Thursday , 2 July 2026

NEC vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Sat 21 Sep 2024 · 19:00 UTC Stadion De Goffert 12,540 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 3' Mario Engels
0–2 13' Luka Kulenovic
Koki Ogawa 45' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

NEC vs Heracles AlmeloEredivisie at Stadion De Goffert.

Match Details

  • Referee Jochem Kamphuis
  • Assistant 1 Yorick Weterings
  • Assistant 2 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Heracles Almelo H 1–2 L
14 Sep PSV A 0–2 L
31 Aug Fortuna Sittard A 3–0 W
24 Aug PEC Zwolle H 1–0 W
17 Aug AZ A 0–1 L
10 Aug FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep NEC A 2–1 W
15 Sep Almere City FC H 0–0 D
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Stadion De Goffert. NEC are looking to make home advantage count against Heracles Almelo.
  • 3' What composure from Mario Engels! The Germany international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 8' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Calvin Verdonk suffering a number of foals already.
  • 12' Controversy at the stadium! Ivan Mesik argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 13' A stunning finish from Luka Kulenovic — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 18' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 23' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Brian De Keersmaecker made 100 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Poor challenge from Bram Nuytinck. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 30' NEC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 34' Ruben Roosken was booked on 34.
  • 39' It looks like no one’s ball. Heracles Almelo is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 44' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 45' Goal! Koki Ogawa scores his 25 goal in 278 matches.
  • 46' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Ruben Roosken has done his job and it is now time for Lorenzo Milani to step up.
  • 51' Heracles Almelo fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 56' It is a cagey affair so far. NEC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 59' The referee shows NEC player a card on 59.
  • 61' That looks like a foul for a card for Daniel van Kaam.
  • 66' Bram Nuytinck is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 68' Sontje Hansen makes way for Kento Shiogai at the 68 minute mark. A tactical switch from NEC.
  • 70' Juho Talvitie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Suf Podgoreanu on 70 minute.
  • 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Rogier Meijer might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 76' A change in the Heracles Almelo ranks — Luka Kulenovic exits the field as Jizz Hornkamp enters on 76.
  • 78' It is a substitution in NEC team. Mees Hoedemakers is replaced by Lasse Schone on 78 minute.
  • 83' Mees Hoedemakers has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 84' Mario Engels is having his name booked by the referee on 84.
  • 86' Fresh legs for Heracles Almelo! Jordy Bruijn comes on to replace Mario Engels.
  • 90' Dirk Proper is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.28 NEC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: NEC or Heracles Almelo 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
NEC39% Draw30% Heracles Almelo31%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

NEC or Draw
69%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
61%
NEC or Heracles Almelo
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
NEC28% Draw50% Heracles Almelo22%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9%
2 – 1
8.1%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.4%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.5%
3 – 0
3.1%
1 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — NEC

Handicap NEC covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 21% 61%
-0.5 39% 61%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 18% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

NEC keeps clean sheet
34%
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.