Thursday , 2 July 2026

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 6 Dec 2025 · 05:00 UTC Toyota Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at Toyota Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Avispa Fukuoka H 1–0 W
30 Nov FC Machida Zelvia A 1–3 L
08 Nov Kashiwa Reysol A 0–1 L
25 Oct Gamba Osaka H 0–2 L
18 Oct Yokohama FC A 2–2 D
04 Oct Cerezo Osaka FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 Dec Nagoya Grampus A 0–1 L
30 Nov Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
08 Nov Tokyo Verdy A 0–0 D
26 Oct Shonan Bellmare H 1–0 W
18 Oct FC Machida Zelvia A 0–0 D
04 Oct Yokohama FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Nagoya Grampus Avispa Fukuoka
#3 Position #10
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
46 Scored 49
44 Conceded 59
+2 GD -10
1.72 PPG 1.17
56% Win % 39%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
11% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
/
61-75
4/2
76+
/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 5' A quiet spell here at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 10' Masato Shigemi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
  • 15' Tomoya Ando has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 20' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 25' With 2 assists to his name this season, Teruki Hara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Nagoya Grampus.
  • 30' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 32' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Teruki Hara on 32 minutes.
  • 37' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Daiki Matsuoka on 37 minutes.
  • 42' Masato Yuzawa is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Avispa Fukuoka tonight.
  • 46' Yuto Iwasaki gets the nod from Avispa Fukuoka. He replaces Hikaru Maeda and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 51' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 56' Alexandre Pisano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 439 appearances.
  • 61' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Masahito Ono.
  • 71' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Masato Shigemi departs to be replaced by Sonosuke Sato.
  • 76' It looks like no one’s ball. Nagoya Grampus is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 81' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Shosei Usui is withdrawn and Abdul Hanan Sani Brown gets his opportunity.
  • 82' Fresh legs for Nagoya Grampus! Akinari Kawazura comes on to replace Yota Sato.
  • 87' Shintaro Nago is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nagoya Grampus so far.
  • 88' Another change for Nagoya Grampus made on 88 minute. Kasper Junker leaves to be changed by Shungo Sugiura.
  • 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Tatsuki Nara.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Avispa Fukuoka team. Yu Hashimoto is replaced by Masato Yuzawa on 90 minute.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.51 Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Nagoya Grampus52% Draw22% Avispa Fukuoka26%
Actual: Nagoya Grampus win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 92%
8%
± 2.5 78%
22%
± 3.5 60%
40%
± 4.5 41%
59%

Double Chance

Nagoya Grampus or Draw
74%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Nagoya Grampus42% Draw36% Avispa Fukuoka22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus

Handicap Nagoya Grampus covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 19% 81%
-2 19% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 19% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 13% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
19%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.