Wednesday , 30 September 2026

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 1 Sep 2024 · 12:30 UTC MAC3PARK Stadion 13,731 HT 45' · FT 45'
Dylan Vente 13' 1–0
Dylan Mbayo 78' 2–0
Filip Krastev 90+4' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

PEC Zwolle vs Heracles Almelo — Eredivisie at MAC3PARK Stadion.

Match Details

  • Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
  • Assistant 1 Erwin Zeinstra
  • Assistant 2 Johan Balder
6 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep Heracles Almelo H 3–0 W
24 Aug NEC A 0–1 L
18 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam H 1–5 L
11 Aug FC Utrecht A 0–1 L
19 May FC Twente '65 H 1–2 L
12 May RKC Waalwijk A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
01 Sep PEC Zwolle A 0–3 L
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D
19 May Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
12 May SBV Excelsior A 0–4 L

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
62% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
PEC Zwolle this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/5
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

PEC Zwolle
Koen Kostons 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — PEC Zwolle and Heracles Almelo get this one started.
  • 5' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 10' Ruben Roosken is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Heracles Almelo so far.
  • 13' Assisted by Filip Krastev with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dylan Vente makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 18' Mimeirhel Benita has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 23' Jannes Wieckhoff is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for PEC Zwolle tonight.
  • 28' The energy levels are beginning to show. might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 33' The home supporters are growing impatient. PEC Zwolle must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 36' A moment of madness from Ivan Mesik on 36 minutes earns him a card. Heracles Almelo will be frustrated.
  • 41' It is a cagey affair so far. PEC Zwolle in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Heracles Almelo's compact 4-4-2.
  • 46' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 48' Heracles Almelo make a change. Daniel van Kaam trudges off to be replaced by Sem Scheperman on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 58' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 62' The referee calls foul for Nick Fichtinger. He receives a card.
  • 64' PEC Zwolle manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Dylan Mbayo is hanging Nick Fichtinger on the field on 64 minute.
  • 69' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Davy van den Berg made 321 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 72' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Juho Talvitie has done his job and it is now time for Luka Kulenovic to step up.
  • 77' Thomas Buitink gets the nod from PEC Zwolle. He replaces Dylan Vente and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Assisted by Davy van den Berg with the perfectly-timed delivery and Dylan Mbayo makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 80' Bryan Limbombe is ready to make an impact after coming on for Damon Mirani at the 80 minute mark.
  • 81' Eliano Reijnders gets the nod from PEC Zwolle. He replaces Anouar El Azzouzi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 83' Heracles Almelo ring the changes. Mimeirhel Benita has done his job and it is now time for Jannes Wieckhoff to step up.
  • 88' PEC Zwolle are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Heracles Almelo's 4-4-2 shape.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. PEC Zwolle take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.64 PEC Zwolle xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Heracles Almelo xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
PEC Zwolle51% Draw26% Heracles Almelo23%
Actual: PEC Zwolle win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

PEC Zwolle or Draw
77%
Draw or Heracles Almelo
49%
PEC Zwolle or Heracles Almelo
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
PEC Zwolle35% Draw46% Heracles Almelo19%
Actual: PEC Zwolle win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 0
8.6%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — PEC Zwolle

Handicap PEC Zwolle covers Push Heracles Almelo covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 23% 51%
-0.5 49% — 51%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

PEC Zwolle keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.