NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
4 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | PSV | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | SBV Excelsior | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 5 | 10 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 5 | 10 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | AFC Ajax | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | NEC | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | FC Groningen | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Sparta Rotterdam | 5 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Heerenveen | 5 | 5 |
| 13 | PEC Zwolle | 5 | 4 |
| 14 | Telstar 1963 | 5 | 4 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 5 | 2 |
| 16 | Willem II Tilburg | 5 | 2 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 5 | 1 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/–
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 2 G | 1 A |
| Julian Brandt | 1 G | |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Rat Verlegh that hosts another battle between NAC Breda and AFC Ajax.
- 5' Kamal Sowah has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 10' AFC Ajax fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. AFC Ajax is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' What a strike from Oscar Gloukh! The score is 0-1.
- 25' The travelling AFC Ajax supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 30' Raul Paula has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 35' Moussa Soumano has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 402 appearances.
- 40' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 41' Mika Godts doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 46' Supporters expect more eagerness from Charles-Andreas Brym, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Raul Paula departs to be replaced by Pepijn Reulen.
- 61' The home supporters are growing impatient. NAC Breda must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 66' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Lucas Rosa suffering a number of foals already.
- 71' The NAC Breda bench stirs into life. Max Balard is withdrawn and Lewis Holtby gets his opportunity.
- 72' The whistle greets Steven Berghuis as he departs to be replaced by Ko Itakura.
- 77' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Fredrik Jensen made 197 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 78' Ko Itakura picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 82' Oliver Edvardsen is replacing Mika Godts for the AFC Ajax side.
- 85' The referee has no hesitation. Wout Weghorst is booked for AFC Ajax — card on 85.
- 90' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
-
9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
-
16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
-
24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
-
90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
-
55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
-
32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
-
26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
-
6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
-
43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Gervane Kastaneer | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.