Thursday , 2 July 2026

Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Eredivisie · 2024-25
1 3
Full Time
Sun 18 Aug 2024 · 10:15 UTC Erve Asito 11,354 HT 45' · FT 45'
Brian De Keersmaecker pen 5' 1–0
1–1 52' Ivan Mesik og
1–2 59' Johan Bakayoko
1–3 90' Couhaib Driouech

Overview

Match Preview

Heracles Almelo vs PSVEredivisie at Erve Asito.

Match Details

  • Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
  • Assistant 1 Mario Diks
  • Assistant 2 Erik Koopman

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug PSV H 1–3 L
11 Aug Sparta Rotterdam A 0–0 D
19 May Fortuna Sittard H 0–0 D
12 May SBV Excelsior A 0–4 L
05 May RKC Waalwijk H 0–5 L
28 Apr PEC Zwolle A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Aug Heracles Almelo A 3–1 W
10 Aug RKC Waalwijk H 5–1 W
19 May RKC Waalwijk H 3–1 W
12 May Fortuna Sittard A 1–1 D
05 May Sparta Rotterdam H 4–2 W
25 Apr SC Heerenveen A 8–0 W

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Heracles Almelo and PSV is underway.
  • 5' A goal from the Belgium international Brian De Keersmaecker! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
  • 10' With 0 assists to his name this season, Jordan Teze is clearly more than just a goal scorer for PSV.
  • 15' PSV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' Mario Engels, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 30' Over 30 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 35' PSV are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 46' The PSV bench stirs into life. Malik Tillman is withdrawn and Guus Til gets his opportunity.
  • 51' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 52' What composure from Ivan Mesik! The Slovakia international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 57' PSV seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 59' Assisted by Luuk de Jong with the perfectly-timed delivery and Johan Bakayoko makes no mistake. 2-1!
  • 63' Ruben Roosken makes way for Lorenzo Milani at the 63 minute mark. A tactical switch from Heracles Almelo.
  • 66' Another substitution for PSV to replace Fredrik Oppegard by Matteo Dams on 66 minute.
  • 67' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Juho Talvitie is replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff on 67 minute.
  • 69' It is a substitution in PSV team. Johan Bakayoko is replaced by Hirving Lozano on 69 minute.
  • 73' Jordan Teze is ready to make an impact after coming on for Richie Ledezma at the 73 minute mark.
  • 78' A quiet spell here at Erve Asito. PSV seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 83' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' The Heracles Almelo bench stirs into life. Mimeirhel Benita is withdrawn and Giandro Sambo gets his opportunity.
  • 87' The referee has no hesitation. Lorenzo Milani is booked for Heracles Almelo — card on 87.
  • 90' GOAL! Couhaib Driouech fires home to make it 2-2!
  • The points are shared — Heracles Almelo 1-3 PSV. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92 Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13 PSV xG
I would bet for: PSV to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Heracles Almelo17% Draw22% PSV61%
Actual: PSV win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Heracles Almelo13% Draw41% PSV46%
Actual: Heracles Almelo win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo

Handicap Heracles Almelo covers Push PSV covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 9% 86%
-0.5 14% 86%
+0.5 36% 64%
+1 36% 23% 41%
+1.5 59% 41%
+2 59% 19% 21%
+2.5 79% 21%

Clean Sheet

Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
13%
PSV keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.