Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Nov | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 1–3 | L |
| 08 Nov | Kashiwa Reysol | A | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Oct | Gamba Osaka | H | 0–2 | L |
| 18 Oct | Yokohama FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Oct | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 08 Nov | Tōkyō Verdy | A | 0–0 | D |
| 26 Oct | Shonan Bellmare | H | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | FC Machida Zelvia | A | 0–0 | D |
| 04 Oct | Yokohama FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Avispa Fukuoka | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #10 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 46 | Scored | 49 |
| 44 | Conceded | 59 |
| +2 | GD | -10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 56% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
H2H (12 games)
42%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
| Naomichi Ueda | 1 G | 1 A |
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Nagoya Grampus launch into their encounter with Avispa Fukuoka.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 15' Yuji Kitajima has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 204 appearances.
- 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Hikaru Maeda suffering a number of foals already.
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' Tsukasa Morishima, a Japan , has 16 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 32' It’s a booking for Nagoya Grampus player. Teruki Hara gets a card.
- 37' A moment of madness from Daiki Matsuoka on 37 minutes earns him a card. Avispa Fukuoka will be frustrated.
- 42' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 46' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Hikaru Maeda is withdrawn and Yuto Iwasaki gets his opportunity.
- 51' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Nagoya Grampus needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 56' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 61' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 66' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Kensuke Nagai is replaced by Masahito Ono.
- 71' Sonosuke Sato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Masato Shigemi at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 81' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Shosei Usui by Abdul Hanan Sani Brown on 81 minute.
- 82' Another substitution for Nagoya Grampus to replace Yota Sato by Akinari Kawazura on 82 minute.
- 87' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Avispa Fukuoka are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 88' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kasper Junker departs to be replaced by Shungo Sugiura.
- 90' Tatsuki Nara catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
- 90' The Avispa Fukuoka bench stirs into life. Yu Hashimoto is withdrawn and Masato Yuzawa gets his opportunity.
- 1-0 the final result. Avispa Fukuoka will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
Starting XI
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Masahito Ono 66'
- 14
- 15
- 13
- 7
- 70
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Shungo Sugiura 88'
-
3
Yota Sato ↓ Akinari Kawazura 82'
- 33
- 35
-
44
Soichiro Mori ↓ Yudai Kimura 82'
Bench
- 8
- 16
-
6
Akinari Kawazura ↑ 82'
-
22
Yudai Kimura ↑ 82'
- 55
- 32
- 20
-
41
Masahito Ono ↑ 66'
-
30
Shungo Sugiura ↑ 88'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Yuji Kitajima 71'
- 24
- 29
-
6
Masato Shigemi ↓ Sonosuke Sato 71'
- 88
- 11
-
47
Yu Hashimoto ↓ Masato Yuzawa 90'
- 27
- 20
-
53
Hikaru Maeda ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 46'
Bench
- 5
- 1
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 46'
- 77
- 37
-
2
Masato Yuzawa ↑ 90'
-
25
Yuji Kitajima ↑ 71'
-
50
Sonosuke Sato ↑ 71'
-
32
Abdul Hanan Sani Brown ↑ 81'
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kensuke Nagai | 3 |
| Mateus | 3 |
| Shinnosuke Nakatani | 2 |
| Ryoya Morishita | 2 |
| Jordy Croux | 2 |
| Jakub Swierczok | 2 |
| Shosei Usui | 1 |
| Juanma | 1 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.51
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.72
Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.23
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
74%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
48%
Nagoya Grampus or Avispa Fukuoka
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.7%
1 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
1 – 2
5.3%
2 – 0
4.7%
4 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 2
3.4%
1 – 0
Actual
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Avispa Fukuoka covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -2 | 19% | 16% | 65% |
| -1.5 | 35% | — | 65% |
| -1 | 35% | 19% | 46% |
| -0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +0.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +1 | 74% | 13% | 13% |
| +1.5 | 87% | — | 13% |
| +2 | 87% | 8% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
19%
✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

