Sunday , 16 August 2026

NEC vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 21 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadion De Goffert 12,540 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Mario Engels
0–2 13' Luka Kulenovic
Koki Ogawa 45' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Stadion De Goffert.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Assistant 1 Yorick Weterings
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
14 Sep PSV A 0–2 L
31 Aug Fortuna Sittard A 3–0 W
24 Aug PEC Zwolle H 1–0 W
17 Aug AZ A 0–1 L
10 Aug FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
15 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
NEC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

NEC
0-15
/1
16-30
/1
31-45
1/
46-60
1/
61-75
2/
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. NEC get us underway at Stadion De Goffert.
  • 3' Against the run of play, Mario Engels has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 8' Both keepers have barely been tested. NEC and Heracles Almelo are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 12' Ivan Mesik has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 12.
  • 13' Luka Kulenovic doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 18' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 23' Heracles Almelo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 25' A meaty challenge results in booking for Bram Nuytinck on 25.
  • 30' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 34' Controversy at the stadium! Ruben Roosken argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 39' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 44' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 45' A stunning finish from Koki Ogawa — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 46' Lorenzo Milani has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruben Roosken on 46 minute.
  • 51' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 56' It’s high time Erwin van de Looi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 59' That is a card for NEC. Ivan Marquez will be fuming at that decision.
  • 61' A meaty challenge results in booking for Daniel van Kaam on 61.
  • 66' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 68' Kento Shiogai has so much to prove this time. He replaces Sontje Hansen on 68 minute.
  • 70' Heracles Almelo make a change. Suf Podgoreanu trudges off to be replaced by Juho Talvitie on 70 minutes.
  • 75' NEC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 76' Luka Kulenovic makes way for Jizz Hornkamp at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 78' Lasse Schone is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mees Hoedemakers at the 78 minute mark.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' Mario Engels has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 84.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Mario Engels is replaced by Jordy Bruijn on 86 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Dirk Proper on 90 minutes earns him a card. NEC will be frustrated.
  • 1-2 the final result. NEC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.28 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NEC or Heracles Almelo 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NEC39% Draw30% Heracles Almelo31%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
69%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
61%
NEC or Heracles Almelo
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NEC28% Draw50% Heracles Almelo22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
34%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.