Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2020
Tue 3 Nov 2020 · 04:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+7' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
  • Referee Satoshi Karakami
  • Referee Akihito Kawasaki
  • Referee Yusuke Murata
5 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 8.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Nagoya Grampus H 0–0 D
25 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 2–2 D
21 Oct Shonan Bellmare A 0–0 D
18 Oct Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
14 Oct Kashima Antlers H 0–2 L
10 Oct Urawa Red Diamonds H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Nov Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
31 Oct Kashima Antlers A 2–0 W
24 Oct Vegalta Sendai H 1–0 W
21 Oct Yokohama F·Marinos A 1–2 L
18 Oct Kawasaki Frontale A 0–3 L
14 Oct Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo H 3–0 W

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Yuya Yamagishi 3 G
Takuya Uchida 2 G 1 A
Yudai Kimura 2 G 1 A
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
  • 5' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 6' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 6 minute. Ryogo Yamasaki leaves to be changed by Yuki Soma.
  • 11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mateus, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 26' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 31' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuto Uchida departs to be replaced by Ayumu Ohata.
  • 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 46' Yutaka Yoshida has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
  • 57' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Fuchi Honda comes on to replace Ryang Yong Gi.
  • 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 64' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Gabriel Xavier.
  • 69' The 30-year-old Yuta Higuchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 74' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Gabriel Xavier on 84 minutes.
  • 86' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Hiroyuki Abe is withdrawn and Kazuya Miyahara gets his opportunity.
  • 87' Kazuya Miyahara gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Hiroyuki Abe and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Kaisei Ishii trudges off to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 89 minutes.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15 Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for: Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC29% Draw32% Nagoya Grampus39%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 61%
39%
± 2.5 34%
66%
± 3.5 16%
84%
± 4.5 6%
94%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC19% Draw54% Nagoya Grampus27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.8%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Nagoya Grampus covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 7% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 17% 73%
-0.5 27% — 73%
+0.5 60% — 40%
+1 60% 23% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 12% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
41% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.