NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
6 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 9.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds Rat Verlegh will turn into a battlefield for NAC Breda and AFC Ajax.
- 5' Maarten Paes has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 324 appearances.
- 10' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 15' It looks surprising NAC Breda does not make any changes. Raul Paula has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 20' Oscar Gloukh has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 20 minutes.
- 25' AFC Ajax started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
- 30' NAC Breda are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined AFC Ajax backline.
- 35' Wout Weghorst has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 40' NAC Breda are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against AFC Ajax's shape.
- 41' Assisted by Wout Weghorst with the perfectly-timed delivery and Mika Godts makes no mistake. 0-2!
- 46' Josip Sutalo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 51' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 56' It is a substitution in NAC Breda team. Raul Paula is replaced by Pepijn Reulen on 56 minute.
- 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 66' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 71' The NAC Breda manager makes a substitution. Max Balard departs to be replaced by Lewis Holtby.
- 72' AFC Ajax ring the changes. Steven Berghuis has done his job and it is now time for Ko Itakura to step up.
- 77' With 0 assists to his name this season, Anton Gaaei is clearly more than just a goal scorer for AFC Ajax.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ko Itakura on 78.
- 82' The AFC Ajax bench stirs into life. Mika Godts is withdrawn and Oliver Edvardsen gets his opportunity.
- 85' Wout Weghorst catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 85.
- 90' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- Game over. The scoreline of 0-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
-
9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
-
16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
-
24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
-
90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
-
55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
-
32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
-
26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
-
6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
-
43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Jorrel Hato | 1 |
| Boy Kemper | 1 |
| Matthew Garbett | 1 |
| Zakaria Labyad | 1 |
| Mika Godts | 1 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 1 |
| Oscar Gloukh | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.