Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs NEC, Eredivisie 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2023-24
2 1
Full Time
Fri 18 Aug 2023 · 18:00 UTC Erve Asito 12,080 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 24' Koki Ogawa
Emil Hansson 61' 1–1
Anas Ouahim 74' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs NECEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Erwin Blank
  • Assistant 1 Cristian Dobre
  • Assistant 1 Frans Ozinga (Netherlands)
  • Assistant 2 Martijn Beijer (Netherlands)

Head-to-Head

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug NEC H 2–1 W
12 Aug AFC Ajax A 1–4 L
15 May Sparta Rotterdam H 1–3 L
11 May RKC Waalwijk A 0–2 L
07 May Willem II Tilburg A 0–2 L
30 Apr FC Twente '65 H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Heracles Almelo A 1–2 L
13 Aug SBV Excelsior H 3–4 L
28 May Fortuna Sittard A 1–1 D
21 May AZ H 0–3 L
12 May FC Twente '65 A 0–4 L
06 May SC Heerenveen H 2–3 L

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Heracles Almelo to score. At the same time, NEC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Heracles Almelo is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 10' The 36-year-old Bram Nuytinck has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past NEC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anas Ouahim made 41 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 24' Koki Ogawa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 28' Poor challenge from Youri Baas. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
  • 29' Youri Baas picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 32' That is a Yellow card for Heracles Almelo. Thomas Bruns will be fuming at that decision.
  • 37' Sem Scheperman is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Heracles Almelo tonight.
  • 42' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined NEC backline.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Heracles AlmeloStijn Bultman on, Sven Sonnenberg off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Heracles Almelo must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 56' Thomas Bruns makes way for Bryan Limbombe at the 56 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 61' A goal from the Sweden international Emil Hansson! He fires home on 61 to make it 1-1!
  • 65' The crowd applauds Sontje Hansen as he leaves the pitch. Mees Hoedemakers steps in for NEC.
  • 70' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Heracles Almelo that had 233 games and scored 284 goals.
  • 74' What a moment for Anas Ouahim! That strike on 74 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 79' A tactical swap from NECPedro Marques on, Lars Olden Larsen off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and NEC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 85' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Anas Ouahim by Sem Scheperman on 85 minute.
  • 90' The referee has no hesitation. Mario Engels is booked for Heracles Almelo — Yellow card on 90.
  • Another three points for Heracles Almelo.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 NEC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo46% Draw28% NEC26%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
74%
Draw or NEC
54%
Heracles Almelo or NEC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo30% Draw50% NEC20%
Actual: NEC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push NEC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 80%
-1.5 20% 80%
-1 20% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
36%
NEC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.