Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Tokyo Verdy | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 59 |
| +2 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
- 5' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 10' Masato Shigemi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 15' Tomoya Ando has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 25' With 2 assists to his name this season, Teruki Hara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
- 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Teruki Hara on 32 minutes.
- 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daiki Matsuoka on 37 minutes.
- 42' Masato Yuzawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
- 46' Yuto Iwasaki gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Hikaru Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 56' Alexandre Pisano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 439 appearances.
- 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 66' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Masahito Ono.
- 71' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Sonosuke Sato.
- 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 81' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Shosei Usui is withdrawn and Abdul Hanan Sani Brown gets his opportunity.
- 82' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Akinari Kawazura comes on to replace Yota Sato.
- 87' Shintaro Nago is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
- 88' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 88 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Shungo Sugiura.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tatsuki Nara.
- 90' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Yu Hashimoto is replaced by Masato Yuzawa on 90 minute.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Masahito Ono 66'
- 14
- 15
- 13
- 7
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 88'
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Akinari Kawazura 82'
- 33
- 35
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yudai Kimura 82'
Bench
- 8
- 16
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 82'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 82'
- 55
- 32
- 20
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 66'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 88'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yuji Kitajima 71'
- 24
- 29
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Sonosuke Sato 71'
- 88
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Masato Yuzawa 90'
- 27
- 20
-
53
Hikaru Maeda ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 46'
Bench
- 5
- 1
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 46'
- 77
- 37
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 90'
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 71'
-
50
Sonosuke Sato ↑ 71'
-
32
Abdul Hanan Sani Brown ↑ 81'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Takeshi Kanamori | 1 |
| Sho Inagaki | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.51
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
74%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 19% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

