Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Houston Dynamo vs Nashville SC — MLS at BBVA Compass Stadium.
- Houston Dynamo 34 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- Nashville SC 34 games · 77 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee David Gantar
- Referee Nima Saghafi
- Referee Matthew Nelson
- Referee Nick Uranga
- Referee R. Mendoza
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Nashville SC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 10 Oct | Internacional CF Miami | A | 0–1 | L |
| 08 Oct | FC Dallas | H | 2–0 | W |
| 04 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Sep | Nashville SC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Sep | Chicago Fire FC | A | 0–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct | Houston Dynamo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 Oct | Sporting Kansas City | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Minnesota United FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 03 Oct | New England Revolution | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Sep | Houston Dynamo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Sep | D.C. United SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Houston Dynamo | Nashville SC | |
|---|---|---|
| #20 | Position | #1 |
| 51 | Points | 77 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 11 | W / D / L | 23 / 8 / 3 |
| 43 | Scored | 71 |
| 43 | Conceded | 25 |
| +0 | GD | +46 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 2.26 |
| 41% | Win % | 68% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
38%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
50%
Clean Sheets
Nashville SC this season
Nashville SC this season
Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts). Nashville SC are 1st (77 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/11
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nashville SC
0-15
4/1
16-30
10/3
31-45
6/4
46-60
7/2
61-75
7/7
76+
16/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Nashville SC
| Sam Surridge | 21 G | 1 A |
| Hany Mukhtar | 16 G | 8 A |
| Warren Madrigal | 5 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Houston Dynamo to score. At the same time, Nashville SC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 15' The Germany Hany Mukhtar breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 0-1!
- 19' The deadlock is broken! Abu Danladi gets on the scoresheet on 19 minutes.
- 22' Maynor Figueroa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 22.
- 23' What a strike from Hany Mukhtar! The score is 0-3.
- 25' Another substitution for Houston Dynamo to replace Darwin Ceren by Tomas Martinez on 25 minute.
- 30' Houston Dynamo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 35' Joe Willis has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 40' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mauro Manotas suffering a number of foals already.
- 45' With 4 assists to his name this season, Ariel Lassiter is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nashville SC.
- 46' Nashville SC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Randall Leal is hanging Abu Danladi on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Derrick Jones, as he is very good at scoring at BBVA Compass Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 56' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 61' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 61 minutes.
- 66' A tactical swap from Houston Dynamo — Christian Ramirez on, Ariel Lassiter off on 66 minutes.
- 67' Another change for Houston Dynamo made on 67 minute. Adam Lundqvist leaves to be changed by Sam Junqua.
- 70' Jhonder Cadiz gets the nod from Nashville SC. He replaces Alex Muyl and will look to change the dynamic.
- 75' Darwin Quintero is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 78' Niko Hansen is ready to make an impact after coming on for Aljaz Struna at the 78 minute mark.
- 82' It’s a booking for Houston Dynamo player. Tomas Martinez gets a Yellow card.
- 85' Another change for Nashville SC made on 85 minute. Jack Maher leaves to be changed by Brayan Beckeles.
- 86' The referee shows Nashville SC player a Yellow card on 86.
- Full Time. Nashville SC beats Houston Dynamo
Lineups
Houston Dynamo Lineups
Starting XI
-
5
Aljaz Struna ↓ Niko Hansen 78'
- 15
-
3
Adam Lundqvist ↓ Sam Junqua 67'
-
24
Darwin Ceren ↓ Tomas Martinez 25'
- 9
- 8
- 23
- 1
- 22
- 11
- 18
Bench
- 6
- 55
- 27
-
10
Tomas Martinez ↑ 25'
- 4
-
13
Christian Ramirez ↑ 66'
- 36
-
12
Niko Hansen ↑ 78'
-
29
Sam Junqua ↑ 67'
- 17
Coach
Tab Ramos
Nashville SC Lineups
Starting XI
- 4
- 3
-
29
Alex Muyl ↓ Jhonder Cadiz 70'
- 1
- 15
-
7
Abu Danladi ↓ Randall Leal 46'
-
10
Hany Mukhtar ↓ Derrick Jones 46'
- 23
-
18
Jack Maher ↓ Brayan Beckeles 85'
-
22
Matt LaGrassa ↓ Anibal Godoy 70'
- 27
Bench
-
20
Anibal Godoy ↑ 70'
-
21
Derrick Jones ↑ 46'
-
8
Randall Leal ↑ 46'
-
99
Jhonder Cadiz ↑ 70'
- 6
- 2
-
55
Brayan Beckeles ↑ 85'
- 19
- 30
Coach
Gary Smith
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hany Mukhtar | 3 |
| Carlos Ferreira | 3 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Junior Urso | 1 |
| Sam Surridge | 1 |
| Maynor Figueroa | 1 |
| Andy Najar | 1 |
| Daniel Rios | 1 |
Houston Dynamo Form
Nashville SC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.91
Houston Dynamo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Nashville SC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nashville SC win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Houston Dynamo or Draw
51%
Draw or Nashville SC
77%
Houston Dynamo or Nashville SC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nashville SC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
0 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
10.4%
1 – 2
9.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
0 – 3
5.8%
1 – 0
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
2.9%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Houston Dynamo
| Handicap | Houston Dynamo covers | Push | Nashville SC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 24% | 31% |
| +1.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +2 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Nashville SC keeps clean sheet
41%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

