Heracles Almelo vs PSV, Eredivisie 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Heracles Almelo vs PSV — Eredivisie at Erve Asito.
- Heracles Almelo 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
- PSV 7 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Martin van den Kerkhof
- Assistant 1 Mario Diks
- Assistant 2 Erik Koopman
3 games this season
🟨 1.7/game
⚽ 5.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Aug | Sparta Rotterdam | A | 0–0 | D |
| 19 May | Fortuna Sittard | H | 0–0 | D |
| 12 May | SBV Excelsior | A | 0–4 | L |
| 05 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 0–5 | L |
| 28 Apr | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–3 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–1 | W |
| 10 Aug | RKC Waalwijk | H | 5–1 | W |
| 19 May | RKC Waalwijk | H | 3–1 | W |
| 12 May | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 May | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–2 | W |
| 25 Apr | SC Heerenveen | A | 8–0 | W |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
H2H (13 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
PSV this season
PSV this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
PSV
0-15
3/4
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/1
61-75
2/–
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
PSV
| Sven Mijnans | 4 G | 1 A |
| Guus Til | 4 G | |
| Ricardo Pepi | 3 G | |
| Sergino Dest | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ruben van Bommel | 2 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Erve Asito. Heracles Almelo are looking to make home advantage count against PSV.
- 5' Brian De Keersmaecker puts Heracles Almelo on the lead.
- 10' It is a cagey affair so far. Heracles Almelo in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past PSV's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 20' PSV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 25' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 30' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Malik Tillman made 542 appearances and scored 41 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Heracles Almelo and PSV are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 45' Both keepers have barely been tested. Heracles Almelo and PSV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 46' Guus Til has so much to prove this time. He replaces Malik Tillman on 46 minute.
- 51' Supporters expect more eagerness from Fredrik Oppegard, as he is very good at scoring at Erve Asito with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 52' The deadlock is broken! Ivan Mesik gets on the scoresheet on 52 minutes.
- 57' Heracles Almelo are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined PSV backline.
- 59' Brilliant from the ! Johan Bakayoko makes it 2-1 with a superb finish on 59.
- 63' Heracles Almelo make a change. Ruben Roosken trudges off to be replaced by Lorenzo Milani on 63 minutes.
- 66' The PSV bench stirs into life. Fredrik Oppegard is withdrawn and Matteo Dams gets his opportunity.
- 67' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Juho Talvitie is replaced by Jannes Wieckhoff on 67 minute.
- 69' Johan Bakayoko makes way for Hirving Lozano at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from PSV.
- 73' Fresh legs for PSV! Jordan Teze comes on to replace Richie Ledezma.
- 78' PSV started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 78.
- 83' Heracles Almelo have won 284 goals from 233 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 85' It is a substitution in Heracles Almelo team. Mimeirhel Benita is replaced by Giandro Sambo on 85 minute.
- 87' Heracles Almelo player sees a card in front of him.
- 90' Couhaib Driouech has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Heracles Almelo Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 8
-
26
Daniel van Kaam ↓ Jordy Bruijn 85'
- 14
- 24
- 4
-
12
Ruben Roosken ↓ Lorenzo Milani 63'
- 1
- 7
- 2
- 23
-
10
Shiloh 't Zand ↓ Sem Scheperman 66'
Bench
- 17
-
5
Jordy Bruijn ↑ 85'
- 30
- 18
-
3
Jannes Wieckhoff ↑ 67'
- 16
-
32
Sem Scheperman ↑ 66'
- 31
- 27
-
22
Lorenzo Milani ↑ 63'
-
28
Giandro Sambo ↑ 85'
- 39
Coach
Erwin van de Looi
PSV Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 9
- 22
-
10
Noa Lang ↓ Couhaib Driouech 73'
- 18
- 1
- 23
-
7
Malik Tillman ↓ Guus Til 46'
-
35
Fredrik Oppegard ↓ Matteo Dams 66'
-
11
Johan Bakayoko ↓ Hirving Lozano 69'
- 6
-
37
Richie Ledezma ↓ Jordan Teze 73'
Bench
-
27
Hirving Lozano ↑ 69'
-
3
Jordan Teze ↑ 73'
-
20
Guus Til ↑ 46'
- 16
- 14
-
21
Couhaib Driouech ↑ 73'
- 24
- 28
- 26
-
32
Matteo Dams ↑ 66'
Coach
Peter Bosz
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Malik Tillman | 3 |
| Mohammed Ihattaren | 2 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 2 |
| Bruma | 2 |
| Noni Madueke | 2 |
| Steven Bergwijn | 2 |
| Donyell Malen | 2 |
| Ismael Saibari | 2 |
Head to Head
Heracles Almelo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.92
Heracles Almelo xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.13
PSV xG
I would bet for:
PSV to win 61% + Over 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: PSV win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Heracles Almelo or Draw
39%
Draw or PSV
83%
Heracles Almelo or PSV
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Heracles Almelo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 2
10.6%
1 – 1
10.1%
0 – 1
9.5%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 3
7.3%
1 – 3
Actual
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 1
4.1%
0 – 4
3.9%
1 – 4
3.7%
1 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Heracles Almelo
| Handicap | Heracles Almelo covers | Push | PSV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 1% | — | 99% |
| -2 | 1% | 4% | 95% |
| -1.5 | 5% | — | 95% |
| -1 | 5% | 9% | 86% |
| -0.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| +0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +1 | 36% | 23% | 41% |
| +1.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +2 | 59% | 19% | 21% |
| +2.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
Clean Sheet
Heracles Almelo keeps clean sheet
13%
✓
PSV keeps clean sheet
40%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.