Jack Maher and will look to change the dynamic.
- 86' The referee shows Nashville SC player a Yellow card on 86.
- Another three points for Nashville SC.
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Aljaz Struna ↓ Niko Hansen 78'
- 15
-
3
Adam Lundqvist ↓ Sam Junqua 67'
-
24
Darwin Ceren ↓ Tomas Martinez 25'
- 9
- 8
- 23
- 1
- 22
- 11
- 18
Bench
- 6
- 55
- 27
-
10
Tomas Martinez ↑ 25'
- 4
-
13
Christian Ramirez ↑ 66'
- 36
-
12
Niko Hansen ↑ 78'
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 67'
- 17
Coach
Tab Ramos
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 3
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Jhonder Cadiz 70'
- 1
- 15
-
7
Abu Danladi ↓ Randall Leal 46'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Derrick Jones 46'
- 23
-
18
Jack Maher ↓ Brayan Beckeles 85'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↓ Anibal Godoy 70'
- 27
Bench
-
20
Anibal Godoy ↑ 70'
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 46'
-
8
Randall Leal ↑ 46'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↑ 70'
- 6
- 2
-
55
Brayan Beckeles ↑ 85'
- 19
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Darwin Quintero | 1 |
| Abu Danladi | 1 |
| Carlos Darwin Quintero | 1 |
| Walker Zimmerman | 1 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
Houston Dynamo Form
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.93
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.65
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
52%
Draw or Nashville SC
76%
Houston Dynamo or Nashville SC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
10%
0 – 0
9.5%
1 – 2
9.3%
1 – 0
6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
5.2%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
3.2%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 13% | 80% |
| -0.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| +0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +1 | 47% | 24% | 29% |
| +1.5 | 71% | — | 29% |
| +2 | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| +2.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
20%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

