Thursday , 2 July 2026

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 16:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Motherwell FC vs Aberdeen FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Ryan Lee (Scotland)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Aberdeen FC H 2–0 W
13 Sep Dundee FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Kilmarnock FC H 2–2 D
23 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 3–3 D
09 Aug St. Mirren FC A 0–0 D
02 Aug Rangers FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Motherwell FC A 0–2 L
23 Sep Dundee United FC A 0–2 L
13 Sep Livingston FC H 0–0 D
31 Aug Falkirk FC H 0–1 L
10 Aug Celtic FC H 0–2 L
04 Aug Heart of Midlothian FC A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Motherwell FC Aberdeen FC
#4 Position #8
54 Points 33
33 Played 33
14 / 12 / 7 W / D / L 9 / 6 / 18
52 Scored 33
29 Conceded 48
+23 GD -15
1.64 PPG 1.00
42% Win % 27%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
46% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Motherwell FC are 4th (54 pts). Aberdeen FC are 8th (33 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Aberdeen FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 2-0 the final result. Aberdeen FC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Motherwell FC Lineups

Aberdeen FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 Motherwell FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Aberdeen FC xG
I would bet for: Motherwell FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC61% Draw24% Aberdeen FC15%
Actual: Motherwell FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes44% 0% No56%
Avg goals/match: 2.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Motherwell FC or Draw
85%
Draw or Aberdeen FC
39%
Motherwell FC or Aberdeen FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Motherwell FC43% Draw46% Aberdeen FC11%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 0
9.8%
2 – 1
9.1%
3 – 0
7.4%
3 – 1
5.6%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
3.4%
2 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Motherwell FC

Handicap Motherwell FC covers Push Aberdeen FC covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 25% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 87% 13%
+1 87% 9% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Motherwell FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Aberdeen FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.