Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,286 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juho Talvitie 33' 1–0
1–1 37' Jesse Bosch

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II TilburgEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Luc de Koning (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D
19 May Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
12 May SBV Excelsior A 0–4 L
05 May RKC Waalwijk H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Aug Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
10 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
15 May FC Utrecht H 3–0 W
11 May SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 1–1 D
07 May Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heracles Almelo to score. At the same time, Willem II Tilburg does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' The travelling Willem II Tilburg supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 25' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Willem II Tilburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 30' It looks surprising Willem II Tilburg does not make any changes. Damon Mirani has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 33' Juho Talvitie puts Heracles Almelo on the lead.
  • 37' Goal! Jesse Bosch scores his 9 goal in 242 matches.
  • 42' Willem II Tilburg is showing some good football. However, Willem II Tilburg are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 47' Valentino Vermeulen needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 52' Ringo Meerveld has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 57' Ruben Roosken is having his name booked by the referee on 57.
  • 58' Heracles Almelo manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Sem Scheperman is hanging Daniel van Kaam on the field on 58 minute.
  • 59' The Heracles Almelo manager makes a substitution. Bryan Limbombe departs to be replaced by Suf Podgoreanu.
  • 62' That looks like a foul for a card for Jesse Bosch.
  • 67' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Cisse Sandra suffering a number of foals already.
  • 71' It’s a booking for Heracles Almelo player. Mario Engels gets a card.
  • 75' Runar THor Sigurgeirsson is having his name booked by the referee on 75.
  • 79' Jeremy Bokila has so much to prove this time. He replaces Nick Doodeman on 79 minute.
  • 82' It’s gonna be a card for Amine Lachkar.
  • 87' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo33% Draw29% Willem II Tilburg38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
63%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
67%
Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw48% Willem II Tilburg28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 61% 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
26%
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.