Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC, J. League 2020 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Sagan Tosu FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Sagan Tosu FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Atsushi Kamimura
- Referee Haruhiro Otsuka
- Referee Yoshiro Imamura
- Referee Noriyuki Suzuki
4 games this season
🟨 4.0/game
⚽ 13.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Sagan Tosu FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Jul | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Jul | Gamba Osaka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Jul | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Feb | Vegalta Sendai | A | 1–1 | D |
| 07 Dec | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–0 | D |
| 08 Jul | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Jul | Ōita FC Trinita | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | Kawasaki Frontale | A | 0–0 | D |
| 07 Dec | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 0–1 | L |
Key Stats
31%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Nagoya Grampus to score. At the same time, Sagan Tosu FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yohei Takaoka, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Sagan Tosu FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Mateus has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' Sagan Tosu FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 40' Nagoya Grampus have won 403 goals from 444 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 50' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 55' The referee has no hesitation. Shinnosuke Nakatani is booked for Nagoya Grampus — Yellow card on 55.
- 56' The Sagan Tosu FC manager makes a substitution. Ahn Yongwoo departs to be replaced by Tiago Alves.
- 57' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 57 minute. Ryogo Yamasaki leaves to be changed by Naoki Maeda.
- 62' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Naoki Maeda makes it 1-0.
- 64' The referee calls foul for Tiago Alves. He receives a Yellow card.
- 69' Sagan Tosu FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 71' A change in the Sagan Tosu FC ranks — Yohei Toyoda exits the field as Takeshi Kanamori enters on 71.
- 76' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 78' Another change for Sagan Tosu FC made on 78 minute. Ryoya Morishita leaves to be changed by Renzo Lopez.
- 79' Sagan Tosu FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Yuzo Kobayashi is hanging Tomoya Koyamatsu on the field on 79 minute.
- 83' Tiago Alves picks up a Red card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 88' Shinnosuke Nakatani needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 90' The whistle greets Takuji Yonemoto as he departs to be replaced by Joao Schmidt.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 11
-
2
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Joao Schmidt 90'
- 1
- 23
- 15
-
17
Ryogo Yamasaki ↓ Naoki Maeda 57'
- 3
- 26
- 4
- 27
-
16
Mateus ↓ Gabriel Xavier 90'
Bench
-
8
Joao Schmidt ↑ 90'
-
25
Naoki Maeda ↑ 57'
- 21
- 13
-
10
Gabriel Xavier ↑ 90'
- 14
- 24
Coach
Massimo Ficcadenti
Sagan Tosu FC Lineups
Starting XI
-
50
Ryang Yong Gi ↓ Fuchi Honda 57'
- 3
- 18
- 4
- 36
- 41
- 11
-
25
Ahn Yongwoo ↓ Tiago Alves 56'
- 6
- 22
-
28
Ryoya Morishita ↓ Renzo Lopez 78'
Bench
-
13
Yuzo Kobayashi ↑ 79'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 71'
- 15
- 1
-
23
Fuchi Honda ↑ 57'
-
9
Tiago Alves ↑ 56'
-
20
Renzo Lopez ↑ 78'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Jo | 2 |
| Hikaru Nakahara | 2 |
| Noriyoshi Sakai | 2 |
| Gabriel Xavier | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Naoki Maeda | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Sagan Tosu FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.39
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79
Sagan Tosu FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 63% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.18
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 2.5 | 37% |
|
63% |
| ± 3.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
| ± 4.5 | 8% |
|
92% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
81%
Draw or Sagan Tosu FC
46%
Nagoya Grampus or Sagan Tosu FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 1
13.3%
2 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
4.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 2
3.4%
0 – 2
3.3%
4 – 0
1.7%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Sagan Tosu FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +1 | 80% | 13% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
46%
✗
Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
26%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

