Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2020
Nagoya Grampus
1 – 0
Full Time
Sagan Tosu FC
Sat 18 Jul 2020 · 09:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45+2' · FT 45+4'
Shinnosuke Nakatani 55' Y
Y 55' Yohei Toyoda
Y 64' Tiago Alves
R 83' Tiago Alves
Yutaka Yoshida 83' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Atsushi Kamimura
  • Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
  • Referee Yoshiro Imamura
  • Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
13 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Vissel Kobe 18 35
2 Cerezo Osaka FC 18 31
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 31
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 30
5 Gamba Osaka 18 28
6 Fagiano Okayama FC 18 26
7 Shimizu S-Pulse 18 24
8 Kyoto Sanga FC 18 23
9 V-Varen Nagasaki 18 21
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 21
11 Kashima Antlers 18 45
12 FC Tōkyō 18 37
13 FC Machida Zelvia 18 37
14 Kawasaki Frontale 18 28
15 Tokyo Verdy 18 28
16 Urawa Red Diamonds 18 25
17 Kashiwa Reysol 18 20
18 Yokohama F·Marinos 18 20
19 FC Mito Holly Hock 18 18
20 JEF United Ichihara Chiba 18 12

Head-to-Head

4
7
5
Nagoya Grampus 16 games · Avg 1.9 goals Sagan Tosu FC
Last 5 meetings
2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus 2018-08-19 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus

Recent Form

Nagoya Grampus
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jul Sagan Tosu FC H 1–0 W
12 Jul Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–0 W
08 Jul Gamba Osaka H 2–2 D
04 Jul Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
22 Feb Vegalta Sendai A 1–1 D
07 Dec Kashima Antlers H 0–1 L
Sagan Tosu FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Jul Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
12 Jul Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–0 D
08 Jul Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
04 Jul Oita FC Trinita A 0–2 L
22 Feb Kawasaki Frontale A 0–0 D
07 Dec Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–1 L

Key Stats

31% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Sagan Tosu FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Riki Harakawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 15' It’s high time Myung-Hwi Kim made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 20' Nagoya Grampus currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 30 minutes.
  • 35' Nagoya Grampus are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Sagan Tosu FC backline.
  • 40' Mitch Langerak is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Nagoya Grampus tonight.
  • 45' Over 45 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 50' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 55' Shinnosuke Nakatani picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 56' Tiago Alves is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ahn Yongwoo at the 56 minute mark.
  • 57' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Ryogo Yamasaki trudges off to be replaced by Naoki Maeda on 57 minutes.
  • 62' Naoki Maeda makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
  • 64' The referee has no hesitation. Tiago Alves is booked for Sagan Tosu FC — Yellow card on 64.
  • 69' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 71' It is a substitution in Sagan Tosu FC team. Yohei Toyoda is replaced by Takeshi Kanamori on 71 minute.
  • 76' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 78' Fresh legs for Sagan Tosu FC! Renzo Lopez comes on to replace Ryoya Morishita.
  • 79' Sagan Tosu FC make a change. Tomoya Koyamatsu trudges off to be replaced by Yuzo Kobayashi on 79 minutes.
  • 83' Tiago Alves catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. Red card on 83.
  • 88' The energy levels are beginning to show. Massimo Ficcadenti might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 90' The whistle greets Takuji Yonemoto as he departs to be replaced by Joao Schmidt.
  • Nagoya Grampus celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

Nagoya Grampus Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Massimo Ficcadenti

Sagan Tosu FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Myung-Hwi Kim

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Hikaru Nakahara 2
Noriyoshi Sakai 2
Gabriel Xavier 2
Sho Inagaki 2
Naoki Maeda 2
Ryuji Izumi 2
Tomoya Koyamatsu 2
Gabriel Xavier 2

Head to Head

2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-11-23 Nagoya Grampus 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2019-02-23 Sagan Tosu FC 0–4 Nagoya Grampus 2018-08-19 Nagoya Grampus 3–0 Sagan Tosu FC 2018-03-31 Sagan Tosu FC 3–2 Nagoya Grampus

Nagoya Grampus Form

2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC W 2020-07-12 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-07-08 Nagoya Grampus 2–2 Gamba Osaka D 2020-07-04 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 Nagoya Grampus W 2020-02-22 Vegalta Sendai 1–1 Nagoya Grampus D 2019-12-07 Nagoya Grampus 0–1 Kashima Antlers L

Sagan Tosu FC Form

2020-07-18 Nagoya Grampus 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-07-12 Sagan Tosu FC 0–0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima D 2020-07-08 Sagan Tosu FC 0–1 Vissel Kobe L 2020-07-04 Oita FC Trinita 2–0 Sagan Tosu FC L 2020-02-22 Kawasaki Frontale 0–0 Sagan Tosu FC D 2019-12-07 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–0 Sagan Tosu FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus54% Draw27% Sagan Tosu FC19%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes42% 0% No58%
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 86%
14%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus33% Draw51% Sagan Tosu FC16%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Sagan Tosu FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 25% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 80% — 20%
+1 80% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46% ✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.