Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II Tilburg, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
Sun 25 Aug 2024 · 12:30 UTC Erve Asito 11,286 HT 45' · FT 45'
Juho Talvitie 33' 1–0
1–1 37' Jesse Bosch

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs Willem II Tilburg — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Edwin van de Graaf
  • Assistant 1 Joost van Zuilen
  • Assistant 2 Luc de Koning (Netherlands)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D
19 May Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
12 May SBV Excelsior A 0–4 L
05 May RKC Waalwijk H 0–5 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Aug Heracles Almelo A 1–1 D
18 Aug Go Ahead Eagles H 2–0 W
10 Aug Feyenoord Rotterdam A 1–1 D
15 May FC Utrecht H 3–0 W
11 May SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden A 1–1 D
07 May Heracles Almelo H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Willem II Tilburg this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/5
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/8
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Willem II Tilburg
Devin Haen 3 G 1 A
Thomas Verheydt 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: Heracles Almelo gets underway.
  • 5' Willem II Tilburg come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 20' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 25' Amine Lachkar has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 172 appearances.
  • 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Willem II Tilburg needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 33' Juho Talvitie is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 37' GOAL! Jesse Bosch fires home to make it 1-1!
  • 42' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 47' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 52' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 57' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
  • 58' Sem Scheperman gets the nod from Heracles Almelo. He replaces Daniel van Kaam and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 59' The supporters are chanting for Suf Podgoreanu. He replaces Bryan Limbombe on 59 minute.
  • 62' Jesse Bosch picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 67' Willem II Tilburg started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 67.
  • 71' Mario Engels has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 71.
  • 75' Runar THor Sigurgeirsson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 79' Willem II Tilburg manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jeremy Bokila is hanging Nick Doodeman on the field on 79 minute.
  • 82' A meaty challenge results in booking for Amine Lachkar on 82.
  • 87' Heracles Almelo are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • It finishes all square. Heracles Almelo and Willem II Tilburg share the spoils 1-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.23 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Willem II Tilburg xG
I would bet for: Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo33% Draw29% Willem II Tilburg38%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
63%
Draw or Willem II Tilburg
67%
Heracles Almelo or Willem II Tilburg
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo24% Draw48% Willem II Tilburg28%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
9.2%
1 – 2
8.2%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
7.4%
0 – 2
6.8%
2 – 0
5.5%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.8%
0 – 3
3.1%
3 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push Willem II Tilburg covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 9% 86%
-1.5 14% — 86%
-1 14% 18% 68%
-0.5 32% — 68%
+0.5 61% — 39%
+1 61% 20% 18%
+1.5 82% — 18%
+2 82% 12% 7%
+2.5 93% — 7%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Willem II Tilburg keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.