Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 08:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Kashima Antlers H 0–4 L
23 Sep Albirex Niigata A 0–0 D
20 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–1 W
13 Sep Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug FC Tōkyō H 1–1 D
23 Aug Kawasaki Frontale H 3–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Nagoya Grampus A 4–0 W
23 Sep Cerezo Osaka FC H 3–1 W
20 Sep Urawa Red Diamonds A 1–0 W
13 Sep Shonan Bellmare H 3–0 W
31 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–1 D
23 Aug Albirex Niigata A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Kashima Antlers
#3 Position #11
31 Points 45
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 0 / 3
46 Scored 40
44 Conceded 20
+2 GD +20
1.72 PPG 2.50
56% Win % 83%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
14% Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
Naomichi Ueda 1 G 1 A
Kashima Antlers
Leo Ceara 11 G
Aleksandar Cavric 4 G 1 A
Takuya Uchida 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Kashima Antlers. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 10' Brilliant from the ! Elber makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 10.
  • 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 342 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 19' GOAL! Leo Ceara scores on 19.
  • 24' Aleksandar Cavric, a Slovakia , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 26' The crowd applauds Leo Ceara as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Matsumura steps in for Kashima Antlers.
  • 31' With 1 assists to his name this season, Naomichi Ueda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 32' Haruya Fujii picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandar Cavric on 36.
  • 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Toru Oniki will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 50' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 50.
  • 55' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Teruki Hara is withdrawn and Yuki Nogami gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 67' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Elber is replaced by Shuhei Mizoguchi.
  • 70' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kensuke Nagai departs to be replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
  • 75' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 84' Kasper Junker is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
  • 88' The deadlock is broken! Homare Tokuda gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
  • 90' Homare Tokuda adds to his 0 season tally! Kashima Antlers lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Kashima Antlers take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29 Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus20% Draw23% Kashima Antlers57%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
43%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
80%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus15% Draw39% Kashima Antlers46%
Actual: Kashima Antlers win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 4
Actual

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Kashima Antlers covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 10% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 37% — 63%
+1 37% 22% 41%
+1.5 59% — 41%
+2 59% 19% 22%
+2.5 78% — 22%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.