Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs PSV — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- PSV 12 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Mario Diks
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
5 games this season
🟨 2.6/game
⚽ 8.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 12 | 26 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | AZ | 12 | 23 |
| 6 | SC Heerenveen | 12 | 21 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 12 | 20 |
| 8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 17 |
| 9 | FC Groningen | 12 | 15 |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 12 | 15 |
| 11 | NEC | 12 | 14 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 12 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 12 |
| 15 | SBV Excelsior | 12 | 11 |
| 16 | Telstar 1963 | 12 | 10 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 12 | 9 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 12 | 3 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | SBV Excelsior | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Apr | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | RKC Waalwijk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 May | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 8–0 | W |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
5/4
16-30
8/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
6/3
61-75
3/–
76+
10/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 9 G | 2 A |
| Guus Til | 7 G | 1 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 4 G | 3 A |
| Ricardo Pepi | 4 G | 1 A |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Erve Asito. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' A goal from the Belgium international Brian De Keersmaecker! He fires home on 5 to make it 1-0!
- 10' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Daniel van Kaam made 319 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 15' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- 20' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 25' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Heracles Almelo side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 30' It looks surprising PSV does not make any changes. Mimeirhel Benita has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' Bryan Limbombe has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 327 appearances.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 45' PSV are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 46' Guus Til gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Malik Tillman and will look to change the dynamic.
- 51' Heracles Almelo are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against PSV's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 52' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Ivan Mesik makes no mistake. 2-0!
- 57' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. PSV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 59' The deadlock is broken! Johan Bakayoko gets on the scoresheet on 59 minutes.
- 63' Lorenzo Milani has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ruben Roosken on 63 minute.
- 66' Matteo Dams gets the nod from PSV. He replaces Fredrik Oppegard and will look to change the dynamic.
- 67' The whistle greets Juho Talvitie as he departs to be replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff.
- 69' A tactical swap from PSV — Hirving Lozano on, Johan Bakayoko off on 69 minutes.
- 73' PSV make a change. Richie Ledezma trudges off to be replaced by Jordan Teze on 73 minutes.
- 78' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ryan Flamingo suffering a number of foals already.
- 83' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 85' Time for substitution for Heracles Almelo. Mimeirhel Benita is replaced by Giandro Sambo.
- 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lorenzo Milani.
- 90' What an equalizer from Couhaib Driouech!
- The referee brings this contest to a close. PSV take all three points.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↓ Jordy Bruijn 85'
- 14
- 24
- 4
-
12
Ruben Roosken ↓ Lorenzo Milani 63'
- 1
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
10
Shiloh 't Zand ↓ Sem Scheperman 66'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Jordy Bruijn ↑ 85'
- 30
- 18
-
3
Jannes Wieckhoff ↑ 67'
- 16
-
32
Sem Scheperman ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
22
Lorenzo Milani ↑ 63'
-
28
Giandro Sambo ↑ 85'
- 39
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 22
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 73'
- 18
- 1
- 23
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Guus Til 46'
-
35
Fredrik Oppegard ↓ Matteo Dams 66'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Hirving Lozano 69'
- 6
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↓ Jordan Teze 73'
Bench
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↑ 69'
-
3
Jordan Teze ↑ 73'
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 46'
- 16
- 14
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 73'
- 24
- 28
- 26
-
32
Matteo Dams ↑ 66'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Malik Tillman | 3 |
| Luuk de Jong | 2 |
| Mohammed Ihattaren | 2 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 2 |
| Bruma | 2 |
| Noni Madueke | 2 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
PSV xG
I would bet for:
PSV to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heracles Almelo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.