NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
NAC Breda vs AFC Ajax — Eredivisie at Rat Verlegh.
Match Details
- Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk
7 games this season
🟨 1.3/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ADO Den Haag | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | AFC Ajax | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | AZ | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | FC Groningen | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | FC Twente '65 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | FC Utrecht | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | NEC | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | PEC Zwolle | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | PSV | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | SBV Excelsior | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Heerenveen | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Telstar 1963 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | AFC Ajax | H | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Fortuna Sittard | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Apr | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Mar | PEC Zwolle | A | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Mar | Go Ahead Eagles | A | 0–6 | L |
| 08 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 3–3 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | NAC Breda | A | 2–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Heracles Almelo | A | 3–0 | W |
| 04 Apr | FC Twente '65 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | Feyenoord Rotterdam | A | 1–1 | D |
| 14 Mar | Sparta Rotterdam | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Mar | FC Groningen | A | 1–3 | L |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
H2H (6 games)
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. AFC Ajax kicks off things out of here…
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering NAC Breda that had 103 games and scored 74 goals.
- 15' It’s high time Óscar García made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 20' GOAL! Oscar Gloukh scores on 20. Assisted by Mika Godts
- 25' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Denis Odoi suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' AFC Ajax is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Raul Paula, as he is very good at scoring at Rat Verlegh with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 41' What a strike from Mika Godts! The score is 0-2.
- 46' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 46 minutes.
- 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 56' Pepijn Reulen has so much to prove this time. He replaces Raul Paula on 56 minute.
- 61' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 66' NAC Breda started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 66.
- 71' NAC Breda manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Lewis Holtby is hanging Max Balard on the field on 71 minute.
- 72' It is a substitution in AFC Ajax team. Steven Berghuis is replaced by Ko Itakura on 72 minute.
- 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 78' It’s gonna be a card for Ko Itakura.
- 82' The AFC Ajax manager makes a substitution. Mika Godts departs to be replaced by Oliver Edvardsen.
- 85' A meaty challenge results in booking for Wout Weghorst on 85.
- 90' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
- With this win, AFC Ajax is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
NAC Breda Lineups
Starting XI
- 3
-
8
Clint Leemans ↓ Juho Talvitie 82'
- 20
- 99
- 7
- 4
- 14
-
9
Moussa Soumano ↓ Andre Ayew 56'
- 10
-
16
Max Balard ↓ Lewis Holtby 71'
-
11
Raul Paula ↓ Pepijn Reulen 56'
Bench
-
24
Andre Ayew ↑ 56'
- 15
- 31
-
90
Lewis Holtby ↑ 71'
- 1
- 19
-
55
Brahim Ghalidi ↑ 56'
- 22
- 25
-
32
Juho Talvitie ↑ 82'
- 21
-
26
Pepijn Reulen ↑ 56'
Coach
Carl Hoefkens
AFC Ajax Lineups
Starting XI
- 26
-
23
Steven Berghuis ↓ Ko Itakura 72'
- 25
- 37
-
6
Youri Regeer ↓ Rayane Bounida 72'
- 15
- 2
-
11
Mika Godts ↓ Oliver Edvardsen 82'
-
10
Oscar Gloukh ↓ Sean Steur 56'
- 3
- 24
Bench
- 5
- 9
-
4
Ko Itakura ↑ 72'
-
17
Oliver Edvardsen ↑ 82'
- 7
- 19
- 52
- 30
-
43
Rayane Bounida ↑ 72'
-
48
Sean Steur ↑ 56'
- 62
- 45
Coach
Óscar García
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
| Steven Berghuis | 1 |
| Kenneth Taylor | 1 |
| Hakim Ziyech | 1 |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 |
| Kasper Dolberg | 1 |
| Leo Sauer | 1 |
| Gervane Kastaneer | 1 |
Head to Head
NAC Breda Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
NAC Breda xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
AFC Ajax xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: AFC Ajax win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.62
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
NAC Breda or Draw
53%
Draw or AFC Ajax
75%
NAC Breda or AFC Ajax
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
10.7%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
9.2%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.4%
2 – 1
5.8%
1 – 3
4.9%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — NAC Breda
| Handicap | NAC Breda covers | Push | AFC Ajax covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| -1.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -1 | 9% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
NAC Breda keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
37%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.