Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Kashima Antlers — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Kashima Antlers 18 games · 45 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–4 | L |
| 23 Sep | Albirex Niigata | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 3–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Nagoya Grampus | A | 4–0 | W |
| 23 Sep | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 20 Sep | Urawa Red Diamonds | A | 1–0 | W |
| 13 Sep | Shonan Bellmare | H | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Aug | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Kashima Antlers | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #11 |
| 31 | Points | 45 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 15 / 0 / 3 |
| 46 | Scored | 40 |
| 44 | Conceded | 20 |
| +2 | GD | +20 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 2.50 |
| 56% | Win % | 83% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
52%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Kashima Antlers this season
Kashima Antlers this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Kashima Antlers are 11th (45 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Kashima Antlers
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/5
61-75
3/–
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Kashima Antlers
| Leo Ceara | 11 G | |
| Aleksandar Cavric | 4 G | 1 A |
| Takuya Uchida | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Nagoya Grampus have kicked off against Kashima Antlers. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' The travelling Kashima Antlers supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 10' Brilliant from the ! Elber makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 10.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Sho Inagaki made 342 appearances and scored 46 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 19' GOAL! Leo Ceara scores on 19.
- 24' Aleksandar Cavric, a Slovakia , has 5 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' The crowd applauds Leo Ceara as he leaves the pitch. Yuta Matsumura steps in for Kashima Antlers.
- 31' With 1 assists to his name this season, Naomichi Ueda is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 32' Haruya Fujii picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Aleksandar Cavric on 36.
- 41' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Toru Oniki will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Kashima Antlers come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 50' The referee shows Nagoya Grampus player a card on 50.
- 55' The Nagoya Grampus bench stirs into life. Teruki Hara is withdrawn and Yuki Nogami gets his opportunity.
- 60' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 65' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 67' Time for substitution for Kashima Antlers. Elber is replaced by Shuhei Mizoguchi.
- 70' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kensuke Nagai departs to be replaced by Kennedy Egbus Mikuni.
- 75' Nagoya Grampus seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 80' Over 80 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 84' Kasper Junker is replacing Ryuji Izumi for the Nagoya Grampus side.
- 88' The deadlock is broken! Homare Tokuda gets on the scoresheet on 88 minutes.
- 90' Homare Tokuda adds to his 0 season tally! Kashima Antlers lead 0-4 — and this changes everything.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. Kashima Antlers take all three points.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
- 18
- 14
- 15
- 16
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Kasper Junker 84'
-
10
Mateus ↓ Yuya Asano 70'
-
70
Teruki Hara ↓ Yuki Nogami 55'
- 27
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 8
- 21
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 55'
-
9
Yuya Asano ↑ 70'
-
77
Kasper Junker ↑ 84'
- 22
- 55
-
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 70'
- 26
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Kashima Antlers Lineups
Starting XI
-
9
Leo Ceara ↓ Yuta Matsumura 26'
-
18
Elber ↓ Shuhei Mizoguchi 67'
- 7
- 55
- 6
-
40
Yuma Suzuki ↓ Ryuta Koike 67'
- 77
- 1
-
20
Yu Funabashi ↓ Ryotaro Araki 84'
- 23
- 22
Bench
- 10
-
25
Ryuta Koike ↑ 67'
- 29
-
71
Ryotaro Araki ↑ 84'
-
27
Yuta Matsumura ↑ 26'
-
28
Shuhei Mizoguchi ↑ 67'
- 4
-
34
Homare Tokuda ↑ 84'
- 47
Coach
Toru Oniki
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hayato Nakama | 4 |
| Shoma Doi | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Kei Chinen | 2 |
| Takashi Kanai | 2 |
| Sho Inagaki | 2 |
| Leo Ceara | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Kashima Antlers Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.29
Kashima Antlers xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 1.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 2.5 | 65% |
|
35% |
| ± 3.5 | 43% |
|
57% |
| ± 4.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
43%
Draw or Kashima Antlers
80%
Nagoya Grampus or Kashima Antlers
77%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Kashima Antlers win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.4%
1 – 1
9.3%
0 – 2
8.9%
0 – 1
7.3%
1 – 3
7.1%
0 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.1%
0 – 0
4.8%
2 – 1
4.5%
1 – 4
4.1%
2 – 3
3.9%
0 – 4
Actual
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Kashima Antlers covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 10% | 84% |
| -0.5 | 16% | — | 84% |
| +0.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| +1 | 37% | 22% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| +2.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Kashima Antlers keeps clean sheet
34%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

