FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Tokyo vs Nagoya Grampus — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- FC Tokyo 18 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Isao Nishihashi
- Assistant 2 Ryo Hirama
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | H | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Jun | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–3 | L |
| 03 Jun | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 2–3 | L |
| 27 May | Vissel Kobe | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–1 | D |
| 12 May | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun | FC Tokyo | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Jun | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Tokyo | Nagoya Grampus | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #3 |
| 37 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 13 / 0 / 5 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 55 | Scored | 46 |
| 42 | Conceded | 44 |
| +13 | GD | +2 |
| 2.06 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 72% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
52%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
H2H (25 games)
44%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
71%
Clean Sheets
FC Tokyo this season
FC Tokyo this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
FC Tokyo are 12th (37 pts). Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Tokyo
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/–
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Tokyo
| Motoki Nagakura | 5 G | 2 A |
| Marcelo Ryan | 3 G | 2 A |
| Soma Anzai | 3 G |
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Tokyo and Nagoya Grampus get this one started.
- 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 18' Magnificent from Diego Oliveira! That is 87 goals in 441 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 23' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Henrique Trevisan suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' The referee has no hesitation. Takuji Yonemoto is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 25.
- 29' The referee has no hesitation. Kensuke Nagai is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 29.
- 34' FC Tokyo make a change. Teruhito Nakagawa trudges off to be replaced by Koki Tsukagawa on 34 minutes.
- 35' A meaty challenge results in booking for Yuki Nogami on 35.
- 40' Nagoya Grampus is showing some good football. However, Nagoya Grampus are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Mateus is booked for Nagoya Grampus — card on 45.
- 46' Nagoya Grampus manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Riku Yamada is hanging Takuji Yonemoto on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Tokyo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 58' Diego Oliveira catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 58.
- 63' FC Tokyo started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 63.
- 64' The crowd applauds Kota Tawaratsumida as he leaves the pitch. Keigo Higashi steps in for FC Tokyo.
- 65' Takuya Shigehiro gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kensuke Nagai and will look to change the dynamic.
- 70' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 73' Jakub Slowik picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 76' The whistle greets Ryoya Morishita as he departs to be replaced by Ryotaro Ishida.
- 80' GOAL! Diego Oliveira scores on 80. Assisted by Shuto Abe
- 81' A change in the Nagoya Grampus ranks — Yuki Nogami exits the field as Ryoga Kida enters on 81.
- 84' Poor challenge from Henrique Trevisan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Leon Nozawa. He replaces Ryoma Watanabe on 85 minute.
- 86' It is a substitution in FC Tokyo team. Diego Oliveira is replaced by Perotti on 86 minute.
- Another three points for FC Tokyo.
Lineups
FC Tokyo Lineups
4-2-1-3Starting XI
- 5
- 3
- 9
- 39
- 37
- 8
- 27
- 44
- 11
- 7
- 33
Bench
- 22
- 10
- 4
- 35
- 41
- 17
- 42
Coach
Peter Cklamovski
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Riku Yamada 46'
- 18
- 1
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↓ Ryoga Kida 81'
- 15
- 13
-
7
Ryuji Izumi ↓ Akinari Kawazura 65'
- 4
- 10
- 17
- 77
Bench
- 5
- 16
-
46
Ryotaro Ishida ↑ 76'
-
19
Takuya Shigehiro ↑ 65'
-
24
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 65'
-
35
Riku Yamada ↑ 46'
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 81'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Diego Oliveira | 6 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Kasper Junker | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 2 |
| Diego Oliveira | 2 |
| Keita Endo | 1 |
| Kotaro Omori | 1 |
| Yojiro Takahagi | 1 |
Head to Head
FC Tokyo Form
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73
FC Tokyo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.73
Nagoya Grampus xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.46
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 64% |
|
36% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
FC Tokyo or Draw
75%
Draw or Nagoya Grampus
45%
FC Tokyo or Nagoya Grampus
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Tokyo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
1 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 2
5.6%
1 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
4.5%
3 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.6%
3 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Tokyo
| Handicap | FC Tokyo covers | Push | Nagoya Grampus covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 61% |
| -1.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| -1 | 39% | 19% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Tokyo keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

