Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs PSV — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- PSV 2 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Mario Diks
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Fortuna Sittard | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | PSV | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | NEC | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | AFC Ajax | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Sparta Rotterdam | 2 | 3 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | SC Heerenveen | 1 | 3 |
| 12 | Telstar 1963 | 2 | 3 |
| 13 | FC Twente '65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | FC Utrecht | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 0 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 2 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | SBV Excelsior | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Apr | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | RKC Waalwijk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 May | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 8–0 | W |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Heracles Almelo get us underway at Erve Asito.
- 5' Heracles Almelo is taking the lead after the goal scored by Brian De Keersmaecker on 5.
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Joey Veerman made 369 appearances and scored 38 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 20' The travelling PSV supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 25' Fabian de Keijzer has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 30' PSV have won 819 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 45' Olivier Boscagli has been relatively quiet despite scoring 13 goals in his last 442 appearances.
- 46' PSV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Guus Til is hanging Malik Tillman on the field on 46 minute.
- 51' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 52' Brilliant from the ! Ivan Mesik makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 52.
- 57' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Erwin van de Looi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 59' Brilliant from the ! Johan Bakayoko makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 59.
- 63' The crowd applauds Ruben Roosken as he leaves the pitch. Lorenzo Milani steps in for Heracles Almelo.
- 66' The whistle greets Fredrik Oppegard as he departs to be replaced by Matteo Dams.
- 67' Jannes Wieckhoff is replacing Juho Talvitie for the Heracles Almelo side.
- 69' The crowd applauds Johan Bakayoko as he leaves the pitch. Hirving Lozano steps in for PSV.
- 73' PSV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Jordan Teze is hanging Richie Ledezma on the field on 73 minute.
- 78' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 83' Heracles Almelo seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 85' Another substitution for Heracles Almelo to replace Mimeirhel Benita by Giandro Sambo on 85 minute.
- 87' Heracles Almelo receives a card for a hard tackle on 87.
- 90' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Couhaib Driouech makes it 2-2.
- The final score is 1-3.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↓ Jordy Bruijn 85'
- 14
- 24
- 4
-
12
Ruben Roosken ↓ Lorenzo Milani 63'
- 1
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
10
Shiloh 't Zand ↓ Sem Scheperman 66'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Jordy Bruijn ↑ 85'
- 30
- 18
-
3
Jannes Wieckhoff ↑ 67'
- 16
-
32
Sem Scheperman ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
22
Lorenzo Milani ↑ 63'
-
28
Giandro Sambo ↑ 85'
- 39
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 22
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 73'
- 18
- 1
- 23
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Guus Til 46'
-
35
Fredrik Oppegard ↓ Matteo Dams 66'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Hirving Lozano 69'
- 6
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↓ Jordan Teze 73'
Bench
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↑ 69'
-
3
Jordan Teze ↑ 73'
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 46'
- 16
- 14
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 73'
- 24
- 28
- 26
-
32
Matteo Dams ↑ 66'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Malik Tillman | 3 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 |
| Luuk de Jong | 2 |
| Mohammed Ihattaren | 2 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 2 |
| Bruma | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
PSV xG
I would bet for:
PSV to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heracles Almelo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.