Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
- Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Vegalta Sendai | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Jul | Oita FC Trinita | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Nagoya Grampus welcome Sagan Tosu FC for this crunch clash at Toyota Stadium.
- 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 10' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 15' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
- 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
- 25' Yutaka Yoshida has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 7 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' Japan international Yohei Toyoda has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Ryoya Morishita made 279 appearances and scored 11 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 45' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 50' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 55' Shinnosuke Nakatani is having his name booked by the referee on 55.
- 56' Tiago Alves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ahn Yongwoo at the 56 minute mark.
- 57' Ryogo Yamasaki makes way for Naoki Maeda at the 57 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nagoya Grampus.
- 62' GOAL! Naoki Maeda scores on 62.
- 64' Tiago Alves picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 69' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 71' The Sagan Tosu FC bench stirs into life. Yohei Toyoda is withdrawn and Takeshi Kanamori gets his opportunity.
- 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Ryoya Morishita departs to be replaced by Renzo Lopez.
- 79' The supporters are chanting for Yuzo Kobayashi. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 79 minute.
- 83' Sagan Tosu FC player sees a Red card in front of him.
- 88' Tomoya Koyamatsu needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Joao Schmidt is hanging Takuji Yonemoto on the field on 90 minute.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-0.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 90'
- 1
- 23
- 15
-
17
Ryogo Yamasaki ↓ Naoki Maeda 57'
- 3
- 26
- 4
- 27
-
16
Mateus ↓ Gabriel Xavier 90'
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 90'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 57'
- 21
- 13
-
10
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 90'
- 14
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Fuchi Honda 57'
- 3
- 18
- 4
- 36
- 41
- 11
-
25
Ahn Yongwoo ↓ Tiago Alves 56'
- 6
- 22
-
28
Ryoya Morishita ↓ Renzo Lopez 78'
Bench
-
13
Yuzo Kobayashi ↑ 79'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 71'
- 15
- 1
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 57'
-
9
Tiago Alves ↑ 56'
-
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 78'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

