Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sagan Tosu FC vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Akihiko Ikeuchi
- Referee Satoshi Karakami
- Referee Akihito Kawasaki
- Referee Yusuke Murata
5 games this season
🟨 4.2/game
⚽ 8.8 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | H | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | A | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Oct | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Oct | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov | Sagan Tosu FC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 31 Oct | Kashima Antlers | A | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | Vegalta Sendai | H | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Oct | Yokohama F·Marinos | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–3 | L |
| 14 Oct | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | H | 3–0 | W |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
5/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/5
46-60
2/3
61-75
2/3
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Yuya Yamagishi | 3 G | |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 G | 1 A |
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. Sagan Tosu FC are looking to make home advantage count against Nagoya Grampus.
- 5' Sagan Tosu FC have won 293 goals from 279 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 6' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 6 minute. Ryogo Yamasaki leaves to be changed by Yuki Soma.
- 11' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 16' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 21' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mateus, as he is very good at scoring at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 26' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 31' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Yuto Uchida departs to be replaced by Ayumu Ohata.
- 36' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 41' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 46' Yutaka Yoshida has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 56' Sagan Tosu FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 56.
- 57' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Fuchi Honda comes on to replace Ryang Yong Gi.
- 62' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 64' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Naoki Maeda is replaced by Gabriel Xavier.
- 69' The 30-year-old Yuta Higuchi has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 74' Nagoya Grampus fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 79' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sagan Tosu FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 84' The referee does not hesitate — a Red card for Gabriel Xavier on 84 minutes.
- 86' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Hiroyuki Abe is withdrawn and Kazuya Miyahara gets his opportunity.
- 87' Kazuya Miyahara gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Hiroyuki Abe and will look to change the dynamic.
- 89' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Kaisei Ishii trudges off to be replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 89 minutes.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Fuchi Honda 57'
- 3
- 4
- 41
-
33
Kaisei Ishii ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 89'
-
11
Yohei Toyoda ↓ Daichi Hayashi 57'
- 2
- 30
- 40
-
6
Yuto Uchida ↓ Ayumu Ohata 31'
- 22
Bench
- 38
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 89'
- 1
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 57'
- 9
-
16
Daichi Hayashi ↑ 57'
-
31
Ayumu Ohata ↑ 31'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 8
-
11
Hiroyuki Abe ↓ Kazuya Miyahara 86'
- 1
- 23
- 15
-
17
Ryogo Yamasaki ↓ Yuki Soma 6'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↓ Gabriel Xavier 64'
- 3
- 26
- 4
- 16
Bench
- 21
- 13
-
6
Kazuya Miyahara ↑ 86'
-
10
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 64'
- 14
-
27
Yuki Soma ↑ 6'
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Tomoya Koyamatsu | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
Head to Head
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
2020-11-03
Sagan Tosu FC
0–0
Nagoya Grampus
D
2020-10-31
Kashima Antlers
0–2
Nagoya Grampus
W
2020-10-24
Nagoya Grampus
1–0
Vegalta Sendai
W
2020-10-21
Yokohama F·Marinos
2–1
Nagoya Grampus
L
2020-10-18
Kawasaki Frontale
3–0
Nagoya Grampus
L
2020-10-14
Nagoya Grampus
3–0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.9
Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.15
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Nagoya Grampus or Draw 71% + Under 2.5 goals 66%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.05
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 1.5 | 61% |
|
39% |
| ± 2.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 3.5 | 16% |
|
84% |
| ± 4.5 | 6% |
|
94% |
Double Chance
Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
61%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
71%
Sagan Tosu FC or Nagoya Grampus
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
14.3%
0 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.2%
0 – 2
8.2%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 0
4.9%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 3
3.1%
1 – 3
2.9%
3 – 1
1.8%
Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC
| Handicap | Sagan Tosu FC covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 7% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 17% | 73% |
| -0.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| +0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +1 | 60% | 23% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 12% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
41%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

